BetMGM has released its odds for the 2022 Heisman Trophy, and reigning winner Bryce Young is the favorite. We take a look at the current state of the betting market.
Bryce Young could become the first player since Archie Griffin in 1974 and 1975 to win the Heisman Trophy in back-to-back seasons. Since 2009, only three players have won the Heisman Trophy with odds shorter than +2500.
The most difficult decision in the Heisman market next season could be deciding which Ohio State player to back. There are several players on the team who should put up video game numbers within their offense.
Heisman votes are also heavily influenced by team success. Without team success, a Heisman candidate would need to post superior numbers to win the award. Lamar Jackson is the only Heisman winner not to make the College Football Playoff since its debut in 2014.
We investigated the opening Heisman Trophy odds for the 2022 Heisman Trophy (odds via BetMGM).
2022 Heisman Trophy Odds
2022 Heisman Trophy Futures Report
Bryce Young (+250)
It's not in my interest to support Bryce Young for a second Heisman campaign. Previous attempts have been unsuccessful with players such as Lamar Jackson, Johnny Manziel, and Tim Tebow. Despite similar statistics to their Heisman seasons, none won consecutive Heisman Trophies. In addition to not being interested in the player, I am not interested in the +250 odds.
C.J. Stroud (+400)
Stroud and Young's Heisman debate would have been much closer had Ohio State not lost to Michigan. There's no doubt the Rose Bowl performance will be subconsciously in everyone's mind, even though the vote is supposed to be based solely on next year. It is the opening number, not the player, that is being faded.
Caleb Williams (+800)
The highest-rated freshman QB by Pro Football Focus could soon join Lincoln Riley at USC. If this transfer occurs, Williams will be on my watchlist. Riley has already led Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray to Heisman Trophies. In this market, Jalen Hurts was second to Joe Burrow, bringing him very close to a 3 peat. Since the sportsbook also assumes he will attend USC, this number is short. This bet becomes a fade if he transfers elsewhere.
DJ Uiagalelei (+2000)
In this case, I don't know what's worse, his 2021 statistics or his Heisman odds. If he keeps his job with Cade Klubnik on campus, he will be very lucky. This is a hard sell for me.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+5000)
This season, he had 1606 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while sharing targets with 1st round picks Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson. When they weren't playing at the Rose Bowl, he showed us what he could do. DeVonta Smith won the Heisman as a WR when his QB had impressive numbers, and I believe Smith-Njigba can do the same with Stroud. Despite the fact that it is still a long way away, I was surprised by the opening price for Smith-Njigba. Given its opening price of +5000, I am willing to wait.