College football bettors are always looking to find value on Heisman odds early in the offseason. With position battles and potential transfers on the horizon, the water is muddy at this point in the calendar year. If you can pick the Heisman winner this early, the odds will be in your favor.
One trending name is Emory Jones. Jones will be replacing Kyle Trask as the starting quarterback for the Florida Gators. Florida hopes to win the SEC and make it to the College Football Playoff, and their hopes ride on the shoulders of Jones.
Jones’ Heisman odds are currently at +2500 at the top betting sites. This shows the value in predicting early. However, that only matters if he can pull it off and be the first Florida player to win the Heisman since Tim Tebow. Can he win the Heisman in his first season as Florida’s starting quarterback?
Jones’ candidacy is multifaceted. Let’s take a look at what it will take for him to win the Heisman and if he has a true shot of doing so in the 2021 season.
The Good News
Emory Jones has one of the best quarterback minds as his head coach. Playing for Dan Mullen will boost your stats and help you grow as a passer. He coached Tebow and Dak Prescott, and he deserves credit for leading them to success in college. Last year, he leaned on Kyle Trask’s strengths on Florida’s way to winning the SEC East.
Also, Jones is a dual-threat quarterback. This will allow him to make plenty of highlights, and that always helps with Heisman voters. Almost every Heisman quarterback from the past decade has been able to make plays on the ground and through the air.
If you want a Heisman moment, Jones will have a few chances to give you one. Florida will host Alabama early in the year and also play against Georgia. These two games will determine Florida’s season. If he can dominate against those defenses, he has the Heisman in the bag.
It will take a lot for Emory Jones to win the Heisman Trophy, but he has what it takes to do just that. However, you might not want to sprint to place a bet just yet. As with every player, he has a few things working against him.
The Bad News
Florida lost their two best weapons from last year. Kyle Trask was a Heisman finalist in part thanks to Kyle Pitts and Kadarius Toney. Without them, this offense will be a step slower. Florida recruits well on offense, but losing two experienced pass-catchers hurts Jones’ case.
Also, it won’t be easy to simply dominate against Alabama and Georgia. Both teams return solid defenses and have excellent coaches. They could keep Florida from making it to the SEC Championship, and Jones must carry the Gators through the SEC to win the Heisman Trophy.
Jones has experience under center, but he never did anything to truly dominate. He has solid stats, but he hasn’t played outside of garbage time much at all. You can say this with plenty of backups, but it must be discussed when players like Spencer Rattler are looking to win the Heisman Trophy as well.
Emory Jones’ Heisman Odds
In terms of the nominal amount, 25-1 is a great value for a quarterback with a strong skill set, a solid coaching staff and a path to win the Heisman Trophy. However, these odds need context. For starters, players like Jayden Daniels and Matt Corral have better odds. If you’re looking for a long shot to win the Heisman, you have plenty of options with similar value.
It takes more than great coaching to set you apart in the Heisman race. Trask couldn’t win the Heisman despite Dan Mullen’s help. Corral has Lane Kiffin, and Rattler has Lincoln Riley. If Jones wins the Heisman Trophy, it will be because of his leadership and elite traits.
So, is Emory Jones worth the risk at this value? Yes, but not if the odds drop. We’re still not certain who he will be throwing the ball to, and Florida appears to be behind teams like Georgia and Alabama. They have their own Heisman contenders to worry about.