Washington Vs. Ohio State: Rose Bowl Trends & Betting History

Jay Pryce

Tuesday, December 4, 2018 5:36 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 4, 2018 5:36 PM UTC

No. 6 Ohio State opens a 5.5-point favorite to top No. 9 Washington in the traditional Pac-12-Big Ten champions Rose Bowl matchup. Can Urban Meyer continue his string of great bowl-game efforts in his final hurrah as head coach of the Buckeyes? Let our key numbers help answer the question. 

Rose Bowl: Washington Vs. Ohio State

The Grandaddy of Them All pits the Pac-12 champion No. 9 Washington Huskies versus the Big Ten title holders No. 6 Ohio State in the 105th edition of the Rose Bowl. In what will be head coach Urban Meyer’s final game, the Buckeyes hope to make it three consecutive victories, last winning in 1997 and 2010. The Huskies, meanwhile, have won four of their last five visits to Pasadena dating back to 1982. The last was a 34-24 romp over then-ranked No. 14 Purdue in 2001.

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Results Last 20 Years
Season Winners Losers Final Line Total Winners ATS
1998 Wisconsin UCLA 38-31 9 NA W
1999 Wisconisn Stanford 17-9 -14 NA L
2000 Washington Purdue 34-24 2.5 NA W
2001 Miami (FL) Nebraska 37-14 -8.5 NA W
2002 Oklahoma Washington St. 34-14 -6.5 NA W
2003 USC Michigan 28-14 -7 NA W
2004 Texas Michigan 38-37 -7.5 NA L
2005 Texas USC 41-38 7 NA W
2006 USC Michigan 32-18 -1 47.5 W
2007 USC Illinois 49-17 -14 50 W
2008 USC Penn St. 38-24 -9 45.5 W
2009 Ohio St. Oregon 26-17 4 50.5 W
2010 TCU Wisconsin 21-19 -3 56.5 L
2011 Oregon Wisconsin 45-38 -5.5 74 W
2012 Stanford Wisconsin 20-14 -5.5 47 W
2013 Michigan State Stanford 24-20 6 41 W
2014 Oregon Florida St. 59-20 -7.5 71 W
2015 Stanford Iowa 45-16 -6.5 54 W
2016 USC Penn St. 52-49 -7 61 L
2017 Georgia Oklahoma 54-48 -3 61 W

Rose Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1999 Unless Noted)

Average Victory Margin: 12.5
Average Line: 3.9
Favorite ATS: 11-9
Average Total: 54.9 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 11-3 (since 2004)
O/U Margin: 8.8
Largest Underdog Upset: Wisconsin (+9) 38, UCLA 31 (1999)
Largest Spread: USC -14 (2008); Wisconsin -14 (2000)
Largest Rout: Oregon (-7.5) 59, Florida State 20 (2015)

Rose Bowl Summary & Trends

The “over” is 11-3 with a 64.9 average final score since 2005.

The game winner is 16-4 ATS over the last 20 years, averaging 36.6 points per game.

The betting favorite is 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS in the last 12 matchups

Conference H2H: Pac-12 vs. Big Ten

Since the current formation of the Pac-12 (2011), the Big Ten is 26-25 SU and 27-22-2 ATS (55.1 percent) in head-to-head battles. Bowl game or playoff matchups on neutral soil see the West Coast division slump to 7-10 SU and 4-13 ATS (23.5 percent) records, despite kicking off a -3.8 average favorite. The Pac-12 has failed to cover the spread in 10 of the last 11 in this situation.

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The 105th @rosebowlgame will mark the 15th #rosebowl appearance for BOTH @ohiostatefb and @uw_football! #MemoryMonday: Ohio State’s first appearance was in 1921 and Washington’s first appearance was in 1924. #INSPIRE #GoBucks #PurpleReign pic.twitter.com/GEewc9x0MG

— Rose Bowl Stadium (@RoseBowlStadium) December 4, 2018
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No. 9 Washington Huskies (10-3 SU, 4-9 ATS)

Seasons: 102
Bowl Record: 17-18-1 SU, 14-13-1 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Chris Petersen, (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS)

Petersen coached Boise State in seven bowl games, leaving for Washington prior to the Broncos’ 38-23 Hawaii Bowl loss in 2013. He is 1-3 SU and ATS with the Huskies. Note: Petersen is 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS entering a bowl game ranked in the AP Top 10, covering a 0.3 average line by 7.8 points per game.

Washington vs. Big Ten (Since 1980)

SU Record: 23-11
Average Margin: 9.2
ATS Record: 18-14-2
Average Line: -7.3

In three matchups as the betting underdog during the last decade, the “over” has cashed in each by a healthy 15.8 margin. This includes last year’s 35-28 loss to Penn State as a 3-point pup in the Fiesta Bowl.

No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes (12-1 SU, 6-7 ATS)

Seasons: 107
Bowl Record: 24-25
Coach, Bowl Record: Urban Meyer (11-3 SU, 11-3 ATS)

The former national coach of the year excels in the postseason, covering a -3.4 average line by 7.7 points per game with stints at Utah, Florida, and Ohio State. Two of his three losses have come against Clemson and head coach Dabo Swinney.

Ohio State vs. Pac-12

SU Record: 6-0 SU
Average Margin: 21.7
ATS Record: 5-1
Average Line: -15.4

The Buckeyes average 44.5 points per game against Pac-12 foes, but has seen the “under” hit in each tussle with a single-digit line. Including the old Pac-10, the wager has hit in nine of the last 10 under these betting conditions.

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