Baylor Vs. Vanderbilt: Texas Bowl Trends & Betting History

Saturday, December 15, 2018 3:45 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 15, 2018 3:45 PM UTC

The SEC has covered the spread versus the Big 12 in 18 of its last 23 bowl games as the betting favorite. Click here to find more useful information for handicapping the 2018 Texas Bowl tussle between Vanderbilt and Baylor.Β 

2018 Texas Bowl: Baylor vs. Vanderbilt

In operation since 2006, the Texas Bowl is played at NRG Stadium in Houston. The event is the successor to the Houston Bowl (2000-05) and Bluebonnet Bowl (1959-87). The Big 12 and SEC are the current conference tie-ins, splitting the last four head-to-head battles. The 13th edition sees the Vanderbilt Commodores 4.5-point favorites to top the Baylor Bears.

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Texas Bowl Results
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS O/U
2006 Rutgers Kansas St. 37-10 -8 45 W O
2007 TCU Houston 20-13 -4 60.5 W U
2008 Rice W. Michigan 38-14 -3 73.5 W U
2009 Navy Missouri 35-13 6.5 53.5 W U
2010 Illinois Baylor 38-14 -1 63.5 W U
2011 Texas A&M Northwestern 33-22 -10 68.5 W U
2012 Texas Tech Minnesota 34-31 -13 55.5 L O
2013 Syracuse Minnesota 21-17 3.5 47.5 W U
2014 Arkansas Texas 31-7 -6.5 44.5 W U
2015 LSU Texas Tech 56-27 -7 74 W O
2016 Kansas St. Texas A&M 33-28 3 56.5 W O
2017 Texas Missouri 33-16 2 60.5 W U

Texas Bowl Key Betting Numbers

Average Victory Margin: 16.4
Average Line: -3.1
Favorite ATS: 7-5
Average Total: 58.6
O/U Record: 4-8
O/U Margin: -6.8
Largest Underdog Upset: Navy (+6.5) 35, Missouri 13 (2009)
Largest Spread: Texas Tech -13 (2012)
Largest Rout: LSU 56, Texas Tech 27 (2015)

Texas Bowl Summary & Trends
  • The game winner is 11-1 ATS, topping a -3.1 average line by 13.2 points per game.
  • The loser averages 17.7 points, 10.0 below betting market projections,
  • The team with a greater average margin of victory entering the Texas Bowl has won all but two. Vanderbilt enters with a 2.5 and Baylor a -2.9 differential.
Conference H2H: Big 12 vs. SEC

Since 1980, the SEC is 61-48-2 SU (56.0 percent) and 61-50 ATS (55.0 percent) versus the Big 12 conference. Postseason matchups are more lopsided, the SEC holding a 31-19 SU (62.0 percent) and 32-18 ATS (64.0 percent) advantage. When the Big 12 catches points on the college football oddsboard in the postseason during this span, it is just 4-19 SU (17.4 percent) and 5-18 ATS (21.7 percent) overall.

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πŸ—£ Hey @VandyMBB, Coach @BUDREW wants to add a gentlemen's agreement to the @TexasBowl 🏈. Is your Coach Drew up to the challenge? #SicVandy 🐻 | #WelcomeToTexas 😀 pic.twitter.com/i4uU0a5hbq

β€” Baylor Basketball (@BaylorMBB) 11 de dezembro de 2018
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Baylor Bears (6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS)

Seasons: 113
Bowl Record: 12-11 SU, 7-7 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Matt Rhule (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Rhule dropped his only bowl game appearance at Temple, losing 32-17 to Toledo as 2-point chalk in the 2015 Boca Raton Bowl. Rhule left the program before its 2016 Military Bowl defeat to Wake Forest.

Baylor vs. SEC

SU Record: 1-4 (since 1980)
Average Margin: -7.6
ATS Record: 2-3
Average Line: 3.1

Baylor has not played an SEC opponent since 1995. Since 1980, it has not posted more than 21 points in a contest, averaging 12.2 overall.

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Cowboy boots βœ…
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Favorite @Astros player… βœ…@TonyKemp is here to help you pack for Houston! #AnchorDown | #RTI
🎟 | https://t.co/q0nKq2KJK2 pic.twitter.com/R9Prv7sPmc

β€” Vanderbilt Football (@VandyFootball) 11 de dezembro de 2018
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Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6 SU, 8-4 ATS)

Seasons: 115
Bowl Record: 4-3-1 SU, 3-3 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Derek Mason (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Mason was routed in his only bowl game as head coach, losing 41-17 to N.C. State in the 2016 Independence Bowl. The Commodores went off 6.5-point underdogs. Since 2011, all four Vanderbilt bowl games have gone β€œover” the total.

Vanderbilt vs. Big 12

SU Record: 4-2 (since 1980)
Average Margin: 4.6
ATS Record: 4-2
Average Line: -1.8

Vanderbilt has played just one Big 12 opponent since the 1980s, edging out Kansas State 14-7 in Nashville as a 4-point pup in 2017.

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