Stanford Vs. Pitt: Sun Bowl Trends & Betting History

Wednesday, December 19, 2018 2:21 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 19, 2018 2:21 PM UTC

The Sun Bowl is a coin-flip affair in recent years, the underdog winning 11 of the last 23 meetings overall. More relevant bowl numbers and betting stats for the 2018 Stanford-Pitt tussle here. 

2018 Sun Bowl: Stanford vs. Pitt

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In operation since 1935, the Sun Bowl, played in El Paso, Texas, is tied with the Orange and Sugar Bowls as the second-oldest bowl game in the nation. Since 2014, the game features an Atlantic Coast-Pac-12 Conference clash. The 2018 meeting sees Pitt square off against Stanford. It’s the fifth appearance for the Cardinal (3-1 SU) and fourth for the Panthers (2-1 SU). The programs each own winning Sun Bowl records.

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Sun Bowl Results Last 20 Years
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS O/U
1998 TCU USC 28-19 16 N/A W N/A
1999 Oregon Minnesota 24-20 3.5 N/A W N/A
2000 Wisconsin UCLA 21-20 -5.5 N/A L N/A
2001 Washington St. Purdue 33-27 -6.5 N/A L N/A
2002 Purdue Washington 34-24 3 N/A W N/A
2003 Minnesota Oregon 31-30 -4.5 N/A L N/A
2004 Arizona St. Purdue 27-23 8 N/A W N/A
2005 UCLA Northwestern 50-38 -2.5 N/A W N/A
2006 Oregon St. Missouri 39-38 -3.5 52.5 L O
2007 Oregon S. Florida 56-21 5.5 52 W O
2008 Oregon St. Pitt 3-0 -1.5 52 W U
2009 Oklahoma Stanford 31-27 -9 56 L O
2010 Notre Dame Miami (FL) 33-17 3 47.5 W O
2011 Utah Georgia Tech 30-27 2.5 50 W O
2012 Georgia Tech USC 21-7 7.5 63.5 W U
2013 UCLA Va. Tech 42-12 -7.5 46.5 W O
2014 Arizona St. Duke 36-31 -7.5 66.5 L O
2015 Washington St. Miami (FL) 20-14 -2 62 W U
2016 Stanford N. Carolina 25-23 -2.5 54.5 L U
2017 N.C. State Arizona St. 52-31 -7 63 W O

Sun Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1998)

Average Victory Margin: 9.3
Average Line: -0.5
Favorite ATS: 5-15
Average Total: 55.5 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 8-4 (since 2006)
O/U Margin: -2.5
Largest Underdog Upset: TCU (+16) 28, USC 19 (1998)
Largest Spread: USC -16 (1998)
Largest Rout: Oregon 56, South Florida 21 (2007)

Sun Bowl Summary & Trends
  • Underdogs are 18-5 ATS (78.2 percent) dating back to 1995.
  • Since 2006, the team with the more efficient rush defense has won two-thirds (8-4 SU) of Sun Bowls. Pitt yields 4.5 yards per carry, as opposed to 3.8 for Stanford.
  • Since 2004, the “over” is 9-4 with a 55.7 average final score.
  • Underdogs have won seven of the last 13 unranked matchups outright.
Conference H2H: Pac-12 vs. ACC

The Pac-12 is 16-3 SU and 10-8-1 ATS against the ACC since forming in 2011, going off a -9.7 average favorite. Nine matchups have occurred in the College Football Playoff or bowl games. The West Coast league, a 3.6 average favorite, is 7-2 SU and 5-4 ATS. ACC teams have scoring issues in the postseason clashes, posting just 24.3 points per game. They have surpassed their projected team total in just a pair.

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2018 Hyundai Sun Bowl Media Guide

CLICK HERE>> https://t.co/4aCkGaEUrH@StanfordFball vs. @Pitt_FB @pac12 vs. @theACC

Monday, Dec. 31, 2018
Sun Bowl Stadium@elpasotexas
Noon (MT) - on @CBS #CollegeFootball #BowlSeason @collegebowls pic.twitter.com/jPoY6yntnh

— Hyundai Sun Bowl (@HyundaiSunBowl) 10 de dezembro de 2018
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Stanford Cardinal (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS)

Seasons: 98
Bowl Record: 14-13-1 SU, 10-6 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: David Shaw (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS)

Head coach David Shaw has guided the Cardinal to a bowl appearance in each season, rewarding backers with a 5-2 ATS record. Shaw is covering a -4.0 average line by 3.4 points per game. The “over” has also cashed in five of seven contests with Stanford exceeding market projections by an average 4.5 points.

Stanford vs. ACC (since 1980)

SU Record: 6-5
Average Margin: 9.9
ATS Record: 6-5
Average Line: -3.8

Stanford is just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS versus the ACC in bowl games since 1980. The program has claimed victory by more than 3 points in just one: a 40-12 rout of Virginia Tech in the 2011 Orange Bowl.

Pitt Panthers (7-6 SU, 7-5-1 ATS)

Seasons: 114
Bowl Record: 13-20 SU, 7-13-1 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Pat Narduzzi (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS)

Poor defensive efforts have plagued head coach Pat Narduzzi in a pair of winless bowl games leading Pitt, giving up an average 37.5 points.

Pitt vs. Pac-12

SU Record: 0-1
Average Margin: -12
ATS Record: 0-1
Average Line: -6.0

Pitt fell as 6-point chalk 26-14 at Utah in 2011. Since 1980, in three other meetings against Pac-10 programs, the Panthers average score is 17.2 to 13.8, which includes a pair of bowl games (Oregon State, 2002 & 2008).

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