2018 Sun Bowl: Stanford vs. Pitt
In operation since 1935, the Sun Bowl, played in El Paso, Texas, is tied with the Orange and Sugar Bowls as the second-oldest bowl game in the nation. Since 2014, the game features an Atlantic Coast-Pac-12 Conference clash. The 2018 meeting sees Pitt square off against Stanford. It’s the fifth appearance for the Cardinal (3-1 SU) and fourth for the Panthers (2-1 SU). The programs each own winning Sun Bowl records.
Sun Bowl Results Last 20 Years
|2010||Notre Dame||Miami (FL)||33-17||3||47.5||W||O|
|2015||Washington St.||Miami (FL)||20-14||-2||62||W||U|
|2017||N.C. State||Arizona St.||52-31||-7||63||W||O|
Sun Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1998)
Average Victory Margin: 9.3
Average Line: -0.5
Favorite ATS: 5-15
Average Total: 55.5 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 8-4 (since 2006)
O/U Margin: -2.5
Largest Underdog Upset: TCU (+16) 28, USC 19 (1998)
Largest Spread: USC -16 (1998)
Largest Rout: Oregon 56, South Florida 21 (2007)
Sun Bowl Summary & Trends
- Underdogs are 18-5 ATS (78.2 percent) dating back to 1995.
- Since 2006, the team with the more efficient rush defense has won two-thirds (8-4 SU) of Sun Bowls. Pitt yields 4.5 yards per carry, as opposed to 3.8 for Stanford.
- Since 2004, the “over’ is 9-4 with a 55.7 average final score.
- Underdogs have won seven of the last 13 unranked matchups outright.
Conference H2H: Pac-12 vs. ACC
The Pac-12 is 16-3 SU and 10-8-1 ATS against the ACC since forming in 2011, going off a -9.7 average favorite. Nine matchups have occurred in the College Football Playoff or bowl games. The West Coast league, a 3.6 average favorite, is 7-2 SU and 5-4 ATS. ACC teams have scoring issues in the postseason clashes, posting just 24.3 points per game. They have surpassed their projected team total in just a pair.
Stanford Cardinal (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS)
Bowl Record: 14-13-1 SU, 10-6 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: David Shaw (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Head coach David Shaw has guided the Cardinal to a bowl appearance in each season, rewarding backers with a 5-2 ATS record. Shaw is covering a -4.0 average line by 3.4 points per game. The “over’ has also cashed in five of seven contests with Stanford exceeding market projections by an average 4.5 points.
Stanford vs. ACC (since 1980)
SU Record: 6-5
Average Margin: 9.9
ATS Record: 6-5
Average Line: -3.8
Stanford is just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS versus the ACC in bowl games since 1980. The program has claimed victory by more than 3 points in just one: a 40-12 rout of Virginia Tech in the 2011 Orange Bowl.
Pitt Panthers (7-6 SU, 7-5-1 ATS)
Bowl Record: 13-20 SU, 7-13-1 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Pat Narduzzi (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS)
Poor defensive efforts have plagued head coach Pat Narduzzi in a pair of winless bowl games leading Pitt, giving up an average 37.5 points.
Pitt vs. Pac-12
SU Record: 0-1
Average Margin: -12
ATS Record: 0-1
Average Line: -6.0
Pitt fell as 6-point chalk 26-14 at Utah in 2011. Since 1980, in three other meetings against Pac-10 programs, the Panthers average score is 17.2 to 13.8, which includes a pair of bowl games (Oregon State, 2002 & 2008).