Michigan State vs. Oregon: Redbox Bowl Trends & Betting History

Wednesday, December 19, 2018 3:39 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 19, 2018 3:39 PM UTC

Oregon is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five meetings against Michigan State, covering a -1.1 average line by 13.1 points per game. Can the Ducks top a field goal spread versus the Spartans in the 2018 Redbox Bowl? Use this betting primer as a guide to help formulate an answer.

 

2018 Redbox Bowl: Michigan State vs. Oregon

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690886, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,1602,1096,999996], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Kicking off in 2002, the Redbox Bowl, played annually in San Francisco, CA, has shuffled through a variety of names: Foster Farms (2014-17), First Hunger (2010-13), Emerald (2004-09), and Diamond Foods (2002-03). The NFL 49ers franchise currently manages the contest, the event kicking off at their home field Levi’s Stadium. Since 2014, the bowl features a Pac-12 and Big Ten team. Michigan State and Oregon square off in 2018. The Big Ten holds a 3-2 SU advantage in prior matchups.

Redbox Bowl Results
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS O/U
2002 Va. Tech Air Force 20-13 -11.5 N/A L N/A
2003 Boston College Colorado St. 35-21 0 N/A W N/A
2004 Navy New Mexico 34-19 3 N/A W N/A
2005 Utah Georgia Tech 38-10 8.5 N/A W N/A
2006 Florida St. UCLA 44-27 3.5 40 W O
2007 Oregon St. Maryland 21-14 -5 48.5 W U
2008 California Miami (FL) 24-17 -9 50 L U
2009 USC Boston College 24-13 -7.5 44.5 W U
2010 Nevada Boston College 20-13 -7.5 55 L U
2011 Illinois UCLA 20-14 -3 46.5 W U
2012 Arizona St. Navy 62-28 -14 55.5 W O
2013 Washington BYU 31-16 -4 65 W U
2014 Stanford Maryland 45-21 -14 47.5 W O
2015 Nebraska UCLA 37-29 5 61.5 W O
2016 Utah Indiana 26-24 -4.5 54 L U
2017 Purdue Arizona 38-35 3 66 W O

Redbox Bowl Key Betting Numbers

Average Victory Margin: 12.8
Average Line: -3.6
Favorite ATS: 6-10
Average Total: 52.8 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 5-7 (since 2006)
O/U Margin: 0.7
Largest Underdog Upset: Utah (+8.5) 38, Georgia Tech 10 (2005)
Largest Spread: Arizona State -10 (2012)
Largest Rout: Arizona State 62, Navy 28 (2012)

Redbox Bowl Summary & Trends
  • The game winner is 12-4 ATS, covering a -3.6 average spread by 9.2 points per game.
  • The loser averages 19.6 points.
  • Squads forcing more punts for the year are surprisingly 4-12 SU in the Redbox Bowl. Oregon forces 4.9 punts per game, as opposed to 6.3 for Michigan State.
Conference H2H: Big Ten vs. Pac-12

The Big Ten is one-up on the Pac-12, going 26-25 SU (51.0 percent) and 27-22-2 ATS (55.1 percent) 12 in head-to-head battles. A 0.1 average line separates the two on the college football oddsboard. The Big Ten is rewarding backers in bowl and playoff clashes, going 13-4 ATS (76.5 percent). Conference representatives have covered the spread in every matchup as the betting favorite or a short-priced underdog of under 5.5 points.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

These two want to see YOU at the #RedboxBowl

Don't miss the 2018 #RedboxBowl @LevisStadium on Dec. 31.

🎟: https://t.co/yseIWf4Nzz#GoDucks #GoGreen pic.twitter.com/QR8fIxGFLL

— Redbox Bowl (@RedboxBowl) December 9, 2018
\n\n"}[/]

Michigan State Spartans (7-5 SU, 4-8 ATS)

Seasons: 94
Bowl Record: 12-15 SU, 11-12 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Mark Dantonio (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS)

Spartans head coach Mark Dantonio has won and covered the spread in five of his last six college football bowl games, despite going off the betting underdog in all but one. Dantonio, in fact, has kicked off a favorite in just two postseason matchups: the 2004 Fort Worth Bowl leading Cincinnati (-1) to a 32-14 win over Marshall, and Michigan State’s (-2.0) 42-17 romp over Washington State in last year’s Holiday Bowl.

Michigan State vs. Pac-12

SU Record: 3-2
Average Margin: 2.0
ATS Record: 2-3
Average Line: 1.7

Michigan State claimed victory in each of its two prior Pac-12 bowl matchups: the aforementioned 2017 Holiday Bowl, and a 24-20 win catching 6 points against Stanford in the 2014 Rose Bowl.

Oregon Ducks (8-4 SU, 5-6-1 ATS)

Seasons: 101
Bowl Record: 13-18 SU, 11-14 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Mario Cristobal (1-2 SU, 1-2 SU)

Two of Mario Cristobal’s bowl appearances came at Florida International in 2010 and 2011. He failed to win as a 6-point favorite in his lone postseason contest guiding the Ducks, losing 38-28 to Boise State in the 2017 Las Vegas Bowl.

Oregon vs. Big Ten (since 1980)

SU Record: 15-11 SU
Average Margin: 4.1
ATS Record: 15-10-1
Average Line: 0.1

Oregon is just 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS versus the Big Ten in bowl game matchups since 1980. The Ducks yield 32.5 points per game.

Read Our Redbox Bowl Preview
comment here