No. 7 Michigan Vs. No. 10 Florida : Peach Bowl Betting History, Trends

Jay Pryce

Monday, December 3, 2018 3:51 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 3, 2018 3:51 PM UTC

The 2018 Peach Bowl is set for a rare SEC-Big Ten clash when the No. 10 Florida Gators take on the No. 7 Michigan Wolverines. Get the betting numbers you need for this powerhouse matchup here. 

 

Founded in 1968, the Peach Bowl is one of six hosts for the College Football Playoffs, scheduling a national semifinal game every four years. Touting previous tie-ins with the ACC and SEC, during off years, the game welcomes various top-ranked programs. This year’s matchup between No. 10 Florida and No. 7 Michigan is the first SEC-Big Ten clash in nearly three decades. The two have met four times in bowl games since 2003. The Wolverines are 4-0 SU and ATS, covering a 0.2 average line by an eye-opening 16.2 points per game.

Peach Bowl: No. 10 Florida vs. No. 7 Michigan

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Results Last 20 Years
Season Winners Losers Final Line Total Winners SU ATS Result
1998 Georgia Virginia 35-33 -2.5 NA W L
1999 Mississippi St. Clemson 17-7 3 NA W W
2000 LSU Georgia Tech 28-14 -8.5 NA W W
2001 North Carolina Auburn 16-10 -2 NA W W
2002 Maryland Tennessee 30-3 -1 NA W W
2003 Clemson Tennessee 27-14 4.5 NA W W
2004 Miami (FL) Florida 27-10 -4 NA W W
2005 LSU Miami (FL) 40-3 6 NA W W
2006 Georgia Virginia Tech 31-24 2.5 38 W W
2007 Auburn Clemson 23-20 2 46.5 W W
2008 LSU Georgia Tech 38-3 4 52.5 W W
2009 Virginia Tech Tennessee 37-14 -5.5 49.5 W W
2010 Florida St. South Carolina 26-17 3 54.5 W W
2011 Auburn Virginia 43-24 -2.5 49 W W
2012 Clemson LSU 25-24 5 58.5 W W
2013 Texas A&M Duke 52-48 -12 75 W L
2014 TCU Ole Miss 42-3 -3.5 55 W W
2015 Houston Florida St. 38-24 7 56 W W
2016 Alabama Washington 24-7 -15.5 51.5 W W
2017 Central Florida Auburn 34-27 10 65.5 W W

Peach Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1998)

Average Points Differential: 15.2
Average Line: -0.5
Favorite ATS: 8-12
Average Total: 54.3 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 5-7
O/U Margin: -0.3
Largest Underdog Upset: Central Florida (+10) 37, Auburn 27 (2018)
Largest Spread: Alabama -15.5 (2016)
Largest Rout: TCU (-3.5) 42, Ole Miss 3 (2014)

Peach Bowl Summary & Trends

Since 1998, the winner has covered the spread in 18 of 20 contests.

The SEC is 6-5 SU and ATS as betting underdogs since 1998. Oddsmakers opened Florida a 6-point pup. LSU’s 40-3 romp over Miami (FL) in 2005 proved the longest upset for the conference, catching 6 points on the college football oddsboard.

Strong defense usually rules for the victors. Peach Bowl losers average just 16.4 points per game over the last 20 contests, held to just 96.0 yards rushing.

Conference H2H: SEC vs. Big Ten

Since 1980, the SEC is 75-45-1 SU and 66-52-3 ATS (55.9 percent) versus the Big Ten, kicking off an average 2.5-point favorite. Most matchups in this span have come in bowl games, where the SEC holds a 45-34-1 ATS (57.0 percent) edge. The Big Ten has gone off the betting favorite in roughly a quarter of the matchups (21), compiling 11-10 SU and 9-12 ATS record.

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It's official...@gatorsfb and & @umichfootball will face off in the #CFAPeachBowl! pic.twitter.com/qbh0Nb6Moi

— #CFAPeachBowl (@CFAPeachBowl) December 2, 2018
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No. 10 Florida (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS)

Seasons: 107
Bowl Record: 22-21 SU, 17-15 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Dan Mullen, 5-2 SU (3-4 ATS)

Mullen, who coached Mississippi State for nine seasons (2009-17), led the Bulldogs to eight straight bowl game appearances (2010-17). This is his first with Florida. Mullen did not coach in Mississippi State’s 31-27 victory over Louisville in the TaxSlayer Bowl last year, departing for the Gators early. Mullen generates 34.4 points per game in the postseason, but has caught points just once, spotted 1.5 points in a 34-20 loss to Northwestern in the 2013 Gator Bowl.

Gators vs. Big Ten (Since 1980)

SU Record: 8-6
Average Margin: 1.5
ATS Record: 7-7
Average Line: -2.4

Since 1980, every Florida-Big Ten clash has occurred on neutral soil. One interesting trend is that the ‘over’ has hit in all five the Gators have kicked off underdogs. A 55.2 combined score is easily topping a 44.0 average total in this situation. Three of the matchups have come against Michigan: 30-38 (2003), 7-41 (2016), and 17-33 (2017). Including a 41-35 defeat to the Wolverines as 10.5-point chalk in 2007, the Gators all 38.2 points per game in the series.

No. 7 Michigan (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS)

Seasons: 129
Bowl Record: 21-25
Coach, Bowl Record: Jim Harbaugh, 2-3 SU (3-2 ATS)

Between Stanford (2007-10) and Michigan (2015-present), the ‘over’ has hit in four of five bowl appearances for Harbaugh. A productive offense is the difference, his squads posting 31.8 points per game. Harbaugh has lost both games outright when spotting opponents more than 6 points: in 2017, 19-26 as an 8-point favorite vs. South Carolina; in 2016, 32-33 laying 6.5 to Florida State.

Wolverines vs. SEC (Since 1980)

SU Record: 10-7
Average Margin: 1.6
ATS Record: 9-7-1
Average Line: -1.3

The "over" has hit in 12 of the last 13 games against the SEC, all played on neutral soil.

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