2019 Outback Bowl: Iowa vs. No. 18 Mississippi State
Since 1995, the Outback Bowl has pitted one of the longest inter-sectional conference matchups in the college football postseason between the SEC and Big Ten. The SEC has won two-thirds (15-7 SU) of the meetings since. In 2018, No. 18 Mississippi State looks to continue its conference dominance over Iowa.
Outback Bowl Results Last 20 Years
|2000||S. Carolina||Ohio St.||24-7||7||N/A||W||N/A|
|2001||S. Carolina||Ohio St.||31-28||-1||N/A||W||N/A|
Outback Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1998)
Average Victory Margin: 10.7
Average Line: -1.3
Favorite ATS: 8-11-1
Average Total: 48.9 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 6-5-1 (since 2006)
O/U Margin: 0.7
Largest Underdog Upset: South Carolina (+8) 26, Michigan 19 (2018)
Largest Spread: Tennessee -9 (2016)
Largest Rout: Tennessee 45, Northwestern 6 (2016)
Outback Bowl Summary & Trends
- The game winner is 16-3-1 ATS, covering a -1.3 average spread by 9.4 points per game.
- Teams gifting fewer turnovers for the year have won two-thirds of the last 15 Outback Bowls (10-5 SU). In 2018, Mississippi State allows 0.8 giveaways, as opposed to 1.3 for Iowa.
- The SEC is 15-7 in the last 22 matchups against the Big Ten.
Conference H2H: SEC vs, Big Ten
Since 1980, The SEC is 75-45-1 SU (62.5 percent) and 66-52-3 ATS (55.9 percent) in head-to-head clashes against the Big Ten, going off a -2.5 average favorite. Most in this span occur in the postseason, where the SEC is 51-29 SU (63.8 percent) and 45-34-1 ATS (57.0 percent) in bowl games. The SEC is particularly dominant, and often heavier chalk, when owning a higher average margin of victory then its Big Ten opponent, going 32-11 SU (74.4 percent) and 26-16-1 ATS (61.9 percent) overall. In the last decade, the SEC is 15-1 SU and 12-3-1 ATS in this situation.
Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4 SU, 8-3-1 ATS)
Bowl Record: 15-15-1 SU, 13-16 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Kirk Ferentz (7-8 SU, 9-6 ATS)
Longtime Hawkeyes leader Kirk Ferentz is 2-5 SU and 4-3 ATS catching 4 points or more on the college football oddsboard in bowl games. Iowa tends to score few points under these betting conditions, averaging 19.9 points. The :under’ is 5-2 overall.
Iowa vs. SEC (Since 1980)
SU Record: 4-6
Average Margin: -1.5
ATS Record: 5-5
Average Line: 2.1
Since 1980, all but one of Iowa’s 10 SEC matchups has occurred in the postseason. The Hawkeyes are 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS in bowl games, going off a 2.6 average underdog.
No. 18 Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4 SU, 8-3-1 ATS)
Bowl Record: 13-8 SU, 7-7 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Joe Moorhead (0-0)
This is Mississippi State head coach Joe Moorhead’s first season in charge of an FBS program. His collegiate postseason experience includes leading Fordham to the FCS playoffs in each year during the 2013-15 seasons, twice reaching the second round.
Mississippi State vs. Big Ten (Since 1980)
SU Record: 2-1
Average Margin: 10.3
ATS Record: 1-1-1
The Bulldogs routed Michigan 52-14 as 4.5-point favorites in the 2011 Gator Bowl, yet sustained a 34-20 defeat to Northwestern as 1.5-point underdogs in the 2013 Gator Bowl in two Big Ten bowl matchups since 1980.