No. 1 Alabama Vs. No. 4 Oklahoma: Orange Bowl Betting History, Trends

Monday, December 3, 2018 3:13 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 3, 2018 3:13 PM UTC

Top-ranked Alabama opens a two-touchdown favorite in the 2018 Orange Bowl, one of two national semifinals for the College Football Playoffs.

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Live Game Odds">Orange Bowl: No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Oklahoma</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690815, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,169,999993], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>The Orange Bowl is tied as the second oldest bowl game (Sun, Sugar) in the nation (1935) behind the Rose Bowl (1902). The contest currently is played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Associated with the Big Eight and Big East in prior conference tie-ins, it has hosted the ACC champion since 2006, unless it is hosting a national College Football Playoff semifinal like it is in 2018.</p><h2>Results Last 20 Years</h2><table border="1" style="width:100%"> <tbody> <tr> <th>Season</th> <th>Winning Team</th> <th>Losing Team</th> <th>Final</th> <th>Line</th> <th>Total</th> <th>SU</th> <th>Winner ATS</th> </tr> <tr> <td>1998</td> <td>Florida</td> <td>Syracuse</td> <td>31-10</td> <td>-6.5</td> <td>NA</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>1999</td> <td>Michigan</td> <td>Alabama</td> <td>35-34</td> <td>1</td> <td>NA</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2000</td> <td>Oklahoma</td> <td>Florida St.</td> <td>13-2</td> <td>10</td> <td>NA</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2001</td> <td>Florida</td> <td>Maryland</td> <td>56-23</td> <td>-14</td> <td>NA</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2002</td> <td>USC</td> <td>Iowa</td> <td>38-17</td> <td>-4.5</td> <td>NA</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2003</td> <td>Miami (FL)</td> <td>Florida St.</td> <td>16-14</td> <td>-1.5</td> <td>NA</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2004</td> <td>USC</td> <td>Oklahoma</td> <td>55-19</td> <td>-1</td> <td>NA</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2005</td> <td>Penn St.</td> <td>Florida St.</td> <td>26-23</td> <td>-9</td> <td>NA</td> <td>W</td> <td>L</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2006</td> <td>Louisville</td> <td>Wake Forest</td> <td>24-13</td> <td>-10</td> <td>52.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2007</td> <td>Kansas</td> <td>Va. Tech</td> <td>24-21</td> <td>3</td> <td>51</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2008</td> <td>Va. Tech</td> <td>Cincinnati</td> <td>20-7</td> <td>2.5</td> <td>42</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2009</td> <td>Iowa</td> <td>Ga. Tech</td> <td>24-14</td> <td>5</td> <td>50.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2010</td> <td>Stanford</td> <td>Va. Tech</td> <td>40-12</td> <td>-3.5</td> <td>58.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2011</td> <td>West Va.</td> <td>Clemson</td> <td>70-33</td> <td>2.5</td> <td>63</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2012</td> <td>Florida St.</td> <td>N. Illinois</td> <td>31-10</td> <td>-14</td> <td>58.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2013</td> <td>Clemson</td> <td>Ohio St.</td> <td>40-35</td> <td>2</td> <td>71</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2014</td> <td>Ga. Tech</td> <td>Mississippi St.</td> <td>49-34</td> <td>7</td> <td>60</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2015</td> <td>Clemson</td> <td>Oklahoma</td> <td>37-17</td> <td>3.5</td> <td>63.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2016</td> <td>Florida St.</td> <td>Michigan</td> <td>33-32</td> <td>6.5</td> <td>53</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2017</td> <td>Wisconsin</td> <td>Miami (FL)</td> <td>34-24</td> <td>-6.5</td> <td>45</td> <td>W</td> <td>W</td> </tr> </tbody></table><p> </p><h2>Orange Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1999)</h2><p><strong>Average Points Differential:</strong> 15.1<br /><strong>Average Line: </strong>-1.4<br /><strong>Favorite ATS:</strong> 9-11<br /><strong>Average Total:</strong> 55.7 (since 2006)<br /><strong>O/U Record:</strong> 5-7<br /><strong>O/U Margin:</strong> 0.8<br /><strong>Largest Underdog Upset:</strong> Oklahoma (+10) 13, Florida State 2 (2000)<br /><strong>Largest Spread:</strong> Florida (-14) 56, Maryland 23 (2001); Florida State (-14) 31, Northern Illinois 10 (2012)<br /><strong>Largest Rout: </strong>West Virginia (+2.5) 70, Clemson 33 (2011)</p><h2>Orange Bowl Summary &amp; Trends</h2><p>Straight-up winners have covered the spread in 19 of the last 20 Orange Bowls. Penn State missed out besting a 9-point spread in its 26-23 victory over Florida State in 2005.</p><p>Underdogs have won seven of the last 10 outright, covering a 4.1 average line by a whopping 18.6 points per game. Five upsets have come by double digits.</p><p>Twelve of the last 16 SU and ATS winners yielded fewer passing yards in their prior contest.</p><h2>Conference H2H: SEC vs. Big 12</h2><p>Since 1980, the SEC and Big 12 have squared off 50 times in bowl games. The former is 31-19 SU and 32-18 ATS (64.0 percent), kicking off a 0.6 average underdog. The SEC typically takes care of business when the betting favorite on the college football oddsboard, going 18-5 ATS (78.3 percent) overall. Since 2006, the O/U record is 13-12 with a 59.0 average total.</p><p><a href=";ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;&lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#CFBPlayoff&lt;/a&gt; Semifinal at the &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@OrangeBowl&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;No. 1 &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@AlabamaFTBL&lt;/a&gt; vs. No. 4 &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@OU_Football&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#RollTide&lt;/a&gt; // &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#BoomerSooner&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— College Football Playoff (@CFBPlayoff) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;December 2, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</a></p><h2><strong>No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0 SU, 7-5-1 ATS)</strong></h2><p><strong>Seasons: </strong>115<br /><strong>Bowl Record:</strong> 40-25-3 SU, 17-11 ATS (since 1980)<br /><strong>Coach, Bowl (CFP) Record</strong>: Nick Saban, 14-9 SU, 12-11 ATS</p><p>Since taking over has head coach of Alabama, the "over" is 10-4 (71.4 percent) when Saban leads the program in postseason play. It is part of a larger 21-7-2 (75.0 percent) trend cashing the "ove"’ when the Crimson Tide kickoff on neutral soil under his leadership. Alabama has surpassed its projected team total in 22 of the 30 contests.</p><p>Saban’s teams are synonymous with strong defenses, particularly against the rush. Including stints at Michigan State (1995-1999) and LSU (2000-04) , his units hold opponents to 76.0 rushing yards per contest and a paltry 2.4 yards per carry in bowl games.</p><h2>Alabama vs. Big 12</h2><p><strong>SU Record: </strong>6-4<br /><strong>Average Margin:</strong> 0.7<br /><strong>ATS Record: </strong>6-4<br /><strong>Average Line: </strong>-3.1</p><p>Since 2006, the "over" is a perfect 5-0 when ‘Bama faces a Big-12 opponent. The Crimson Tide posts 32.4 points per game. The defense has allowed the opposition to reach their projected team total in each contests, which includes four under Saban.</p><h2>No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners (12-1 SU, 6-7 ATS)</h2><p><strong>Seasons: </strong>110<br /><strong>Bowl Record:</strong> 29-21-1, 12-18 ATS (since 1980)<br /><strong>Coach, Bowl Record:</strong> Lincoln Riley</p><p>The Sooners have played in 20 straight bowl games. Head coach Lincoln Riley dropped his first in charge in a thrilling 54-48 double-overtime loss versus Georgia in last year’s Rose Bowl. The Sooners went off 3-point underdogs.</p><h2>Oklahoma vs. SEC</h2><p><strong>SU Record: </strong>9-5 (since 1980)<br /><strong>Average Margin: </strong>5.4<br /><strong>ATS Record:</strong> 6-8<br /><strong>Average Line:</strong> -5.0</p><p>In eight neutral-site encounters against the SEC since 1980, Oklahoma is just 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS. This includes the Sooners’ 16.5-point upset over Alabama in the 2014 Sugar Bowl.</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Read SBR's Orange Bowl Preview">Read Our Orange Bowl Game Preview</a></h2>
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