Middle Tennessee Vs. App State: New Orleans Bowl Trends & Betting History

new orleans bowl

Jay Pryce

Saturday, December 8, 2018 3:47 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 8, 2018 3:47 PM UTC

Middle Tennessee returns to the New Orleans Bowl for the first time since 2009, when it was a member of the Sun Belt conference. Now a representative of Conference USA, the Blue Raiders are 7-point underdogs versus the current Sun Belt Champions Appalachian State Mountaineers. 

2018 New Orleans Bowl: Middle Tennessee vs. Appalachian State

The Sun Belt Champion Appalachian State is a touchdown favorite to beat Middle Tennessee, a traditional Conference USA tie-in, in the 2018 New Orleans Bowl. The Sun Belt, which has sent a team to all 17 matchups, has won seven of the last nine contests.

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Results
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS O/U
2001 Colorado St. North Texas 45-20 -11 N/A W N/A
2002 North Texas Cincinnati 24-19 7.5 N/A W N/A
2003 Memphis North Texas 27-17 -4 N/A W N/A
2004 S. Mississippi North Texas 31-10 -6 N/A W N/A
2005 S. Mississippi Arkansas St. 31-19 -15 N/A L N/A
2006 Troy Rice 41-17 4.5 54.5 W O
2007 Florida Atlantic Memphis 44-27 -2.5 66 W O
2008 S. Mississippi Troy 30-27 4 54.5 W O
2009 Middle Tennessee S. Mississippi 42-32 3 58.5 W O
2010 Troy Ohio 48-21 -2 58 W O
2011 Louisiana-Lafayette San Diego St. 32-30 4 60 W O
2012 Louisiana-Lafayette East Carolina 43-34 -6 69 W O
2013 Louisiana-Lafayette Tulane 24-21 1 49.5 W U
2014 Louisiana-Lafayette Nevada 16-3 0 61.5 W U
2015 Louisiana Tech Arkansas St. 47-28 -1.5 67.5 W O
2016 S. Mississippi Louisiana-Lafayette 28-21 -6 57.5 W U
2017 Troy North Texas 50-30 -7 62.5 W O
New Orleans Bowl Key Betting Numbers

Average Victory Margin: 13.3
Average Line: -2.2
Favorite ATS: 9-8
Average Total: 59.9 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 9-3 (since 2006)
O/U Margin: 1.4
Largest Underdog Upset: Troy (+4.5) 41, Rice 17
Largest Spread: Southern Mississippi -15 (2005)
Largest Rout: Troy 48, Ohio 21 (2010)

New Orleans Bowl Summary & Trends
  • The winner has covered the spread in all but one of the 17 contests.
  • The victor averages 35.5 points, compiling 154.8 rushing yards and 323.2 passing yards per game.
  • Teams average 34.8 first-half points, combining for more than 30 in 14 of 17 matchups.
  • Passing defense rarely matters when determining the winner. Since 2006, nine of the 11 winners yield more yards through the air than their opponents entering the contest. App State allows 148.2 passing yards per game, as opposed to 213.1 for Middle Tennessee.
Conference H2H: C-USA vs. Sun Belt

Since 2006, Conference USA is 44-39 SU (53.0 percent) and 41-41 ATS versus the Sun Belt, going off a -1.1 average favorite. Twelve have taken place on neutral soil, all bowl games, where the Sun Belt holds a slight 7-5 SU and ATS advantage. The “over” has cashed in two-thirds with a 60.4 average final score topping a 58.5 total.

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#RLBowl ALERT: The matchup is set! @MT_FB and @AppState_FB punch their ticket to the @RLCarriers New Orleans Bowl!

Learn More: https://t.co/lZkRm1Ykfi pic.twitter.com/92P9gCbZxr

— New Orleans Bowl (@NewOrleansBowl) 2 de dezembro de 2018
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Middle Tennessee (8-5 SU, 8-5 ATS)

Seasons: 20
Bowl Record: 2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS
Coach, Bowl Record: Rick Stockstill (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS)
Rick Stockstill has led Middle Tennessee to all seven of its bowl appearances, including the 2006 Motor City Bowl his first year in charge. Going 2-5 SU and ATS, mustering up a potent defense is problematic. The Blue Raiders yield 35.6 points on 440.3 yards per game. They’ve yielded 30 points or more in all but one.

Middle Tennessee vs. C-USA

SU Record: 51-38
Average Margin: 3.4
ATS Record: 42-44-2
Average Line: -4.1
The Blue Raiders played in the Sun Belt from 2001-2012 after spending two seasons as an Independent entering the FBS level. They claimed the conference crown once in 2006. Middle Tennessee topped Arkansas State 35-30 as a 3-point underdog in last year’s Camellia Bowl in the only head-to-head matchup since the move.

Appalachian State (10-2 SU, 7-3-2 ATS)

Seasons: 15
Bowl Record: 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS
Coach, Bowl Record: Mark Ivey (0-0)
Assistant Head and Defensive Line Coach Mark Ivey was named interim head coach for the New Orleans Bowl with Scott Satterfield departing to take over the Louisville program. It’s Ivey’s first stint as head, and hopes to keep App State’s perfect bowl record (3-0) intact. In 2015, App State claimed the honor of being the first FBS team to win a bowl game in its inaugural season.

App State vs. C-USA

SU Record: 3-3
Average Margin: 13.5
ATS Record: 4-2
Average Line: -2.0
Since joining the FBS, App State has played Sun Belt representatives Old Dominion twice and Charlotte once. It won all three by 49, 24, and 36 points respectively.

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