North Texas Vs. Utah State: New Mexico Bowl Trends & Betting History

Wednesday, December 5, 2018 2:34 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 5, 2018 2:34 PM UTC

Need some 2018 New Mexico Bowl handicapping help? Here are some key numbers, past history, and betting trends to help. 


2018 New Mexico Bowl: North Texas vs. Utah State

Utah State is the Mountain West Conference representative of the 13th annual New Mexico Bowl, installed an 11-point favorite over Conference USA runner-up North Texas. The line has adjusted to -9 as of publication. The Aggies topped C-USA representative UTEP 21-6 as 10-point chalk in the 2014 edition, their last trip to Albuquerque for the college football postseason. The game is played on Dec. 15 (noon MT) at Dreamstyle Stadium.

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New Mexico Bowl Results
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS O/U
2006 San Jose State New Mexico 20-12 3.5 48.5 W U
2007 New Mexico Nevada 23-0 2.5 58.5 W U
2008 Colorado State Fresno State 40-35 2 60.5 W O
2009 Wyoming Fresno State 35-28 10.5 55 W O
2010 BYU UTEP 52-24 11.5 50.5 W O
2011 Temple Wyoming 37-15 7 50.5 W O
2012 Arizona Nevada 49-48 8.5 79 L O
2013 Colorado State Washington State 48-45 4.5 66.5 W O
2014 Utah State UTEP 21-6 10 46 W U
2015 Arizona New Mexico 45-37 9 65 L O
2016 New Mexico Texas San Antonio 23-20 8 54 L U
2017 Marshall Colorado State 31-28 3.5 58 W O
New Mexico Bowl Key Betting Numbers

Average Victory Margin: 10.5
Average Line: -2.7
Favorite ATS: 4-8
Average Total: 57.7
O/U Record: 8-4
O/U Margin: 2.5
Largest Underdog Upset: Wyoming (+10.5) 35, Fresno St. 28 (2009)
Largest Spread: BYU -11.5 (2010)
Largest Rout: BYU 52, UTEP 24 (2010)

New Mexico Bowl Summary & Trends

North Texas is the fourth C-USA team to play in the New Mexico Bowl. The conference is winless and 1-2 ATS in prior efforts, averaging a lowly 16.7 points per game. The Mountain West, meanwhile, is 7-5 SU and 8-4 ATS overall.

Winners coming out of contests scoring fewer than 34 points are a perfect 7-0 ATS, as opposed to a 2-3 record accruing more. Both Utah State and North Texas put up 24 points in their final game.

The New Mexico Bowl winner averages 35.3 points per game.

Conference H2H: Mountain West vs. C-USA

The Mountain West is 37-26 SU and 31-31 ATS (49.2 percent) in head-to-head battles, going off a -4.6 average favorite. In bowl game matchups, the conference is 7-9 SU and ATS. Scoring points is an issue historically. The Mountain West averages 20.9 points, while C-USA programs put up just 23.0 per game. The “under” is 13-3 overall.

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🚨2018 New Mexico Bowl🚨

🏈@USUFootball vs @MeanGreenFB
📅Saturday, Dec. 15th
🕑 Noon MST
📍Dreamstyle Stadium

— New Mexico Bowl (@NMBowl) December 2, 2018

North Texas Mean Green (9-3 SU, 4-7-1 ATS)

Seasons: 54
Bowl Record: 3-7 SU, 3-4 ATS (since 2001)
Coach, Bowl Record: Seth Littrell, (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)

Littrell has guided the Mean Green to consecutive bowl games, emphasizing offense and scoring. A 38-31 overtime defeat to Army in the 2016 Heart of Dallas bowl and 50-30 loss to Troy in the 2017 New Orleans Bowl cashed the “over” by double digits each in regulation time. The aforementioned contests went off with 48.5 and 62.5 totals respectively.

North Texas vs. Mountain West

SU Record: 1-4
Average Margin: -15.4
ATS Record: 1-4
Average Line: 6.5

North Texas is 0-4 ATS all-time catching points against Mountain West opposition, coming up 15.0 points shy of a 9.8 average line.

Utah State Aggies (10-2 SU, 8-3-1 ATS)

Seasons: 104
Bowl Record: 4-7 SU, 4-4 ATS (since 1993)
Coach, Bowl Record: Frank Maile (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)

Utah State athletic director John Hartwell named Frank Maile interim head coach as Matt Wells departed for Texas Tech following the regular-season finale after six years in charge. Wells will be “heavily involved” in the Aggies game plan, and requested to be on the sidelines on the game, so don’t expect much upheaval by the changes.

The “under” has hit in each of Utah State’s last six bowl games, including four under Wells. The Aggies, 2-2 SU and ATS average 20.8 points, coming up 8.3 points shy per game of projections.

Utah State vs. C-USA

SU Record: 2-2
Average Margin: 5.7
ATS Record: 3-1
Average Line: -4.4

In two matchups going off the betting favorite, Utah State has held C-USA opponents to 11.5 points and 287.0 yards per game.

Read Our New Mexico Bowl Game Preview
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