Cincinnati Vs. Virginia Tech: Military Bowl Trends & Betting History

Tuesday, December 18, 2018 8:10 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 18, 2018 8:10 PM UTC

Cincinnati gets a third shot at knocking off Virginia Tech in the postseason. The Hokies dominated 20-7 (Orange Bowl, 2009) and 33-17 (Military Bowl, 2014) in two prior bowl clashes with the Bearcats.

Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech: Military Bowl Trends & Betting History

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The Military Bowl, the Washington D.C. area’s lone bowl event, first kicked off in 2008 as the EagleBank Bowl. It is played at the Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland, moving from RFK Memorial Stadium in the nation’s capital. Since 2014, the matchup schedules the Atlantic Coast Conference versus the American Athletic Conference. In 2018, the Cincinnati Bearcats square off against the Virginia Tech Hokies.

Military Bowl Results
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS O/U
2008 Wake Forest Navy 29-19 -3 43.5 W O
2009 UCLA Temple 30-21 -4.5 44.5 W O
2010 Maryland E. Carolina 51-20 -7.5 68 W O
2011 Toledo Air Force 42-41 -3 70 L O
2012 San Jose St. Bowling Green 29-20 -7.5 45.5 W O
2013 Marshall Maryland 31-20 -3 64 W U
2014 Va. Tech Cincinnati 33-17 2.5 50.5 W U
2015 Navy Pitt 44-28 -3 52.5 W O
2016 Wake Forest Temple 34-26 10.5 41 W O
2017 Navy Virginia 49-7 -2 54 W O

Military Bowl Key Betting Numbers

Average Victory Margin: 15.3
Average Line: -2.0
Favorite ATS: 7-3
Average Total: 53.4
O/U Record: 8-2
O/U Margin: 5.7
Largest Underdog Upset: Wake Forest (+10.5) 34, Tennessee 26 (2016)
Largest Spread: Tennessee -10.5 (2016)
Largest Rout: Navy 49, Virginia 7

Military Bowl Summary & Trends
  • The game winner is 9-1 ATS, covering the spread by 13.5 points per game.
  • The game winner averages 37.2 points.
  • Seven of the 10 Military Bowl winners force more turnovers entering than their opponents. Virginia Tech generated 1.2 takeaways per game versus 1.5 for Cincinnati.

Conference H2H: AAC vs. ACC

The ACC is 27-18 SU (60.0 percent) and 23-22 ATS (51.1 percent) in head-to-head battles against the AAC, kicking off a commanding 8.0 average favorite. The non-Power 5 conference has split 10 bowl matchups, however, going 6-4 ATS at a 0.2 average spread. The last six postseason meetings have soared “over” the total by a 17.6 average margin, the AAC averaging 40.7 points per contest.

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🏆2018 #MilitaryBowl presented by @northropgrumman, benefiting @USOMetroDC!

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📅 Dec. 31
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— #MilitaryBowl (@MilitaryBowl) December 3, 2018
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Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS)

Seasons: 115
Bowl Record: 13-18 SU, 12-16 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Justin Fuente (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS)

Justin Fuente coached AAC Memphis to a 55-48 double-overtime victory versus BYU in the 2014 Miami Beach Bowl. He’s 1-1 SU and ATS at Virginia Tech. Second-half comebacks have been Fuente’s modus operandi in postseason events. He’s entered the half down by 6 points or more in each game, outscored by an average 21.6 to 10.3 score line. The tally is flipped in the final two quarters, Fuente winning 23.3 to 11.4 closing out.

Virginia Tech vs. AAC

SU Record: 4-2
Average Margin: 14.8
ATS Record: 3-3
Average Line: -11.7

The Hokies have put up 55, 54, and 64 points in their last three AAC outings, 18.6 more per game than the market projected. The last two were with Fuente in charge.

Cincinnati Bearcats (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS)

Seasons: 65
Bowl Record: 6-8 SU, 4-10 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Luke Fickell (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Luke Fickell, the 2018 AAC Coach of the Year, lost his lone bowl appearance when leading Ohio State in 2011 as interim head coach following Jim Tressel’s departure. The Buckeyes fell 24-17 to Florida in the 2012 Gator Bowl as a 2.5-point underdog.

Cincinnati vs. ACC

SU Record: 4-7
Average Margin: -6.9
ATS Record: 5-6
Average Line: 6.4

The “under” is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, the Bearcats posting 25.1 points per game.

Check Out SBR's Military Bowl Preview
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