Fresno State Vs. Arizona State: Las Vegas Bowl Trends & Betting History

las vegas bowl

Jay Pryce

Friday, December 7, 2018 1:30 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 7, 2018 1:30 PM UTC

Do not bet on the Las Vegas Bowl before checking out these past results, trends, and betting histories of the event, which features No. 21 Fresno State and Arizona State. 

Las Vegas Bowl: Arizona State vs. No. 21 Fresno State

The 27th edition of the Las Vegas Bowl sees the Mountain West football champion a rare betting favorite against a Pac-12 opponent. No. 21 Fresno State is laying 4.5 points to Arizona State as of publication, adjusted from a -3 opener.

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Results Last 20 Years
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS
1998 North Carolina San Diego St. 20-13 -7 N/A P
1999 Utah Fresno St. 17-16 -4.5 N/A L
2000 UNLV Arkansas 31-14 -1 N/A W
2001 Utah USC 10-6 3.5 N/A W
2002 UCLA New Mexico 27-13 -10.5 N/A W
2003 Oregon St. New Mexico 55-14 -2 N/A W
2004 Wyoming UCLA 24-21 12.5 N/A W
2005 California BYU 35-28 -8.5 N/A L
2006 BYU Oregon 38-8 -3.5 62 W
2007 BYU UCLA 17-16 -5.5 46.5 L
2008 Arizona BYU 31-21 -3.5 62 W
2009 BYU Oregon St. 44-20 2.5 58.5 W
2010 Boise St. Utah 26-3 -16.5 57.5 W
2011 Boise St. Arizona St. 56-24 -14 67 W
2012 Boise St. Washington 28-26 -4.5 44 L
2013 USC Fresno St. 45-20 -6 65.5 W
2014 Utah Colorado St. 45-10 -4 57.5 W
2015 Utah BYU 35-28 -2.5 51.5 W
2016 San Diego St. Houston 34-10 4.5 51.5 W
2017 Boise St Oregon 38-28 6 62 W

Las Vegas Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1998 Unless Noted)

Average Victory Margin: 15.8
Average Line: -3.2
Favorite ATS: 10-9-1
Average Total: 57.1 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 5-7 (since 2006)
O/U Margin: -2.8
Largest Underdog Upset: Wyoming (+12.5) 24, UCLA 21 (2004)
Largest Spread: Boise State -16.5 (2010)
Largest Rout: Oregon State 55, New Mexico 14 (2003)

Las Vegas Bowl Summary & Trends
  • Ranked teams higher than their opponents are 7-2 SU and ATS since 2006.
  • The victors are 15-4-1 ATS, yielding just 16.9 points per game.
  • Boise State is the only Mountain West team to beat a Pac-12 opponent in the Las Vegas Bowl, successful thrice against Arizona State (2011), Washington (2012), and Oregon (2017).
Conference H2H: Pac-12 vs. Mountain West

The Pac-12 is 61-21 SU (74.4 percent) all-time in head-to-head battles, superior talent and class helping generate a -11.8 average line in matchups. The ATS record is a near perfect split: 40-41-1 (49.4 percent).

Past results show few upsets when Pac-12 teams catch points on the college football oddsboard. They are 1-10 SU, yet 7-4 ATS as betting underdogs. Mountain West squads post 40.3 points per game in this spot, which has helped ‘over’ bettors cash in nine of the 11 clashes.

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OFFICIAL: The 27th #MMLVBowl will be played between @ASUFootball & @FresnoStateFB! #mitsubishilasvegasbowl

🗓️: Saturday, Dec. 15
⏰: 12:30 pm
📺: ABC
🏟️: Sam Boyd Stadium
🎟️: https://t.co/jwOvz8sT0M pic.twitter.com/ZW1IKkEU1n

— Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl (@LasVegasBowl) 2 de dezembro de 2018
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Arizona State Sun Devils (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS)

Seasons: 85
Bowl Record: 14-15-1
Coach, Bowl Record: Herm Edwards (N/A)
This is the first bowl game for long-time NFL head Herm Edwards. In his only other experience coaching at the collegiate level, as a defensive backs coach for San Jose State (1987-1989), Edwards tasted a 30-27 defeat to Eastern Michigan in the 1987 California Bowl.

Arizona State vs. Mountain West

SU Record: 3-4
Average Margin: 1.4
ATS Record: 2-5
Average Line: -9.6

Mountain West teams average 212.3 rushing yards overall. In three prior tussles with a single-digit line, the Sun Devils have posted just 21, 20, and 13 points.

Fresno State Bulldogs (11-2 SU, 9-4 ATS)

Seasons: 50
Bowl Record: 10-12
Coach, Bowl Record: Jeff Tedford (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS)

All but one of Jeff Tedford’s bowl games came in his decade-long stint as Cal coach. He led the Bulldogs to a 33-27 win verse Houston as a 2-point underdog in last year’s Hawaii Bowl. The “over” is 7-2 with a 63.2 average combined score.

Fresno State vs. Pac-12

SU Record: 2-7
Average Margin: -11.3
ATS Record: 4-5
Average Line: 12.6

The Bulldogs have kicked off the betting favorites in two other tussles against Pac-12 foes. They covered a 15 point spread by 40 in a 61-14 win over Colorado in 2012, while easily topping a 2.5-point handicap in a 38-14 victory over UCLA earlier this season.

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