Temple Vs. Duke: Independence Bowl Trends & Betting History

Friday, December 14, 2018 3:33 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 14, 2018 3:33 PM UTC

The Independence Bowl has fostered few upsets in recent years with 10 of the last 12 betting favorites winning. Can Duke reverse the trend versus Temple in 2018? Let history help you answer the question. 

<h2><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/duke-blue-devils-vs-temple-owls-3690915/odds/" target="_blank" title="Temple Vs. Duke Odds Board">2018 Independence Bowl: Temple vs. Duke</a></h2><p>The Independence Bowl, played at Independence Stadium in Shreveport, Louisiana, got its start and name kicking off in celebration of the United States Bicentennial in 1976. The event has hosted over 13 different conferences with multiple tie-ins over the years. In 2018, the American-Athletic Conference sends its first ever Temple to take on Duke from the Atlantic Coast Conference.</p><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690915, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1096,238,999996,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><h2>Results Last 20 Years</h2><table border="1" style="width:100%"> <tbody> <tr> <th>Season</th> <th>Winner</th> <th>Loser</th> <th>Final</th> <th>Line</th> <th>Total</th> <th>Winner ATS</th> <th>O/U</th> </tr> <tr> <td>1998</td> <td>Ole Miss</td> <td>Texas Tech</td> <td>35-18</td> <td>9.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>1999</td> <td>Ole Miss</td> <td>Oklahoma</td> <td>27-25</td> <td>4</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2000</td> <td>Mississippi St.</td> <td>Texas A&amp;M</td> <td>43-41</td> <td>1.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2001</td> <td>Alabama</td> <td>Iowa St.</td> <td>14-13</td> <td>-6</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>L</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2002</td> <td>Ole Miss</td> <td>Nebraska</td> <td>27-23</td> <td>7</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2003</td> <td>Arkansas</td> <td>Missouri</td> <td>27-14</td> <td>-2.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2004</td> <td>Iowa St.</td> <td>Miami (OH)</td> <td>17-13</td> <td>1</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2005</td> <td>Missouri</td> <td>S. Carolina</td> <td>38-31</td> <td>3.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2006</td> <td>Oklahoma St.</td> <td>Alabama</td> <td>34-31</td> <td>-2</td> <td>51</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2007</td> <td>Alabama</td> <td>Colorado</td> <td>30-24</td> <td>-4</td> <td>52</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2008</td> <td>La. Tech</td> <td>N. Illinois</td> <td>17-10</td> <td>-1</td> <td>46.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2009</td> <td>Georgia</td> <td>Texas A&amp;M</td> <td>44-20</td> <td>-7</td> <td>65</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2010</td> <td>Air Force</td> <td>Georgia Tech</td> <td>14-7</td> <td>-2.5</td> <td>56</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2011</td> <td>Missouri</td> <td>N. Carolina</td> <td>41-24</td> <td>-5</td> <td>53.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2012</td> <td>Ohio</td> <td>Louisiana-Monroe</td> <td>45-14</td> <td>6.5</td> <td>60</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2013</td> <td>Arizona</td> <td>Boston College</td> <td>42-19</td> <td>-7.5</td> <td>57</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2014</td> <td>S. Carolina</td> <td>Miami (FL)</td> <td>24-21</td> <td>2.5</td> <td>62</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2015</td> <td>Va. Tech</td> <td>Tulsa</td> <td>55-52</td> <td>-13.5</td> <td>62.5</td> <td>L</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2016</td> <td>N.C. State</td> <td>Vanderbilt</td> <td>41-17</td> <td>-6.5</td> <td>46</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2017</td> <td>Florida St.</td> <td>S. Mississippi</td> <td>42-13</td> <td>-16</td> <td>49</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> </tbody></table><p> </p><h2>Independence Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1998 Unless Noted)</h2><p><strong>Average Victory Margin: </strong>11.3<br /><strong>Average Line: </strong>-1.9<br /><strong>Favorite ATS: </strong>10-10<br /><strong>Average Total: </strong>55.0 (since 2006)<br /><strong>O/U Record: </strong>7-5 (since 2006)<br /><strong>O/U Margin:</strong> 1.7<br /><strong>Largest Underdog Upset: </strong>Ole Miss (+9.5) 35, Texas Tech 18 (1998)<br /><strong>Largest Spread: </strong>Florida St. -16 (2017)<br /><strong>Largest Rout: </strong>Ohio 45, Louisiana-Monroe 14 (2012)</p><h2>Independence Bowl Summary &amp; Trends</h2><ul> <li>The winner has covered the spread in 18 of the last 20 matchups.</li> <li>The game loser averages 21.5 points since 1998.</li> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football" target="_blank" title="NCAAF Odds Board">The betting favorite is 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS since 2006</a>, covering a -4.7 average line by 10.0 points per game.</li> <li>Teams forcing more takeaways on the season are 10-2 SU and ATS in the last 12 matchups. Temple generates 2.3 and Duke 0.9 turnovers per game in 2018.</li></ul><h2>Conference H2H: AAC vs. ACC</h2><p>The ACC is 27-18 SU (60.0 percent) and 23-22 ATS (51.1 percent) in head-to-head battles, kicking off a -8.0 average favorite. The conferences have split 10 bowl games evenly in terms of straight-up victories, but the ACC holds a slight 6-4 ATS edge. The best bet has been the “over.” It is 7-3 with a 10.1 average margin.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Mentality. &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/IndyBowl?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@IndyBowl&lt;/a&gt;&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/TempleTUFF?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#TempleTUFF&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/VHCAXVJhKM\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/VHCAXVJhKM&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Temple Football (@Temple_FB) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/Temple_FB/status/1072543104429948932?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;11 de dezembro de 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2>Temple Owls (8-4 SU, 8-3-1 ATS)</h2><p><strong>Seasons:</strong> 71<br /><strong>Bowl Record: </strong>3-4 SU, 2-3 ATS (since 1980)<br /><strong>Coach, Bowl Record: </strong>Ed Foley (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)</p><p>Ed Foley, a longtime football fixture at Temple, will tackle his second bowl game as interim head coach. He replaces Geoff Collins, the latter departing early to take over at Georgia Tech. Foley guided the Owls to a 34-26 loss against Wake Forest in the 2016 Military Bowl after Matt Rhule left the program early to take the Baylor job. The university hired Miami (FL) defensive coordinator Matt Diaz as head coach for next season.</p><h2>Temple vs. ACC</h2><p><strong>SU Record: </strong>1-15 (since 1980)<br /><strong>Average Margin: </strong>-18.8<br /><strong>ATS Record: </strong>6-8-2<br /><strong>Average Line: </strong>18.3</p><p>In five attempts, the Owls are winless in games with a single-line or as the betting favorite against the ACC over the last 35 years. This includes going off 8.5- and 10.5-point chalk against Maryland (2012) and Wake Forest (2016). The Terps won the former 37-26 in Philadelphia, while the Demon Deacons surprised 34-26 on neutral soil in the latter.</p><h2>Duke Blue Devils (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS)</h2><p><strong>Seasons: </strong>97<br /><strong>Bowl Record: </strong>5-8 SU, 4-3 ATS (since 1980)<br /><strong>Coach, Bowl Record: </strong>David Cutcliffe (6-4 SU, 8-2 ATS)</p><p>Including five bowl appearances while at Ole Miss (1998-2004), Duke head coach <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/college-football/" target="_blank" title="NCAAF Picks &amp; Predictions">David Cutcliffe has covered the spread in eight of 10 games</a>. Most are high-scoring affairs with a 68.5 average final score. The “over” has cashed in all five Blue Devil bowl games, and by a healthy 12.6 average margin.</p><h2>Duke vs. AAC</h2><p><strong>SU Record: </strong>3-0<br /><strong>Average Margin: </strong>26.0<br /><strong>ATS Record: </strong>3-0<br /><strong>Average Line: </strong>-10</p><p>Cutcliffe and the Blue Devils have won all three of their AAC matchups by two touchdowns or more, going off a 10-point favorite on average. Two occurred on the road. Duke’s defense held each opponent (Memphis, Tulane twice) under their projected team total by a 10.6 average margin.</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/college-football/independence-bowl-college-football-pick-duke-temple-preview/87897">Check Out SBR's Independence Bowl Preview</a></h2>
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