Hawaii Vs. Louisiana Tech: Hawaii Bowl History & Betting Trends

Wednesday, December 12, 2018 1:03 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 12, 2018 1:03 PM UTC

A winning 2018 regular season sees Hawaii automatically qualify for its eighth Hawaii Bowl, slight favorites to top Conference USA representative Louisiana Tech. Key numbers, betting history and trends for the warm-weather event here. 

 

2018 Hawaii Bowl: Louisiana Tech vs. Hawaii

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Typically played on Christmas Eve or Christmas at Aloha Stadium in Honolulu, the Hawaii Bowl pits either Conference USA or Pac-12 programs with one from the Mountain West. The University of Hawaii automatically qualifies if bowl eligible. This year marks the eighth appearance for the Rainbow Warriors, notching eight wins during the 2018 regular season. They are 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS in previous efforts.

Conference USA has been represented most in the Hawaii Bowl with 11 invites total. This is Louisiana Tech’s first trip to the Aloha State. The Bulldogs opened 1.5-point pups on the college football oddsboard for the matchup.

Results
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS OUr
2002 Tulane Hawaii 36-28 14 N/A W N/A
2003 Hawaii Houston 54-48 -10.5 N/A L N/A
2004 Hawaii UAB 59-40 -4 N/A W N/A
2005 Nevada C. Florida 49-48 -4 N/A L N/A
2006 Hawaii Arizona St. 41-24 -8 73 W U
2007 E. Carolina Boise St. 41-38 11 70 W O
2008 Notre Dame Hawaii 49-21 -2.5 48 W O
2009 SMU Nevada 45-10 12 72 W U
2010 Tulsa Hawaii 62-35 11 74 W O
2011 S. Mississippi Nevada 24-17 -7.5 63 L U
2012 SMU Fresno St. 43-10 12 60.5 W U
2013 Oregon St. Boise St. 38-23 -4 65 W U
2014 Rice Fresno St. 30-6 -1 58.5 W U
2015 San Diego St. Cincinnati 42-7 -2.5 56.5 W U
2016 Hawaii M. Tennessee 52-35 6.5 72 W O
2017 Fresno St. Houston 33-27 2 52 W O

Hawaii Bowl Key Betting Numbers

Average Victory Margin: 17.5
Average Line: -1.5
Favorite ATS: 6-10
Average Total: 63.7 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 5-7 (since 2006)
O/U Margin: -0.9
Largest Underdog Upset: Tulane (+14) 36, Hawaii 28 (2002)
Largest Spread: Hawaii -14 (2002)
Largest Rout: SMU 45, Nevada 10 (2009); San Diego St. 42, Cincinnati 7 (2015)

Hawaii Bowl Summary & Trends

The game winner is 13-3 ATS, covering a 1.5 average line by 19.0 points per game.

The winning team averages 43.6 points and 350.2 passing yards.

Five of the seven underdog outright victories have come while catching double digits on the college football oddsboard.

The betting favorite has won and covered six of seven Hawaii Bowls with a line in-between 6 points.

Conference H2H: Mountain West vs. C-USA

The Mountain West Conference is 37-26 SU (58.7 percent) and 31-32 ATS (49.2 percent) all-time against C-USA opponents, kicking off a -4.6 average favorite. Eighteen of the matchups have occurred in the postseason, where the results are split evenly (9-9 SU). C-USA holds a slight advantage against the number, going 10-8 while catching an average 1.5 points. Bowl clashes tend to be low scoring with an average 46.2 final score. Since 2006, the “under” is 4-9 with a -5.7 margin.

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The @HawaiiAthletics from the @MountainWest and @LATechSports from @ConferenceUSA will meet in 17th edition of the @HawaiiBowl this year!
For More Details: https://t.co/hvprZlAPKf
For Ticket: https://t.co/dDBc0BWl8L pic.twitter.com/wLxav5JhjP

— SoFi Hawaii Bowl (@HawaiiBowl) November 28, 2018
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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (8-5 SU, 5-8 ATS)

Seasons: 46
Bowl Record: 6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS
Coach, Bowl Record: Nick Rolovich (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)

Third-year coach Nick Rolovich rolled in his bowl game debut, leading the Rainbow Warriors to a 52-35 romp over Middle Tennessee in the 2016 Hawaii Bowl. Rolovich went off a 6.5-point underdog, yet exploded for 19.2 points more than the market projected.

Hawaii vs. C-USA

SU Record: 7-3
Average Margin: 5.1
ATS Record: 3-7
Average Line: -8.9

Behind Rolovich, Hawaii has squared off in a pair of C-USA games. Including the aforementioned 2016 Hawaii Bowl win, he led the Rainbow Warriors to a 43-29 rout over Rice in Week 2 of the current season. Seven of the last eight C-USA contests have gone “over” the total with Hawaii averaging 43.9 points.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS)

Seasons: 38
Bowl Record: 6-3-1 SU, 6-2 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Skip Holtz (6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS)

Skip Holtz is a perfect 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS leading the Bulldogs in the postseason, winning by 20.0 points per game. He went 2-3 SU and ATS in stints with East Carolina (2005-09) and South Florida (2010-12). Holtz’s squads tend to open hot, scoring 20.8 first half points, as opposed to 11.4 in the final two quarters.

Louisiana Tech vs. Mountain West Conference

SU Record: 0-2
Average Margin: 10.0
ATS Record: 1-0-1
Average Line: -8.8

Louisiana Tech averages a 72.0 final score in two prior Mountain West matchups. One was a 31-24 defeat to then-member TCU is the 2011 Poinsettia Bowl.

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