N.C. State Vs. Texas A&M: Gator Bowl Trends & Betting History

Friday, December 21, 2018 2:13 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 21, 2018 2:13 PM UTC

The 2018 Gator Bowl sees the first ever meeting between the No. 19 Texas A&M and N.C. State football programs. Key numbers, trends, and more to help you handicap the big game here. 

2018 Gator Bowl: N.C. State vs. No. 19 Texas A&M

In operation since 1946, the Gator Bowl is the sixth oldest bowl game, and the first to be televised. Played in Jacksonville, FL, current conference tie-ins schedule an SEC team versus either an ACC or Big Ten opponent. The arrangement, which began in 2015, states the latter conferences must play in three Gator Bowls apiece. This year pits the No. 19 Texas A&M Aggies versus the N.C. State Wolfpack.

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Gator Bowl Results Last 20 Years
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS O/U
1998 Georgia Tech Notre Dame 35-28 -2.5 N/A W N/A
1999 Miami (FL) Georgia Tech 28-13 -4.5 N/A W N/A
2000 Va. Tech Clemson 41-20 -6 N/A W N/A
2001 Florida St. Va. Tech 30-17 2 N/A W N/A
2002 NC State Notre Dame 28-6 -1 N/A W N/A
2003 Maryland W. Virginia 41-7 -3.5 N/A W N/A
2004 Florida St. V. Virginia 30-18 -10 N/A W N/A
2005 Va. Tech Louisville 35-24 -9.5 N/A W N/A
2006 W. Virginia Georgia Tech 38-35 -10 47.5 L O
2007 Texas Tech Virginia 31-28 -5 59 L P
2008 Nebraska Clemson 26-21 1 56 W U
2009 Florida St. W. Virginia 33-21 2.5 59.5 W U
2010 Mississippi St. Michigan 52-14 -4.5 60 W O
2011 Florida Ohio St. 24-17 -2.5 44 W U
2012 Northwestern Mississippi St. 34-20 -1.5 54 W P
2013 Nebraska Georgia 24-19 9 60.5 W U
2014 Tennessee Iowa 45-28 -3.5 52 W O
2015 Georgia Penn St. 24-17 -6.5 43 W U
2016 Georgia Tech Kentucky 33-18 -3.5 62.5 W U
2017 Mississippi St. Louisville 31-27 5.5 62 W U

Gator Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1999)

Average Victory Margin: 13.2
Average Line: -2.7
Favorite ATS: 13-7
Average Total: 55.0 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 3-7-2 (since 2006)
O/U Margin: 0.0
Largest Underdog Upset: Nebraska (+9) 24, Georgia 19 (2014)
Largest Spread: Florida State -10 (2005); West Virginia -10 (2007)
Largest Rout: Mississippi State 52, Michigan 14 (2011)

Gator Bowl Summary & Trends
  • The game winner is 18-2 ATS, topping the number by 10.5 points per game.
  • Fifteen of the last 20 victory margins are a touchdown or greater.
  • Since 2006, the team with the least efficient passing defense has won nine of 12 Gator Bowls. N.C. State yields 7.6 yards per attempt, as opposed to 8.5 for Texas A&M.
Conference H2H: SEC vs. ACC

Since 1980, the SEC holds a 35-24 SU (59.3 percent) and slight 29-28-2 ATS (50.9 percent) advantage in bowl games against the ACC, going ff a -0.4 average favorite. The SEC is winning by 3.7 points per game. When laying more than a field goal on the college football oddsboard, the SEC is 15-5 SU (75.0 percent) and 7-12-1 ATS (36.8 percent), failing to cover nine of the last 12 contests.

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— TaxSlayer Gator Bowl (@taxslayerbowl) 2 de dezembro de 2018
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N.C. State Wolfpack (9-3 SU, 6-5-1 ATS)

Seasons: 113
Bowl Record: 17-13-1 SU, 13-9 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Dave Doeren (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS)

Dave Doeren won his bowl debut with Northern Illinois, topping Arkansas State 38-20 as a 1-point underdog in the 2012 GoDaddy.com Bowl. He is 3-1 SU and ATS guiding the Wolfpack. Each of his four games coaching N.C. State has surpassed the betting total, and by a healthy 11.2 average margin. Doeren’s squads have scored more than projected in every bowl game, posting 38.6 points per game.

N.C. State vs. SEC (since 1980)

SU Record: 3-9
Average Margin: -8.0
ATS Record: 4-8
Average Line: 3.0

The last five SEC clashes have sailed “over” the total, which includes three bowl games and three under Doeren. A 63.6 average final score is easily besting a 53.1 total.

Texas A&M (8-4 SU, 9-2-1 ATS)

Seasons: 116
Bowl Record: 17-22 SU, 12-14-1 (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Jimbo Fisher (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS)

All six of Jimbo Fisher’s bowl appearances occurred at Florida State. He owns a 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS record, going off a -4.2 average favorite. Fisher led the Seminoles beyond their projected team total just once in six appearances, scoring 2.4 points per game less than expected. Fisher puts up 27.7 points and 363.7 yards per game.

Texas A&M vs. ACC (since 1980)

SU Record: 2-7
Average Margin: -3.4
ATS Record: 3-5-1
Average Line: 2.9

Six of the Aggies’ last seven ACC meetings have cashed the “over,” teams combining for 67.6 points per game. All have occurred since 2005.

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