Buffalo Vs. Troy: Dollar General Bowl Trends & Betting History

Wednesday, December 12, 2018 12:53 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 12, 2018 12:53 PM UTC

The Mid-American Conference has sent a team to the Dollar General Bowl 17 times. It's Buffalo's first trip, slight favorites to top Sun Belt foe Troy on December 22nd at Ladd Peebles Stadium. Past results, trends, and key betting numbers here. 

2018 Dollar General Bowl: Buffalo vs. Troy

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The Dollar General Bowl, born in 1999, showcases the beautiful city of Mobile, Alabama. It matches teams from the Sun Belt Conference and Mid-American Conference at Ladd Peebles Stadium. In 2018, the event features three-time participant Troy versus Buffalo. The Bulls are currently a 3-point favorite to win.

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Results
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS O/U
1999 TCU E. Carolina 28-14 5 N/A W N/A
2000 S. Mississippi TCU 28-21 7 N/A W N/A
2001 Marshall E. Carolina 64-61 2 N/A W N/A
2002 Marshall Louisville 38-15 -2.5 N/A W N/A
2003 Miami (OH) Louisville 49-28 -14 N/A W N/A
2004 Bowling Green Memphis 52-35 -3 N/A W N/A
2005 Toledo UTEP 45-13 -3 N/A W N/A
2006 S. Mississippi Ohio 28-7 -6 41.5 W U
2007 Tulsa Bowling Green 63-7 -6 75.5 W U
2008 Tulsa Ball St. 45-13 -1.5 73.5 W U
2009 C. Michigan Troy 44-41 -3 63 P O
2010 Miami (OH) M. Tennessee 35-21 1 48.5 W O
2011 N. Illinois Arkansas St. 38-20 1 63 W U
2012 Arkansas St. Kent St. 17-13 -3.5 62 W U
2013 Arkansas St. Ball St. 23-20 7 63.5 W U
2014 Toledo Arkansas St. 63-44 -4 67 W O
2015 Georgia Southern Bowling Green 58-27 4.5 64.5 W O
2016 Troy Ohio 28-23 -5 49.5 P O
2017 Appalachian St. Toledo 34-0 6.5 61 W U

Dollar General Bowl Key Betting Numbers

Average Victory Margin: 18.7
Average Line: -0.9
Favorite ATS: 10-7-2
Average Total: 61.0 (since 2006)
O/U Record: 5-7 (since 2006)
O/U Margin: -1.7
Largest Underdog Upset: S. Mississippi (+7.5) 28, TCU 21 (2000)
Largest Spread: Miami (OH) -14 (2003)
Largest Rout: Tulsa 63, Bowling Green 7 (2008)

Dollar General Bowl Summary & Trends
  • The winner has never failed to cover the spread, favorites pushing the number twice (2009, 2016).
  • The winning team averages 41.1 points per game.
  • The program with the more efficient rushing offense on the year has won 11 of the last 13 events, including four underdogs. Buffalo averages 4.7 and Troy 4.5 yards per carry.
Conference H2H: MAC vs. Sun Belt

The Mid-American Conference holds a 32-29 SU (52.5 percent) and 29-25-5 ATS (53.7) edge in head-to-head clashes against the Sun Belt Conference, going off a -1.9 average favorite. In bowl games, the MAC slips to 9-10 SU (47.4 percent) and 9-8-2 ATS (52.9 percent), going 3-4 SU and 2-4-1 ATS as chalk. They are failing to cover a -5.9 average line laying points by a whopping 10.4 points per game, yielding 34.0 points to opponents.

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The Bulls are back on the practice field getting ready for the @dg_bowl #UBhornsUP #BowlingBulls pic.twitter.com/g1naRwp6Oi

— UB Football (@UBFootball) 8 de dezembro de 2018
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Buffalo Bulls (10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS)

Seasons: 29
Bowl Record: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
Coach, Bowl Record: Lance Leipold (0-0)

Leipold, the four-time D-III Coach of the Year while at Wisconsin-Whitewater (2007-14), has yet to coach a bowl game, but is an outstanding 34-1 in the NCAA D-III Playoffs. Buffalo fell extrely flat of expectations in two prior postseason events, coming up 18.0 points shy of a 3.5 average line in the 2009 International Bowl (UConn) and 2013 Potato Bowl (San Diego St.)

Buffalo vs. Sun Belt Conference

SU Record: 0-0
Average Margin: N/A
ATS Record: N/A
Average Line: N/A

The Bulls have yet to square off against a Sun Belt foe.

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A closer look at the four covers for the Troy @dg_bowl
Guide.#RTW #OneTROY pic.twitter.com/2LGzaYd6dt

— Troy Trojans Football 9x⚔️ (@TroyTrojansFB) 10 de dezembro de 2018
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Troy Trojans (9-3 SU, 7-3-2 ATS)

Seasons: 18
Bowl Record: 4-3 SU, 3-2-2 ATS
Coach, Bowl Record: Neal Brown, (2-0 SU, 1-0-1 ATS)

All seven of Troy’s bowl games have gone “over” the total, including two behind head coach Neal Brown. A 65.0 combined final score is soaring 8.0 points past a 57.0 average line.

Troy vs. MAC

SU Record: 6-5
Average Margin: -2.6
ATS Record: 4-4-2
Average Line: 0.6

Four of Troy’s MAC matchups have come in bowl games. The Trojans average 34.5 points, surpassing their projected team total in three of four.

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