No. 2 Clemson Vs. No. 3 Notre Dame: Cotton Bowl Trends & Betting History

cotton bowl

Jay Pryce

Monday, December 3, 2018 1:58 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 3, 2018 1:58 PM UTC

No. 2 Clemson opened a 10.5-point favorite to top No. 3 Notre Dame in the 2018 Cotton Bowl. Game history, trends, and betting information here.

Cotton Bowl: No. 2 Clemson vs. No. 3 Notre Dame

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The Cotton Bowl Classic originated in 1937 and is played annually in the Dallas-Fort Worth area. At first, the game hosted the champion of the now-defunct Southwest Conference, and from 2006 -2014 pit the runner-up of the Big 12 versus an SEC team. Since 2014, it hosts a national semifinal of the College Football Playoff once every three years (2015, 2018, 2021, etc.). During off years, the game will schedule two at-large teams just missing out of the four-team playoff. The contest is currently played at AT&T Stadium.

Results Last 20 Years
Season Winning Team Losing Team Final Line Total SU Winners ATS
1998 Texas Mississippi State 38-11 -6.5 NA W W
1999 Arkansas Texas 27-6 6.5 NA W W
2000 Kansas State Tennessee 35-21 -3.5 NA W W
2001 Oklahoma Arkansas 10-3 -13 NA W L
2002 Texas LSU 35-20 -10 NA W W
2003 Ole Miss Oklahoma State 31-28 -2.5 NA W W
2004 Tennessee Texas A&M 38-7 4.5 NA W W
2005 Alabama Texas Tech 13-10 3 NA W W
2006 Auburn Nebraska 17-14 -1.5 46 W W
2007 Missouri Arkansas 38-7 -4 68.5 W W
2008 Ole Miss Texas Tech 47-34 4 69 W W
2009 Ole Miss Oklahoma State 21-7 -3 50.5 W W
2010 LSU Texas A&M 41-24 -2.5 49 W W
2011 Arkansas Kansas State 29-16 -9 63 W W
2012 Texas A&M Oklahoma 41-13 -3.5 72.5 W W
2013 Missouri Oklahoma State 41-31 1.5 61.5 W W
2014 Michigan State Baylor 42-41 3 70 W W
2015 Alabama Michigan State 38-0 -10 44.5 W W
2016 Wisconsin Western Michigan 24-16 -8 53 W P
2017 Ohio State USC 24-7 -9.5 63.5 W W

Cotton Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1999)

Average Points Differential: 15.7
Average Line: -3.2
Favorite ATS: 13-6-1 (68.4 percent)
Average Total: 59.2 (Since 2006)
O/U Record: 4-8
O/U Margin: -8.1
Largest Underdog Upset: Arkansas (+6.5) 27, Texas 6 (2000)
Largest Spread: Oklahoma (-13) 10, Arkansas 3 (2001)
Largest Rout: Alabama (-10) 38, Michigan State 0 (2015)

Cotton Bowl Summary & Trends (Since 1999)

During the last 20 years, straight-up winners are 18-1-1 ATS (94.7 percent). They are covering a -3.2 average line by a healthy 12.5 points per game.

The higher-ranked team in the AP Top 25 Poll has won 16 of 20 entering.

Conference H2H: ACC vs. Notre Dame

Notre Dame, one of six FBS programs to compete as an Independent, is 36-18-1 SU and 29-26 ATS since 1980. The Fighting Irish kick off a -7.1 average favorite.

Since 2006, Notre Dame is 4-6 SU and 8-2 ATS against ranked ACC opponents.

Since 2006, the "under" is 26-16-1 (61.9 percent). The defense surrenders 20.7 points per game. In nine contests as the betting underdog, the combined final score is 40.3 points, 9.8 points shy of a 50.1 average total.

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We're always going to celebrate success and we're always going to enjoy the journey. Seeing the PAW never gets old... #ALLIN pic.twitter.com/lNhlLNmgYB

— Clemson Football (@ClemsonFB) December 2, 2018
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No. 2 Clemson Tigers (13-0 SU, 8-5 ATS)

Seasons:117
Bowl Record: 22-20 SU
Coach, Bowl Record: Dabo Swinney (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS)

Swinney is much better with his back to the wall in bowl games, going 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS catching points on the college football oddsboard. Clemson is covering a 4.1 average line by 13.1 points per game.

Clemson is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS behind Swinney against higher rated in ranked-matchup bowl games. It is 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS in all other contests.

No. 3 Notre Dame (12-0 SU, 7-5 ATS)

Seasons:112
Bowl Record: 18-18 SU, 10-17 ATS (sine 2006)
Coach, Bowl Record: Brian Kelly (5-4 SU, 3-6 ATS)

Kelly left Central Michigan (2004-06) for Cincinnati (2006-09) prior to the 2006 Motor City Bowl. He then left the Bearcats for Notre Dame (2010-present) prior to the 2009 Sugar Bowl. Against ranked opponents, Kelly is just 2-4 SU and ATS in bowl games, all but one coaching the Irish. His team averages a lowly 19.2 points per game in this situation.

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