Kentucky Vs. Penn State: Citrus Bowl Trends & Betting History

Saturday, December 22, 2018 2:29 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 22, 2018 2:29 PM UTC

The last 10 Citrus Bowls have scheduled ranked matchups. The higher-rated team is 8-2 SU and ATS. Can No. 12 Penn State continue the trend versus No. 14 Kentucky in 2018? 

<h2>2019 Citrus Bowl: <a href="" target="_blank" title="Kentucky Vs. Penn State Odds Board">No.14 Kentucky vs. No. 12 Penn State</a></h2><p>Founded in 1947 as the Tangerine Bowl, the Citrus Bowl is the richest of all non-College Football Playoff games, awarding upwards of $4.25 million per program. The traditional New Year’s Day game has scheduled a ranked matchup in 29 of the last 30 years. In 2018, No. 12 Penn State tussles with No. 14 Kentucky.</p><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690888, "sportsbooksIds":[19,92,169,999996,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><h2>Citrus Bowl Results Last 20 Years</h2><table border="1" style="width:100%"> <tbody> <tr> <th>Season</th> <th>Winner</th> <th>Loser</th> <th>Final</th> <th>Line</th> <th>Total</th> <th>Winner ATS</th> <th>O/U</th> </tr> <tr> <td>1998</td> <td>Michigan</td> <td>Arkansas</td> <td>45-31</td> <td>-3</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>1999</td> <td>Michigan St.</td> <td>Florida</td> <td>37-34</td> <td>2.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2000</td> <td>Michigan</td> <td>Auburn</td> <td>31-28</td> <td>-7.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>L</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2001</td> <td>Tennessee</td> <td>Michigan</td> <td>45-17</td> <td>-3</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2002</td> <td>Auburn</td> <td>Penn St.</td> <td>13-9</td> <td>7</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2003</td> <td>Georgia</td> <td>Purdue</td> <td>34-27</td> <td>-3.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2004</td> <td>Iowa</td> <td>LSU</td> <td>30-25</td> <td>6.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2005</td> <td>Wisconsin</td> <td>Auburn</td> <td>24-10</td> <td>10</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2006</td> <td>Wisconsin</td> <td>Arkansas</td> <td>17-14</td> <td>1.5</td> <td>45</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2007</td> <td>Michigan</td> <td>Florida</td> <td>41-35</td> <td>10.5</td> <td>59</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2008</td> <td>Georgia</td> <td>Michigan St.</td> <td>24-12</td> <td>-9</td> <td>56</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2009</td> <td>Penn St.</td> <td>LSU</td> <td>19-17</td> <td>0</td> <td>42.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2010</td> <td>Alabama</td> <td>Michigan St.</td> <td>49-7</td> <td>-10</td> <td>51.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2011</td> <td>S. Carolina</td> <td>Nebraska</td> <td>30-13</td> <td>-3</td> <td>46</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2012</td> <td>Georgia</td> <td>Nebraska</td> <td>45-31</td> <td>-9.5</td> <td>62</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2013</td> <td>S. Carolina</td> <td>Wisconsin</td> <td>34-24</td> <td>2</td> <td>51</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2014</td> <td>Missouri</td> <td>Minnesota</td> <td>33-17</td> <td>-4.5</td> <td>46.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2015</td> <td>Michigan</td> <td>Florida</td> <td>41-7</td> <td>-4</td> <td>40</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2016</td> <td>LSU</td> <td>Louisville</td> <td>29-9</td> <td>-3</td> <td>58.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2017</td> <td>Notre Dame</td> <td>LSU</td> <td>21-17</td> <td>2</td> <td>51</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> </tbody></table><p> </p><h2>Citrus Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1998)</h2><p><strong>Average Victory Margin: </strong>12.9<br /><strong>Average Line: </strong>-0.9<br /><strong>Favorite ATS: </strong>10-10<br /><strong>Average Total:</strong> 50.8 (since 2006)<br /><strong>O/U Record: </strong>6-6 (since 2006)<br /><strong>O/U Margin: </strong>-1.9<br /><strong>Largest Underdog Upset: </strong>Michigan (+10.5) 41, Florida 35 (2008)<br /><strong>Largest Spread:</strong> Florida -10.5 (2008)<br /><strong>Largest Rout: </strong>Alabama 49, Michigan State 7 (2011)</p><h2>Citrus Bowl Summary &amp; Trends</h2><ul> <li>The last 20 winners of the Citrus Bowl are 19-1 ATS, besting a -0.9 average line by 12.0 points per game.</li> <li>The loser in this span averages just 19.2 points per game.</li> <li>Since 2003, the squad averaging more passing yards entering the matchup is 11-4 SU and ATS. Penn State throws for 217.8 yards per game, as opposed to 164.8 for Kentucky.</li></ul><h2>Conference H2H: SEC vs. Big Ten</h2><p>Since 1980, The SEC is 75-45-1 SU (62.5 percent) and 66-52-3 ATS (55.9 percent) in head-to-head battles with the Big Ten, going off a -2.5 average favorite. The majority of contests occur in the postseason in this span, where the SEC is 51-29 SU (63.8 percent) and 45-34-1 ATS (57.0 percent) in bowl games. The SEC is particularly dominant, and often heavier chalk, when owning a higher average margin of victory then its Big Ten opponent, going 32-11 SU (74.4 percent) and 26-16-1 ATS (61.9 percent) overall. In the last decade, the SEC is 15-1 SU and 12-3-1 ATS under these conditions.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;The 73rd annual &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#VRBOCitrusBowl&lt;/a&gt; will be played between &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@UKFootball&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@PennStateFball&lt;/a&gt;! &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— VRBO Citrus Bowl (@CitrusBowl) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;2 de dezembro de 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2>No. 14 Kentucky Wildcats (9-3 SU, 5-7 ATS)</h2><p><strong>Seasons: </strong>103<br /><strong>Bowl Record: </strong>8-9 SU, 6-6 ATS ( since 1980)<br /><strong>Coach, Bowl Record: </strong>Mark Stoops (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)</p><p>Head coach Mark Stoops has led Kentucky to a pair of bowl appearances the last two season, losing both outright, but covering a touchdown spread in a 24-23 defeat to Northwestern in last year’s Music City Bowl. <a href="" target="_blank" title="NCAAF Picks &amp; Predictions">Finding the end zone is problematic for the Wildcats</a>, averaging just 20.5 points. Stoops tends to get off to a slow start as well, putting up 10 first-half points overall.</p><h2>Kentucky vs. Big Ten (Since 1980)</h2><p><strong>SU Record: </strong>15-10<br /><strong>Average Margin:</strong> 2.1<br /><strong>ATS Record: </strong>14-11<br /><strong>Average Line: </strong>0.6</p><p>Since 1980, Kentucky is 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS in three bowl game matchups against the Big Ten. They have not scored more than 23 points in a contest.</p><h2>No. 12 Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3 SU, 6-5-1 ATS)</h2><p><strong>Seasons: </strong>125<br /><strong>Bowl Record: </strong>29-17-2 SU, 18-11-1 ATS (since 1980)<br /><strong>Coach, Bowl Record: </strong>James Franklin (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS)</p><p>Including his three years coaching Vanderbilt (2011-13), James Franklin has led his program to a bowl game every season, <a href="" target="_blank" title="NCAAF Odds Board">going 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS overall</a>. Postseason matchups tend to be high-scoring contests. Six of seven have cashed the “over” and by an eye-opening 13.3 average margin. Franklin’s squads average 33.6 points, yet yield 30.4 to opponents.</p><h2>Penn State vs. SEC (since 1980)</h2><p><strong>SU Record: </strong>11-12<br /><strong>Average Margin:</strong> 0.1<br /><strong>ATS Record: </strong>10-12-1</p><p>Sicne 1980, Penn State is 7-4 SU and 6-4-1 ATS in bowl game matchups versus SEC opponents. It has allowed more than 24 points once in 11 contests, a 37-24 drubbing by Florida in the 2011 Outback Bowl.</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="">Check Out SBR's Citrus Bowl Preview</a></h2>
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