California Vs. TCU: Cheez-It Bowl Trends & Betting History

Friday, December 14, 2018 2:38 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 14, 2018 2:38 PM UTC

The Big 12 conference has won the last five Cheez-It Bowls. Can TCU keep the streak alive in 2018 against Cal? Here are some numbers to help you answer the question. 

<h2><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/tcu-horned-frogs-vs-california-golden-bears-3690914/odds/" target="_blank" title="California vs.TCU Odds Board">2018 Cheez-It Bowl: California vs. TCU</a></h2><p>The Cheez-It Bowl, in existence since 1989, has kicked off with 10 former names, most notably the Copper (1989-1996), Insight (1997-2011), and Cactus Bowls (2012-17). Played in Arizona, currently at Chase Field in Phoenix, recent conference tie-ins include the Pac-12 and Big 12 conferences. The 2018 matchup schedules California versus TCU. The Horned Frogs opened 2-point favorites, the line adjusting to a pick ‘em across most major online sports books as of publication.</p><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690914, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,1275,118,43], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><h2>Results Last 20 Years (Unless Noted)</h2><table border="1" style="width:100%;"> <tbody> <tr> <th>Season</th> <th>Winner</th> <th>Loser</th> <th>Final</th> <th>Line</th> <th>Total</th> <th>Winner ATS</th> <th>O/U</th> </tr> <tr> <td>1998</td> <td>Missouri</td> <td>W. Virginia</td> <td>34-31</td> <td>-3.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>L</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>1999</td> <td>Colorado</td> <td>Boston College</td> <td>62-28</td> <td>-7.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2000</td> <td>Iowa St.</td> <td>Pitt</td> <td>37-29</td> <td>2</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2001</td> <td>Syracuse</td> <td>Kansas St.</td> <td>26-3</td> <td>6</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2002</td> <td>Pitt</td> <td>Oregon St.</td> <td>38-13</td> <td>2.5</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2003</td> <td>Cal</td> <td>Va. Tech</td> <td>52-49</td> <td>3</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2004</td> <td>Oregon St.</td> <td>Notre Dame</td> <td>38-21</td> <td>-4</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>W</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2005</td> <td>Arizona St.</td> <td>Rutgers</td> <td>45-40</td> <td>-9</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>L</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2006</td> <td>Texas Tech</td> <td>Minnesota</td> <td>44-41</td> <td>-6.5</td> <td>66</td> <td>L</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2007</td> <td>Oklahoma St.</td> <td>Indiana</td> <td>49-33</td> <td>-6</td> <td>68.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2008</td> <td>Kansas</td> <td>Minnesota</td> <td>42-21</td> <td>-8.5</td> <td>59</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2009</td> <td>Iowa St.</td> <td>Minnesota</td> <td>14-13</td> <td>2</td> <td>47.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2010</td> <td>Iowa</td> <td>Missouri</td> <td>27-24</td> <td>2.5</td> <td>46.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2011</td> <td>Oklahoma</td> <td>Iowa</td> <td>31-14</td> <td>-13.5</td> <td>57.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2012</td> <td>Michigan St.</td> <td>TCU</td> <td>17-16</td> <td>2</td> <td>40.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2013</td> <td>Kansas St.</td> <td>Michigan</td> <td>31-14</td> <td>-7</td> <td>52</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2014</td> <td>Oklahoma St.</td> <td>Washington</td> <td>30-22</td> <td>5.5</td> <td>57</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2015</td> <td>W. Virginia</td> <td>Arizona St.</td> <td>43-42</td> <td>-1.5</td> <td>64</td> <td>L</td> <td>O</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2016</td> <td>Baylor</td> <td>Boise St.</td> <td>31-12</td> <td>7</td> <td>68.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2017</td> <td>Kansas St.</td> <td>UCLA</td> <td>35-17</td> <td>-6.5</td> <td>61.5</td> <td>W</td> <td>U</td> </tr> </tbody></table><p> </p><h2>Cheez-It Bowl Key Betting Numbers (Since 1998 Unless Noted)</h2><p><strong>Average Victory Margin:</strong> 12.1<br /><strong>Average Line:</strong> -2.0<br /><strong>Favorite ATS: </strong>7-13<br /><strong>Average Total:</strong> 57.4 (since 2006)<br /><strong>O/U Record: </strong>5-7 (since 2006)<br /><strong>O/U Margin: </strong>-2.1<br /><strong>Largest Underdog Upset:</strong> Baylor (+7) 31, Boise St. 12 (2016)<br /><strong>Largest Spread: </strong>Oklahoma -13.5 (2011)<br /><strong>Largest Rout:</strong> Colorado 62, Boston College 28 (1999)</p><h2>Cheez-It Bowl Summary &amp; Trends</h2><ul> <li>The winner is 16-4 ATS, covering a -2.0 average spread by 10.1 point s per game.</li> <li>The winner averages 36.3 points.</li> <li>Underdogs have won five of the last nine meetings outright.</li> <li>The Big 12 has won every clash against Pac-12 teams, all occurring in three of the last four events: Oklahoma State 30, Washington 22 (2015); West Virginia 43, Arizona State 42 (2016); Kansas State 35, UCLA 17 (2017).</li> <li>The team with the least efficient rushing defense has won and covered the spread in eight of the last 12 events. Cal yields 3.62 and TCU 3.66 yards per carry in 2018.</li></ul><h2>Conference H2H: Big 12 VS. Pac-12</h2><p>Since the current formation of the Pac-12 (2011), the Big 12 is 17-12 SU (58.6 percent) and 17-11-1 ATS (60.7 percent), going off a 0.7 average underdog. In bowl games, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/college-football/" target="_blank" title="NCAAF Picks &amp; Predictions">the Big 12 has won 12 of 16 matchups,</a> but is just 9-7 ATS (56.2 percent) overall. Pac-12 teams tend to struggle against the high-powered offenses of the Big 12 under these conditions, allowing 34.4 points per game. The Big 12 has surpassed its projected team total in 12 games.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;THE MATCHUP IS SET! &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/TCUFootball?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@TCUfootball&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/CalFootball?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@CalFootball&lt;/a&gt; are coming to the 2018 &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/CheezItBowl?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#CheezItBowl&lt;/a&gt; ! Get your tickets NOW: &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/oTomtnZ2Pf\"&gt;https://t.co/oTomtnZ2Pf&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/GoFrogs?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#GoFrogs&lt;/a&gt; | &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/GoBears?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#GoBears&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/W4NAVoYewy\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/W4NAVoYewy&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Cheez-It® Bowl (@CheezItBowl) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/CheezItBowl/status/1069339805467631616?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;2 de dezembro de 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2>California Golden Bears (7-5 SU, 5-5-2 ATS)</h2><p><strong>Seasons: </strong>103<br /><strong>Bowl Record: </strong>11-10-1 SU, 6-7 ATS (since 1980)<br /><strong>Coach, Bowl Record: </strong>Justin Wilcox (0-0)</p><p>This is Wilcox’s first bowl game as head coach. He’s experienced 10 as a defensive coordinator in stints with Boise State (2006-09), Tennessee (2010-11), Washington (2012-13), USC (2014-15) and Wisconsin (2016).</p><h2>Cal vs. Big 12</h2><p><strong>SU Record: </strong>11-5 (since 1980)<br /><strong>Average Margin:</strong> 5.7<br /><strong>ATS Record: </strong>10-5-1<br /><strong>Average Line: </strong>2.2</p><p>Despite a winning record against the Big 12 in the last 35 years, the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football" target="_blank" title="NCAAF Odds Board">Golden Bears are just 1-2 SU and ATS </a>in bowl game matchups.</p><h2>TCU Horned Frogs (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS)</h2><p><strong>Seasons: </strong>113<br /><strong>Bowl Record: </strong>16-16-1 SU, 9-10-1 ATS (since 1980)<br /><strong>Coach, Bowl Record: </strong>Gary Patterson (10-6 SU, 7-9 ATS)</p><p>In 16 bowl games coaching the Horned Frogs, Gary Patterson allows just 21.4 points per game. He is just 3-9 ATS when going off the betting favorite, however, failing to cover a -5.0 average line by 0.9 points. Since 2006, the “under” is 8-2 under these conditions.</p><h2 style="text-align:center;"> </h2><h2 style="text-align:center;"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/college-football/cheez-it-bowl-college-football-pick-cal-tcu-preview/87876/" target="_blank" title="Cal’s Defense Will Outshine TCU’s In Cheez-It Bowl">Read Our Cheez-It Bowl Game Preview</a></h2>
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