UAB Vs. Northern Illinois: Boca Raton Bowl Trends & Betting History

Jay Pryce

Saturday, December 8, 2018 5:19 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 8, 2018 5:19 PM UTC

A pair of conference champions square off in the 2018 Boca Raton Bowl when MAC winner Northern Illinois tussles with C-USA victor UAB on Dec. 18 at FAU Stadium. Here's a historical look at the bowl game to help with your college football handicapping. 

Boca Raton Bowl: UAB vs. Northern Illinois

The Boca Raton Bowl kicked off in 2014 as a Mid-American tie-in versus either a Conference USA or American Athletic Conference opponent. Owned and operated by ESPN Events, it is a feature matchup during the network’s annual “Bowl Week.” The 2018 edition sees C-USA champion UAB a 2.5-point favorite against MAC champion Northern Illinois.

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Results
Season Winner Loser Final Line Total Winner ATS O/U
2014 Marshall N. Illinois 52-23 -9.5 67.5 W O
2015 Toledo Temple 32-17 2 49.5 W U
2016 Western Kentucky Memphis 51-31 -7 80 W O
2017 Florida Atlantic Akron 50-3 -23.5 62 W U

Boca Raton Bowl Key Betting Numbers

Average Victory Margin: 27.7
Average Line: -9.5
Favorite ATS: 3-1
Average Total: 64.8
O/U Record: 2-2
O/U Margin: 18.2
Largest Underdog Upset: Toledo (+2) 32, Temple 17 (2015)
Largest Spread: Florida Atlantic -23.5 (2017)
Largest Rout: Florida Atlantic 50, Akron 3 (2017)

Boca Raton Bowl Summary & Trends

Winners have covered the spread in each contest. Three of four have scored 50 points.

Every winner owns a higher scoring offense entering the contest. UAB posts 29.3 points per game, as opposed to 20.7 for Northern Illinois.

The second half sees an average 34.8 points.

Conference H2H: C-USA vs. Mid-American

Conference USA is 47-33 SU (58.8 percent) and 41-37-2 ATS (52.6 percent) in head-to-head battles, going off a -4.1 average favorite. Since 2006, the series is trending “under” the total with a 32-21-2 record (60.4 percent). MAC teams put up just 24.3 points per game.

In bowl matchups, C-USA is 13-10 SU (56.5 percent) and 11-12 ATS (47.8 percent), kicking off a -2.2 average favorite. With a line in-between 6 points, MAC programs are 8-7 SU and 10-5 ATS. The “under” has hit in 10 of the last 13 overall.

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We are excited to announce that @NIU_Football and @UAB_FB will be #BowlingInBoca at the 2018 #CheribundiBocaRatonBowl pic.twitter.com/rl1rzBPIMn

— Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl (@BocaBowl) 2 de dezembro de 2018
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UAB Blazers (10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS)

Seasons: 21
Bowl Record: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
Coach, Bowl Record: Bill Clark (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
MAC opponents Ohio drubbed Clark 41-6 in last year’s Bahamas Bowl, the fifth-year coach’s lone bowl appearance. The Bobcats went off 7.5-point underdogs.

UAB vs. MAC

SU Record: 0-2
Average Margin: -27.5
ATS Record: 0-2
Average Line: 10.8
In addition to the aforementioned Ohio Bahamas Bowl lost, UAB was routed at Ball State 51-31 in a 2017 Week 2 matchup.

Northern Illinois Huskies (8-5 SU, 7-6 ATS)

Seasons: 51
Bowl Record: 4-8 SU, 4-8 ATS)
Coach, Bowl Record: Rod Carey (0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS)
Head coach Rod Carey is not only winless in five bowl games leading Northern Illinois, but also coming up well short of market expectations. The Huskies are failing to cover a 7.7 average line by an astonishing 17.7 points per game. They have lost four of five by three touchdowns or more, positing just 13.6 points per outing.

Northern Illinois vs. C-USA

SU Record: 0-2
Average Margin: -26.5
ATS Record: 1-1
Average Line: 19.0
The Huskies allowed Marshall to score double digits in all four quarters in their last clash against a C-USA opponent during the 2014 Boca Raton Bowl.

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