FIU Vs. Toledo: Bahamas Bowl Trends & Betting History

bahamas bowl

Jay Pryce

Thursday, November 29, 2018 1:31 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 29, 2018 1:31 PM UTC

FIU and Toledo play in the Friday, Dec. 21, Bahamas Bowl. Here's what bettors should know from past Bahamas Bowl results as well as conference and school trends. Bet confidently with bowl tips from SBRpicks.com. 

Bahamas Bowl: FIU vs. Toledo

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The Bahamas Bowl, played in the Commonwealth’s capital city of Nassau at Thomas Robinson Stadium, features a matchup between Conference USA and the Mid-American Conference. One of five new bowl games certified by the NCAA in 2014, the Caribbean destination became the first site outside of the United States or Canada to host a postseason college football encounter since 1937 (Bacardi Bowl, Havana, Cuba). In this year’s meeting, the Florida International Panthers (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS) take on the Toledo Rockets (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS).

Below you will find past game results, as well as historical betting numbers, trends, and angles for the Bahamas Bowl matchup.

Season C-USA Team MAC Team Final Line Total C-USA SU C-USA ATS OU
2014 Western Kentucky C. Michigan 49-48 -3.5 68 W L O
2015 Middle Tennessee W. Michigan 31-45 4 65 L L O
2016 Old Dominion E. Michigan 24-20 -4.5 63.5 W L U
2017 UAB Ohio 6-41 7.5 57 L L U

Bahamas Bowl Key Betting Numbers

Average Points Differential: 11.0
Average Line: -0.9 (MAC)
Favorite ATS: 2-2
Average Total: 63.4
O/U Record: 2-2
O/U Margin: 2.6
Largest Underdog Upset: None
Largest Spread: -7.5 (Ohio, 2017)
Largest Rout: 35 (Ohio, 2017)

Bahamas Bowl Summary & Trends

C-USA representatives are 0-4 ATS all-time, falling 10.1 points under the 0.9 average spread.

Expect plenty of offense. Both conferences combine for 996.3 total yards per game. The average score is 38.5 to 27.5 in favor of the MAC representative.

Conference H2H: C-USA vs. MAC

C-USA is 47-33 SU and 41-37-2 ATS (52.6 percent) versus the MAC since 1996, kicking off a -4.1 average favorite. It has covered nearly two-thirds of all contests (23-12-1, 65.7 percent) laying 4 points or less on the college football odds board.

Since 2006, the "under" is 32-21-2 (60.4 percent). A 56.7 average final score is coming up 3.2 points shy of a 58.6 average total. The wager has cashed in 10 of 13 neutral-site encounters.

Florida International Golden Panthers (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS)

Seasons: 15 (2004-present)
Bowl Record: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS
Coach, Bowl Record: Butch Davis (5-3 SU, 6-1-1 ATS)

Davis led the Panthers to a 28-3 defeat as a 7-point underdog in the 2017 Gasparilla Bowl. His seven other bowl game appearances occurred with North Carolina (2007-10) and Miami (1995-2000).

Florida International vs. MAC

SU Record: 4-3
Average Margin: 1.3
ATS Record: 2-4-1
Average Line: -2.1

The Panthers have struggled to pass the ball against MAC opponents, tossing for 177.0 yards per game on 29.9 attempts. They’ve had an equally tough time getting off to a good start. Florida International averages 10.3 first-half points, as opposed to 19.3 following the break. It has taken only one lead into halftime.

Toledo Rockets (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS)

Seasons: 57 (1962-present)
Bowl Record: 10-7 SU, 5-7 ATS (1980-present)
Coach, Bowl Record: Jason Candle (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Candle led the Rockets to a 32-17 win over Temple as 2-point underdogs in the Boca Raton Bowl in 2015, his first in charge of the program following a promotion after Matt Campbell departed to Iowa State. Candle has lost to Appalachian State in bowl games in consecutive seasons since.

Toledo vs. C-USA

SU Record: 2-0
Average Margin: 19.5
ATS Record: 2-0
Average Line: -3.5

Both C-USA victories for Toledo have come in bowl games. In 2001, the then-No. 25 Rockets edged past Cincinnati 23-16 as 4-point favorites in the Motor City Bowl. Four years later, Toledo routed UTEP 45-13 as 3-point chalk in the 2005 GMAC Bowl.

Read Our Bahamas Bowl Game Preview

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