2018 Arizona Bowl: Arkansas State vs. Nevada
One of three new bowl games certified by the NCAA in 2015, the Arizona Bowl takes place at Arizona Stadium in Tucson with Mountain West and either Conference USA or Sun Belt tie-ins. The fourth edition sees Arkansas State a 2-point favorite over inaugural winner Nevada.
Arizona Bowl Results
|2016||Air Force||S. Alabama||45-21||-15.5||56.5||W||O|
|2017||New Mexico St.||Utah St.||26-20||4.5||61.5||W||U|
Arizona Bowl Key Betting Numbers
Average Victory Margin: 11.6
Average Line: -2.2
Favorite ATS: 1-2
Average Total: 57.8
O/U Record: 1-2
O/U Margin: -3.5
Largest Underdog Upset: New Mexico St. (+4.5) 26, Utah State 20 (2017); Nevada (+4.5) 28, Colorado St. 23 (2015)
Largest Spread: Air Force -15.5 (2016)
Largest Rout: Air Force 45, South Alabama 21 (2016)
Arizona Bowl Summary & Trends
- The game winner has covered every spread.
- The game loser has not scored more than 23 points in defeat.
- The eventual game winner has put up 19 points or more in the first half.
- Each winner surrenders fewer rushing yards per game entering the matchup than the opposition. Arkansas State yields 201.4 per contest, as opposed to 132.2 for Nevada.
Conference H2H: Mountain West vs. Sun Belt
The Mountain West is 30-14 SU (68.2 percent) and 24-19-1 ATS (55.8 percent) all-time against Sun Belt foes, going off a -10.1 average favorite on the college football oddsboard.
Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS)
Bowl Record: 3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS
Coach, Bowl Record: Blake Anderson (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Blake Anderson’s Arkansas State has claimed victory in just one of four bowl matchups, a 31-13 upset as 4-point underdogs over then-No. 8 Central Florida in the 2016 Cure Bowl. Defense is largely missing in the losses, the Red Wolves gifting 63 (Toledo), 47 (La. Tech), and 35 points (Middle Tennessee, 2017).
Arkansas State vs. Mountain West
SU Record: 2-1
Average Margin: 0.0
ATS Record: 1-2
Average Line: 0.0
Despite winning two of three contests against Mountain West foes, the Red Wolves failed to reach their projected team total in each, by an average 5.7 points.
Nevada Wolf Pack (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS)
Bowl Record: 5-10 SU, 4-8 ATS (since 1980)
Coach, Bowl Record: Jay Norvell
In two seasons leading the Wolf Pack, this is Norvell’s first bowl appearance as head coach. It’s worth noting the “under’ is 7-2 in Nevada postseason matchups since 2006, the final score staying 12.0 points south of a 60.6 average total.
Nevada vs. Sun Belt
SU Record: 0-1
Average Margin: -13
ATS Record: 0-1
Average Line: 0.0
Nevada lost 16-3 against Louisiana Lafayette in the 2014 New Orleans Bowl, it’s only clash against a Sun Belt foe. The game kicked off a pick ‘em.