A month ago SBR rolled out a new method to lend you a helping hand for your college football picks against the betting odds. The response has been extremely positive!
We introduced college football power rankings which are score-differentials based, developed with a formula that that takes our number against the eventual outcome and adjust the power rankings accordingly from week to week. Our goal is to help our readers with a unique betting tool that could increase your understanding of all the teams and think just like college football handicappers.
While we have a modest variance in looking the college football odds, if you would like to play along, add four points to any home team. You can also see our Top 25; the listing is next to the particular team, using this formula.
How we devised these is not going to follow the normal protocol. This week for instance we have Ohio State No. 1, why, because since losing to Virginia Tech, they have outscored six opponents by 33.8 PPG, which explains their 5-1 ATS record against the sportsbooks. If you would like a new devise to use for your college football picks against the betting odds, review what we have, it will help you.
The rest of our Top 5 has Mississippi, Oregon, Alabama and Mississippi State.
|Power Ratings||Start||Current||Power Ratings||Start||Current|
|Florida State (12)||100||101||West Virgina (20)||83||97|
|Clemson (22)||93||95||Oklahoma State||89||84|
|Boston College||80||86||Baylor (7)||95||103|
|Wake Forest||81||73||Texas Tech||86||75|
|Kansas State (14)||89||100|
|Georgia Tech||85||91||Mid. Tenn. State||79||77|
|Ohio State (1)||94||106|
|Michigan State (9)||95||103||West|
|Penn State||88||89||North Texas||80||68|
|Maryland||87||88||UT- San Antonio||82||74|
|Nebraska (13)||88||100||American Athletic|
|Bowling Green||85||75||Oregon (3)||99||105|
|Northern Illinois||84||76||Oregon State||89||82|
|Ball State||75||77||USC (17)||95||99|
|Eastern Michigan||67||57||Arizona State (21)||88||95|
|San Diego State||82||76||East|
|San Jose State||76||74||Georgia (15)||94||100|
|Colorado State||83||87||Missouri (25)||92||94|
|Troy||72||62||Ole Miss (2)||95||105|
|Texas State||72||70||Mississippi State (5)||90||103|
|UL Monroe||77||73||Auburn (6)||96||103|
|Arkansas State||80||80||Texas A&M||90||92|
|Idaho||71||64||Notre Dame (19)||91||96|
|New Mexico State||69||60||Navy||83||81|
Sportsbook Review – Situation Conference Games of the Week
AAC – Temple had a great upset last week at home over East Carolina 20-10. But if you were following closely, the pressure seemed to be getting to the Pirates of late who were not playing well. Memphis has continued to play well and we like them with our number of -9 compared to sportsbooks -7.5.
ACC – Louisville’s top-rated defense was torn apart by the skill and speed of Florida State the last 33 minutes. However, Boston College does not have the same type of players which is why we are comfortable with the Cardinals at -5.5 compared to actual line of -3.
Big 12 – Iowa State was no match for Oklahoma last week and drops down significantly in class to face Kansas. The betting public shifted the Cyclones down to -3.5 at Lawrence, but we are more in accordance with the oddsmakers at -6.
Big Ten – Having a hard time believing Michigan State should be better than an field goal favorite at East Lansing given Ohio State almost always wins there and is playing with strong revenge. We have the Spartans at -1.5.
C-USA – Our outright upsets are a solid 14-8 ATS and we have several listed here including UTEP over Western Kentucky. The Miners have been playing super football and while the Hilltoppers can score, their defense is dreadful. UTEP with points is very inviting.
Independents – The sportsbooks and we both agree Notre Dame should be a 2.5 or 3-point underdog at Arizona State.
MAC – The MAC games are complete for this week and we thought Ball State had a real chance to win as home underdog against Northern Illinois, but we were incorrect.
MWC – San Diego State should beat up on Idaho, but the Aztecs have been a middling team for weeks and after being thrashed at Nevada 30-14 and with Boise State on tap, not sure they should be 20+ point home favorites even against Idaho.
Pac-12 – UCLA is a deserving 5-point road favorite, but when breaking down the season against the betting odds, they are only somewhat better than Washington, which is why we are thinking the Huskies could win outright.
Sun Belt – Appalachian State crushed Georgia State last week 44-0 at home and we think having them favored over UL-Monroe is an overreaction and will side with the Warhawks to cover and possibly win.