2014 College Football Power Rankings for Week 11

Doug Upstone

Thursday, November 6, 2014 6:37 PM GMT

A month ago SBR rolled out a new method to lend you a helping hand for your college football picks against the betting odds. The response has been extremely positive!

We introduced college football power rankings which are score-differentials based, developed with a formula that that takes our number against the eventual outcome and adjust the power rankings accordingly from week to week. Our goal is to help our readers with a unique betting tool that could increase your understanding of all the teams and think just like college football handicappers.

While we have a modest variance in looking the college football odds, if you would like to play along, add four points to any home team. You can also see our Top 25; the listing is next to the particular team, using this formula.

How we devised these is not going to follow the normal protocol. This week for instance we have Ohio State No. 1, why, because since losing to Virginia Tech, they have outscored six opponents by 33.8 PPG, which explains their 5-1 ATS record against the sportsbooks. If you would like a new devise to use for your college football picks against the betting odds, review what we have, it will help you.

The rest of our Top 5 has Mississippi, Oregon, Alabama and Mississippi State. 

 

Power Ratings Start Current Power Ratings Start Current
ACC     Big  12    
Atlantic     Oklahoma (11) 97 102
Florida State (12) 100 101 West Virgina (20) 83 97
Clemson (22) 93 95 Oklahoma State 89 84
Louisville  89 94 TCU (8) 89 103
NC State 83 82 Texas 90 89
Boston College  80 86 Baylor (7) 95 103
Wake Forest 81 73 Texas Tech 86 75
Syracuse 86 84 Kansas 79 71
      Kansas State (14) 89 100
Coastal     Iowa State 83 80
Virginia Tech 89 85      
Miami 88 95 Conference USA    
North Carolina 89 83 East    
Virginia 81 85 Marshall (16) 91 99
Georgia Tech 85 91 Mid. Tenn. State 79 77
Duke 86 91 Western Kentucky 75 75
Pittsburgh 86 84 Florida Int 70 74
      Florida Atl. 78 76
Big Ten     UAB  70 74
East     Old Dominion 74 67
Ohio State (1) 94 106      
Michigan State (9) 95 103 West     
Penn State 88 89 North Texas 80 68
Michigan   92 87 Louisiana Tech 74 83
Maryland 87 88 UT- San Antonio 82 74
Indiana  85 78 Southern Miss 70 67
Rutgers 83 81 Rice   82 85
      UTEP 70 78
West          
Nebraska (13) 88 100 American Athletic    
Wisconsin (18) 93 98 Tulane 78 71
Iowa  91 93 Central Florida 91 87
Minnesota 86 86 Houston 88 91
Northwestern 89 83 Cincinnati 87 85
Illinois 86 79 South Florida 76 71
Purdue  81 82 East Carolina 85 84
      Connecticut 74 73
MAC     Tulsa 77 68
East     Temple 74 79
Ohio U. 78 69 Memphis  82 91
Massachusetts  65 70 SMU 80 60
Miami-Ohio  69 68      
Kent State  73 66 PAC-12    
Akron 76 74 North    
Buffalo  73 69 Stanford (24) 96 95
Bowling Green 85 75 Oregon (3) 99 105
      Washington  92 9
West     California 79 84
Northern Illinois  84 76 Oregon State 89 82
Toledo 82 79 Washington State 85 81
Western Michigan  71 81      
Central Michigan  78 80 South    
Ball State  75 77 USC (17) 95 99
Eastern Michigan  67 57 Arizona State (21) 88 95
      Utah  85 94
Mountain West     Colorado  80 78
West     Arizona  87 93
Fresno State 86 74 UCLA  97 93
Hawai'i  74 72      
Nevada  77 85 SEC    
San Diego State  82 76 East    
San Jose State  76 74 Georgia (15) 94 100
UNLV  76 68 South Carolina 93 90
      Florida 91 92
East     Tennessee 86 88
Air Force 77 79 Kentucky 82 87
Boise State 90 92 Vanderbilt 84 77
Colorado State 83 87 Missouri (25) 92 94
New Mexico 72 71      
Utah State 86 87 West    
Wyoming 75 73 Alabama (4) 99 104
      LSU (10) 95 102
Sun Belt     Arkansas  86 94
Troy  72 62 Ole Miss (2) 95 105
Texas State 72 70 Mississippi State (5) 90 103
UL Monroe  77 73 Auburn (6) 96 103
Arkansas State  80 80 Texas A&M  90 92
Louisiana  87 81      
Georgia State 65 60 Independents    
Idaho 71 64 Notre Dame (19) 91 96
South Alabama  78 77 BYU 89 86
New Mexico State 69 60 Navy 83 81
Appalachian State 66 68 Army   73 66
Georgia Southern  66 84      

 

Sportsbook Review – Situation Conference Games of the Week

AAC – Temple had a great upset last week at home over East Carolina 20-10. But if you were following closely, the pressure seemed to be getting to the Pirates of late who were not playing well. Memphis has continued to play well and we like them with our number of -9 compared to sportsbooks -7.5.

ACC – Louisville’s top-rated defense was torn apart by the skill and speed of Florida State the last 33 minutes. However, Boston College does not have the same type of players which is why we are comfortable with the Cardinals at -5.5 compared to actual line of -3.

Big 12 – Iowa State was no match for Oklahoma last week and drops down significantly in class to face Kansas. The betting public shifted the Cyclones down to -3.5 at Lawrence, but we are more in accordance with the oddsmakers at -6.

Big Ten – Having a hard time believing Michigan State should be better than an field goal favorite at East Lansing given Ohio State almost always wins there and is playing with strong revenge. We have the Spartans at -1.5.

C-USA – Our outright upsets are a solid 14-8 ATS and we have several listed here including UTEP over Western Kentucky. The Miners have been playing super football and while the Hilltoppers can score, their defense is dreadful. UTEP with points is very inviting.

Independents – The sportsbooks and we both agree Notre Dame should be a 2.5 or 3-point underdog at Arizona State.

MAC – The MAC games are complete for this week and we thought Ball State had a real chance to win as home underdog against Northern Illinois, but we were incorrect.

MWC – San Diego State should beat up on Idaho, but the Aztecs have been a middling team for weeks and after being thrashed at Nevada 30-14 and with Boise State on tap, not sure they should be 20+ point home favorites even against Idaho.

Pac-12 – UCLA is a deserving 5-point road favorite, but when breaking down the season against the betting odds, they are only somewhat better than Washington, which is why we are thinking the Huskies could win outright.

SEC – The world will be fixated on Alabama at LSU. Looking around at our SBR forum, we can tell you we are not the only one’s thinking the Tigers could upset the Crimson Tide.

Sun Belt – Appalachian State crushed Georgia State last week 44-0 at home and we think having them favored over UL-Monroe is an overreaction and will side with the Warhawks to cover and possibly win.