High/Low Spreads & Totals for Week 5 College Football Picks

Matthew Jordan

Friday, September 26, 2014 6:03 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 26, 2014 6:03 PM UTC

Welcome to Week 5 of High/Low, a look at the highest and lowest spreads and totals on every college football game. Last week we put up a 1-3 mark, our second straight (come on!), and now stand at 7-9 for the year. All college football odds courtesy of BetOnline.

New Mexico State vs. LSU (-43)
I am curious which LSU team shows up here. The Tigers might play angry after getting beaten pretty soundly last week at home by Mississippi State (final score a bit misleading) or they might be a bit disinterested going back out of conference against a bad Aggies team and with LSU visiting No. 5 Auburn next week in what becomes a must-win game for the Tigers to keep their SEC West hopes alive. I'm not sure that LSU is good enough offensively to score 43 points on its own. Sophomore QB Anthony Jennings struggled against Mississippi State and was replaced by freshman Brandon Harris, who threw two touchdown passes to put LSU in position to win the game with a Hail Mary attempt. Les Miles says Jennings will start but Harris will play. When you have two quarterbacks that means you don't really have any. NMSU has a decent QB in Tyler Rogers, who has thrown for 1,056 yards and nine TDs. Don't get me wrong, New Mexico State won't win and this won't be all that close, but if LSU can't score 43 by itself, this seems easy. 

College Football Pick: Bet New Mexico State cover at 5Dimes

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Arkansas vs. Texas A&M (total 70)
Fresno State at New Mexico actually has the highest total at 72.5, but that's a Friday game and I only look at Saturday matchups in these stories. This game is Arlington, Texas. I am incredibly interested to see which style wins out here. The Razorbacks will run all day and try to wear down the Texas A&M defense, which might be doable. Behind very good tailbacks Alex Collins and Jonathan Williams, Arkansas averages 45 rushes and 324.5 yards per game, tops in the SEC. Here is a great stat: At an average of 328.4 pounds per player, the Razorbacks' starting offensive line is bigger than any starting NFL offensive line was in Week 1. I'm not comparing Texas Tech to Texas A&M, but the Hogs beat the Red Raiders 49-28 a few weeks ago and rushed for a whopping 438 yards. Arkansas is much better than last year. The Aggies of course will play fast and they wear down defenses with their tempo. It's a battle of opposites. Texas A&M beat Arkansas 45-33 last year.

College Football Pick: 'Under.' That Arkansas running game will eat plenty of clock.

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Texas State vs. Tulsa (-3)
I am stunned the lowest total on the board is just a field goal. Clearly need to do my homework on this one as I can't say I'm an expert on Texas State or Tulsa football. Wasn't Texas State the school in the movie "Necessary Roughness?" The Golden Hurricane hosed me in their last game when college football odds had them at a pick'em at Florida Atlantic and I leaned them. So of course they got crushed 50-21. Tulsa did have two weeks to prepare for this. Texas State, a Sun Belt team, opened with a slaughter of Arkansas-Pine Bluff but has followed with losses to Navy and Illinois, playing well in both. The Bobcats are coached by Dennis Franchione, whom you may remember coached the Alabama Crimson Tide from 2001-02. TSU hasn't been a good road team, going 6-18 the last four seasons after losing at Illinois. That's enough for me. 

College Football Pick: Tulsa.

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Texas vs. Kansas (total 41.5)
At least I've heard of these two teams. Thinking this would be a better basketball matchup than football. As of this writing, Horns coach Charlie Strong hasn't kicked another player off the team yet, but there's plenty of time before kickoff. He booted his ninth player earlier this week. Strong is clearly trying to clean up a program that had no discipline under Mack Brown. UT put up 38 points in its season-opening win over North Texas but has managed just 24 total in the next two games against BYU and UCLA with backup QB Tyrone Swoopes replacing an injured (and retired) David Ash under center. Texas has scored 7 total points in the first quarter all year. I actually believe that KU would have fired Charlie Weis, a supposed offensive guru, had the Jayhawks lost last week at home to Central Michigan, but they won 24-10.  Neither of these teams can pass a lick and they rank 107th (UT) and 110th (KU) in points. Last year the Horns beat Kansas 35-13 in Austin. 

College Football Pick: 41.5 is simply too low. Go 'over' for your college football picks

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