ALDS Game 2: Price Plus Tanaka Adds Up to ‘Over’ Winner Saturday in Boston

Friday, October 5, 2018 1:15 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 5, 2018 1:15 PM UTC

A couple of pitchers who struggled in the Red Sox-Yankees rivalry this year square off on Saturday, and our handicapper is expecting an ‘over’ winner on the MLB odds card.


2018 MLB Record: 87-87-1 (+8.55 units)


ALDS Game 2: NY Yankees at BostonSaturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (TBS)Free MLB Pick: OverBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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If there is going to be a watershed moment in this ALDS, it could come early in Game 2 on Saturday when Boston sends David Price (16-7, 3.58) out to the mound to face the Yankees. New York hitters have pretty much had their way with Price since he joined the Red Sox, and flat-out pounded on the former Vanderbilt star this season.

Masahiro Tanaka (12-6, 3.75) is slated to climb the bump for the Yankees at Fenway Park, setting up the third collision of 2018 between him and Price. Boston and New York split those contests, and Bookmaker carried the Yanks as very slight chalk in each meeting.

Tanaka & Price Serve Up 15 HR In Rivalry This Year

It’s hard to believe that Price actually made a quality start against New York this season considering he posted a 10+ ERA over 15.2 innings in the four assignments. The only winning effort came against Tanaka in Boston on August 5, Price going six and allowing two runs in a no-decision the Red Sox rallied to win 5-4 in 10 innings. Tanaka allowed one run and struck out nine Red Sox before coming out in the fifth, also his best go in the rivalry with a 7.58 ERA vs. New York in four starts. Between them, Price and Tanaka gave up 15 homers in less than 35 innings when facing either the Yankees or Red Sox this year.

JD Martinez (.444, 3 HR) and Mookie Betts (.310, 2 HR) have been tough outs for Tanaka over the years, something which should come as no surprise since those two are tough outs for just about any pitcher. Price has struggled against several Yankee hitters, none more so than Gary Sanchez who is 6-for-13 lifetime, five of those hits sailing into the bleachers.

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Ready. pic.twitter.com/vXMmfiPlPy

— Boston Red Sox (@RedSox) 5 de outubro de 2018
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‘Under’ Umpire Vs. ‘Over’ Trends For Hurlers

Dan Bellino, working his fifth LDS series, will call balls and strikes at Fenway on Saturday. The Chicago native was a good friend to ‘under’ bettors during the ’18 campaign, fashioning a 7-18-3 O/U/P record, though his lone plate assignment in Boston was an easy ‘over’ winner on the baseball odds board as the Red Sox outslugged the Yankees, 15-7.

Tanaka’s last three outings went past the totals while four of Price’s last five were ‘over’ winners. With clear skies and warmer temps than Friday’s opener expected for Saturday, along with a gentle southerly breeze possibly helping balls headed towards the Green Monster, I can’t help but play it ‘over’ for my free MLB pick.

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