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NBA—5 Betworthy Trends: Week 14

1—Cavaliers ATS Woes Continuing, Now 3-15-1 ATS at Home  at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland

LeBron James (27.1 ppg, 8.8 apg, 1.7 spg, 1.1 bpg), Kevin Love (9.6 rpg) and the Cavaliers lost their 5th straight game ATS on Friday night in Indianapolis, losing 97-95 to the Victor Oladipo and the Pacers in an Eastern Conference affair—after leading by a mind-boggling 22 after the 1st Quarter (34-12)—and losing ATS as closing 1½-point Road Favorites at Bankers Life Fieldhouse (221, JustBet). With the SU and ATS Loss, Cleveland (+625 to win 2018 NBA Finals, Bovada) lost its 10th game in the last 11 ATS and fell to a Fade-worthy 6-27 -1 ATS—who finally have PG Isaiah Thomas back from Injury—in the betting role as a Favorite (18.2%) this 2017/2018 NBA Regular Season. Tommy, can you hear me? The defending Eastern Conference champion Cavaliers haven’t W21 straight ATS since Nov. 28, have only one ATS Win in 2018 and are a painful 2-13 ATS their L15, getting the cheese popcorn only against Portland and Washington over that span.

The Cavaliers (-140 to win Eastern Conference, 5Dimes) next game comes on Monday when they welcome Steph Curry, Draymond Green and the defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors (-170 to win NBA Finals, 5Dimes) to Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland for an NBA Finals rematch (TNT, 8 pm ET/5 pm PT) in what Trend-wise seems like a good spot to back Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson and the Dubs with the Cavs a poor 3-15-1 ATS at Home (16.7%).


2—No Claws? Grizzlies a Very Fade-worthy 4-12 ATS in the Betting Role as a Favorite

Although they are 12-12-1 ATS in the role of Underdogs—including a SU and ATS Loss on Friday night in Denver, 87-78, losing as 6½- to 7-point Road Underdogs at the Pepsi Center (203), the Memphis Grizzlies (13-28 SU, 16-24-1 ATS) are a dismal 4-12-0 when lined as Favorites so far this 2017/18 Regular Season (25%). Marc Gasol (8.6 rpg), Tyreke Evans (19.8 ppg, 4.6 apg) and Mike Conley Jr. (17.1 ppg, 4.1 apg) and the Western Conference Southwest Division members (5th place) Memphis (3,000/1 to win NBA Finals, JustBet) have also been pretty bad on the Road, going 5-15 SU and 8-11-1 ATS against the betting number, and sitting 15 games under .500 at this point in the season, one would have to think Motivation on a game-to-game basis will be a factor in January, February, March and April, with fading the hibernating Grizzlies probably not a hard thing to do moving forward.

The next chance to bet against JaMychal Green (10.0 ppg, 6.7 rpg) and faltering Memphis—The NBA Franchise Formerly Known As The Vancouver Grizzlies—as likely Favorites may come on Monday when Lonzo Ball and the Los Angeles Lakers (22-19-0 ATS, 9-9-0 ATS on Road) invade FedExForum in Memphis (TNT, TWC SN, 5:30 pm ET/2:30 pm PT) for an MLK Day matinee from the Volunteer State.


3—Magician Wall, Wizards an Impressive 11-3 ATS in Role of Underdog This NBA Regular Season

Several NBA teams have done very well to date ATS in the role of Underdog with John Wall and the Washington Wizards (24-18 SU, 19-23-0 ATS) going 11-3 as Underdogs as we wrap up Week 14. On Friday night at Home, the Wizards were Favorites, and failed to cover ATS as closing 10½- to 11-point chalks in a 125-119 win at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC (218) to Orlando as the slumping Magic (1-9 L10 SU) lost their 7th game in a row SU. The Wizards will be hosting Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jabari Parker and the Bucks on Monday, the MLK holiday (FSW1, CNSW, 2 pm ET/11 am PT), in a big Eastern Conference showdown between the current 5th- and 7th-place teams in the conference, but Marcin Gortat and the host Washington should be Favorites in that affair.

In the first meeting between the Wizards and Bucks this season at Milwaukee on Nov. 20, Washington won 99-88 as Bradley Beal had 23 points and Gortat had 15 rebounds while the Bucks got payback on Jan. 2 in DC, making the Wizards invisible in a 110-103 victory as Antetokounmpo had 34 points and 12 boards for the visitors. Three chances to possibly test the Washington (85/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, BetDSI) as Underdogs on the Road are coming up on the Wizards schedule with a game at Charlotte on Wednesday night (Jan. 17) against the Hornets (7 pm EST/4 pm PST), a game a Detroit on Friday night (Jan. 19) against the Pistons (ESPN, 8 pm ET/5 pm PT) followed by a game at Dallas next Monday (Jan. 22) against the Mavericks (8:30 pm ET./5:30 pm PT), although Washington may be made slight Favorites at Charlotte (16-24 SU).


4—Spurs Have Been Best Home Team ATS, Celtics Have Been the Most Profitable ATS on Road

Kawhi Leonard and the The Spurs (28-15 SU, 23-19-1 ATS) have gone 14-5-1 ATS so far at Home at AT&T Center in San Antonio and will be testing that Trend tonight (Saturday) against the visiting Nuggets who are 7-point Underdogs (FSSW, ALT, 8:30 pm ET/5:30 pm PT; Total 204½, Intertops) for their Western Conference showdown. LaMarcus Aldridge and the Spurs (+2650 to win NBA Finals, Bookmaker) have W4 straight ATS at Home and are 6-1 ATS the L7 in Texas’s River City. The best team ATS on the Road so far? That would be Head Coach Brad Stevens’ newlook Boston Celtics (+1275 to win NBA Finals, Heritage), who are 14-7 away from Beantown and have W7 straight games at this writing. The Blazers are next, with a profitable 14-8 ATS mark.

The next chances to back Kyrie Irving (24.0 ppg), Al Horford (7.3 rpg, 5.3 apg)—yes, big Al Horford leads the Celtics in average Assists per Game—Rookie Jayson Tatum and Boston (19-14-2 as Favorites) on the Road will have to wait until Week 16 when the C’s head to California to face the Lakers (14-27 SU, 20-21-0 ATS) on Jan. 23 and the Clippers (20-21 SU, 22-19-0 ATS) on Jan. 24 on back-to-back nights in the building the two teams share at 1111 Figueroa Street—the Staples Center. Boston will play three straight Home games this coming week: vs. the Pelicans on Tuesday (Jan. 16), vs. the 76ers on Thursday (Jan. 18) and against the Magic next Sunday (Jan. 21) before embarking on a West Coast Road trip.

5—Portland Trail Blazers 12-6 ATS as Underdogs, at Minnesota to Face Timberwolves on Sunday

Although they lost in the role of Underdogs (3½-point) on Friday night at New Orleans, 119-113 (219), the Portland Trail Blazers (22-20 SU, 19-21-2 ATS) have gone a profitable 12-6-0 ATS as Underdogs this year (66.7%) so far for Head Coach Terry Stotts. And the next chance to back Damian Lillard and Portland (300/1 to win NBA Finals, 5Dimes) as an Underdog will come on Sunday night at the Target Center in Minneapolis against Jimmy Butler, Karl-Anthony Towns, Andrew Wiggins and the Timberwolves (+8250 to win NBA Finals, Heritage) in a game which has seen the host Minnesota open up as 5½-point Home Favorites (FSN+, CSN-N, 9 pm ET/6 pm PST) in a Northwest Division match between the surprising 4th- and 5th-place teams in the West, and two teams who would meet if the NBA Playoffs were to tip off today.

Some other teams good in the Role of Underdogs so far? Boston at a splendid 7-1 ATS, ther Toronto Raptors at 7-3 ATS, the Detroit Pistons at 13-7-1 ATS, the Wizards at a profitable 11-3—who we shone a light on above—and the Oklahoma City Thunder at 3-1 ATS. Of note, the Blazers, Thunder, Mavericks (18-13 ATS) and Timberwolves (7-6 ATS) are the only four teams in the Western Conference with ATS Records above .500 in the betting role as Underdogs heading into play on Saturday.

NBA BETWORTHY TRENDS SATURDAY PICK: Spurs -7 -105 over Nuggets (Heritage)

NBA BETWORTHY TRENDS SUNDAY PICK: Blazers +5½ over Timberwolves (BetOnline)