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NBA—5 Betworthy Trends: Week 13

1—Wizards Have Been an Under team on the Road, 15-5 Now After Under at Memphis on Friday

Bradley Beal (23.4 ppg), John Wall (8.7 apg) and the surging Washington Wizards (66/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, Bovada) have been a relatively strong Under team on the Road so far this 2017/18 NBA Regular Season, going 5-15-0 in the Totals market which translates to 15 Unders and 5 Overs in 20 lined games on the Road after Friday where the Wiz went down the Yellow Brick Road to Memphis, and upset to the Grizzlies 102-100, as 4½-point Underdogs at the FedExForum with a Total of 204½ JustBet). Overall, the Total is 14-24 in Wizards games after Friday’s result.

The Under is now 5-0-1 the L6 Friday games for Marcin Gortat, Otto Porter Jr. and the Wizards (+1745 to win Eastern Conference, 5Dimes), the Under 8-1 the L9 Road Games vs Team With Losing Home Records and the Under is 6-1 the L7 Washington Road games Against Teams With Home Winning Percentages Under .400. One reason Washington (20-19 ATS) games have gone Under on the Road is the Wizards Defense which currently ranks #1 in the NBA in (Defensive) 3-Point FG Percentage (33.4%) and 9th in overall FG Percentage (45.2%). Next up on the NBA schedule for Markieff Morris and Washington (104.0 ppg Scoring Defense, #11), a Home game against the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday night (WASH -4½, 214½, BetOnline).


2—Pacers Have Been Really Scuffling Of Late, Indiana Has Now L5 in a Row SU, 6 Straight ATS

Although still above the .500 waterline bothy SU and ATS, the Indiana Pacers (19-18-0 SU, 20-18-1 ATS) have really hid the skids of late, losing 5 straight games overall (MIL-MIN-CHI-DAL-DET) and 6 consecutive ATS heading into the Pacers game against the Bulls on Saturday night at Bankers Life Fieldhouse (WGN, FSIN, 7 pm EST/4 pm PST). When these two met on Dec. 6 in Naptown, Lance Stephenson and the Pacers (1,000/1 to win NBA Finals, BetDSI) won 98-96 but failed to cover as huge 10-point Home chalks (206½, U) while when the two Eastern Conference Central Division rivals met at Chicago on Dec. 29, the Bulls won 119-117, covering as modest 2-point Home Favorites (205, O).

With former Indiana Hoosiers star Victor Oladipo (Questionable) and the Pacers 35-12 SU vs. Chicago (14-25 SU, 23-14-2 ATS) in Indianapolis since 1992 (25-22 ATS), it’s easy to want to lean Indiana (3-2 ATS L5 in series at Home) here on Saturday, but the Bulls have been playing really well of late (11-5 SU) after a crap start (3-20 SU), so the pick is the Underdog visitors from the Windy City and taking the Points here with talented Rookie (Arizona) Lauri Markkanen, Nikola Mirotic, Denzel Valentine, Bobby Portis and new-look Chicago (14-3 ATS L17) in a game the Baby Bulls (+6.2 ppg vs ATS in East) could easily win. On Friday, the Bulls—17-4 ATS vs. the Eastern Conference, one of our 5 Betworthy NBA Trends from last week in this little sports gambling corner of Cyberspace—upset the Mavs in Dallas as +160 Moneyline Underdogs (5Dimes).


3—Knickerbockers Bad Bockers on the Road, 3-14 SU, 6-11-0 ATS After Friday Game in Miami

Like we talked about with the San Antonio Spurs (13-5-1 ATS at Home, 7-13 ATS on Road) last week, the Knicks have been a solid team at Home in The Big Apple in the friendly confines of Madison Square Garden (15-7 SU/AST) but bad on the Road both SU (3-14) and ATS (6-11) after barely covering ATS as 6½-point Road Underdogs at Miami on Friday night in OT, 107-103 (201), thanks to a 26-22 Knicks 4th Quarter (+4). Kristaps Porzingis, Enes Kanter, Doug McDermott, Tim Hardaway Jr. and New York (1,000/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, 5Dimes) are 26-32 ATS as a Road team since 2016.

The next chances to fade New York on the Road will come on Sunday in Dallas (Jan. 7) and Friday (Jan. 12) in Minneapolis against Jimmy Butler at the Timberwolves. After a Home date with Butler’s former team, the Bulls on Wednesday (Jan. 10), and another game at MSG against the Pelicans on Jan. 14, the Knickerbockers will play 7 straight Road games—at the Brooklyn Nets (Jan. 15), at the Memphis Grizzlies (Jan. 15), at the Utah Jazz (Jan. 19), at those aforementioned struggling Los Angeles Lakers (Jan. 21), at the defending NBA champions Golden State (Jan. 23) and at Denver (Jan. 25), at Phoenix (at Jan. 26). New York will return Home on Jan. 30 to face the Nets in a Big Apple Hoops Derby again, then play two more Road dates, at Boston (Jan. 31) and at Milwaukee (Feb 4), meaning 11 of the next 14 games are Road dates for the poor Knicks. Fade ‘em? They should be really tired in early February.


4—Purple and Gold (and Gold): The Over is 10-3 in the Last 13 Los Angeles Lakers Games Overall

After losing to the Hornets at the Staples Center on Friday night at the Staples Center in La La Land, 108-94 (CHAR -2½), the Lakers (11-27 SU, 17-21-1 ATS) have now played 10 Overs in their L13 games overall (217, Heritage) and have Purple and Gold games have skewed to the Over, overall in the Totals market this season (21-17) with the Over now 12-8 at Home in Los Angeles (LAK 9-9 O/U on Road). On Friday, the Halftime score read, CHAR 64 LAK 49, for a Total of 113 points in the first 30 minutes of play on the hardwood, going Over the 1st Half Total(s) in the range of 109½ to 110½ by just a 3-pointer and because of a 59-point 2nd Quarter, but the game went Under the Total, thanks in great part to a feeble 33-point 4th Quarter (LAK 18 CHAR 15).

The next game for Jordan Clarkson, Brandon Ingram, Brook Lopez, veteran Luol Deng and the Lakers (1,000/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, 5Dimes)—who have been in a swoon, L9 in a row SU and L3 ATS—comes on Sunday against Dennis Schroeder and the Atlanta Hawks (8-11 O/U on Road) in a good spot to exploit (betting on) the Over (and possible fading the hosts). Ladies, please. It’s 92° below in the East and Midwest now.

5—Kings 3-17 SU in Games Decided by 10 Points or More, Fadeworthy 3-15-1 ATS in That Result

The Sacramento Kings (12-25 SU, 15-19-3 ATS) are an abhorrent 2-17 SU in 19 games decided by 10 points (10.5%) one way or another (the Kings winning or losing by), and a Betworthy (fadeable) 3-15-1 ATS in their 19 games in that result/role so far (16.7%). So, if you think you can tab a game where the Kings will either lose or somehow win by double digits, fade Sacramento brother. Willie Cauley-Stein, Zach Randolph, Buddy Hield and Sacramento have L4 straight ATS in that role and have gone 1-7 ATS the L8 games decided by 10 points or more heading into Saturday night when they welcome the Nuggets to Sacramento (AL2, NSCA, 10 pm EST/7 pm PST) for what could end up being a Western Conference snoozer (DEN -4½, 207, JustBet).

When these two met earlier this NBA Regular Season at Denver on Nov. 23 at the Pepsi Center, the Nuggets won in this Trend/Role, 96-79, covering ATS as 12½-point Home chalks (213, U) while Denver was also victorious in a 10+ point game on Nov. 20 at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, 114-98, winning ATS as 5-point Road Favorites (210½, O). Bogdan Bogdanovic, Justin jackson, George Hill, Skal Labissière and the Kings are an impressive 28-12 SU in the L40 vs. Denver in Sactown (since 1996), but just 18-19 ATS. Time to pan those golden nuggets?

NBA BETWORTHY TRENDS SATURDAY SIDE PICKS: Bulls over Pacers, Nuggets -4 -105 over Kings (Pinnacle)