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Monday October 10th – World Cup Qualifier – Value Bets


Netherlands vs France

This is a very similar game to the one between Italy and Spain a few days ago. Two big teams for only one spot. On this kind of games the main focus is usually to avoid a defeat. However, Netherlands is far from reliable on their defense and that might be a problem for them on this game.

The opening odds were very generous for France with their Draw No Bet around -142.86 however, at this moment they already steamed to 1.55 which changed our play on this game.

Even though France is still recovering from their disastrous loss in the Euro 2016 final, they are a much more consistent team than Netherlands.

France to win this game seems a good option but we’ll go with a safer line on their -0.25 Asian Handicap @-100.

Free Soccer Pick: France -0.25 @-100 Pinnacle


Sweden vs Bulgaria

Other of the matches that we’ll take a closer look is also from group A with Sweden facing Bulgaria. Both teams have very small chances of making into the final stage. On Sweden’s side, the team lost their big star Zlatan Ibrahimovic who decided to end his international career.

With two games already played on this qualification, Bulgaria forced their opponents to play a very open game. After their 4-3 victory against Luxembourg in the first game, they lost against France by 1-4, showing that they can score against any team but that they are also very weak on the back.

Despite their recent low scoring results, this is a game to back the Over and with the odd above evens we can’t miss it.

Free Soccer Pick: Over 2.5 +105 Sportingbet



Faroe Islands vs Portugal

In our third bet of the day, we’ll analyze closely the game between Faroe Islands and the 2016 Euro Cup champions, Portugal.

The Faroe Islands keep surprising the world and after their result last year against Greece, the team achieved a draw against Hungary and a victory against Latvia.

This time the task is much harder against a team that counts with some of the best players in the world. Cristiano Ronaldo and his teammates are the main favorite and they should cover the handicap proposed by the sportsbooks.

After a huge 6-0 victory vs Andorra, this is the kind of game where Ronaldo can show up once again, with Portugal’s Asian Handicap -2.00 @1.93 as the highest value line for this game.

Free Soccer Pick: Portugal -2.00 @-110 Pinnacle



Estonia vs Greece

This is the last game in our analysis with the sportsbooks providing us great value on the visitors to win this game.

Greece @-111.11 for this game clearly deserves a bet. The Greeks are a much better team this year with their performances improving game after game. Mitroglou is the highlight on their offensive line and they should be too strong against a weak team as Estonia.

It’s crucial for the 2004 Euro Cup champions to win points on the road if they want to be in Russia 2018.

Greece should also end this game with a clean sheet, which gives us some value to take a higher risk on their Asian Handicap -1.00. However, our main selection is to take Greece to grab the three points.

Free Soccer Pick: Greece to win @-111.11 Pinnacle