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MLS—MLS Matchday 35 Lookahead

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Orlando City SC (7-4-21) vs. Columbus Crew SC (13-9-10)

Orlando City Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Sunday, October 21, 3 pm ET/12 pm PT

(ESPN+, TV27, CW Columbus, Spectrum Sports OH · BCSN2)

Free MLS Pick: Crew -105

Best Crew Line Offered: Bookmaker

>Columbus Crew at Orlando City SC SBROdds.com link

 

>After going 5 straight matches without a goal, Dominic Dwyer (13 goals) and host Orlando City SC finally put one in the back of the net in Wednesday's 2-1 loss to the Sounders—who scored twice in the first 13 minutes and qualified for the MLS Cup Playoffs win the victory—but this club is now winless in its L12 games with just 1 goal since September 1, and oddsmaker Offshore have recognized his, making the Columbus Crew SC solid -105 favorites for their weekend match at OCSC, the Lions second game in 5 days.

 

  • OCSC has been outscored 30-14 its L12 matches (0-2-10)

  • Dwyer’s goal for OCSC Wednesday was its first in over 500 minutes (9/1)

  • OCSC 72 GA is the highest in MLS (2.25 gpg)

 

Gyasi Zardes (16 goals), Federico Higuaín (5 goals) and Columbus (WDLWDL) sit in 5th place in the Eastern Conference and are just 3-5-8 on the Road this season, but Sacha Klještan (5 goals) and OCSC (DLLDLLL) have been just too weak on Offense and have been on a fade-worthy late-Summer/early-Autumn losing spell.

 

  • CREW unbeaten L6 meetings vs OCSC (4-2-0)

  • CREW only 1 Loss to OCSC in MLS play (5-3-1; 8/2/2015)

  • CREW -2 GD (39 GF-41 GA), 2-3-3 L8 matches (8 GF-12 GA)

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Looking at the L5 meetings in this series (CLB 3-2 ORL, ORL 0-1 CLB, ORL 1-1 CLB, CLB 2-0 ORL, ORL 1-4 CLB) we see that the Lions are winless (0-1-4) and have been outscored 11-4 in the process with three of those meetings in the Sunshine State, two Clean Sheets and three Unders in the L4 meetings.

Remember the Crew (47 points)—who will likely be staying put in Columbus—have still yet to officially clinch a MLS Cup Playoff spot, so Motivation is a factor as well as the Lions sleepy September-October performance. But with the now 8th-place Impact (44 points) behind 6th-place DC United (45 points) in the East, Wil Trapp and the Crew at least have a buffer-zone and a 5-point distance with two fixtures to go.

 

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Orlando City SC 0 Crew 2


 

 

Seattle Sounders (16-5-11) at Houston Dynamo (9-8-15)

BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston, Texas

Sunday, October 21, 5 pm ET/2 pm PT

(ESPN+, MLS LIVE [CAN], YouTube TV [Seattle], JOEtv, KUBE 57)

Free MLS Picks: Sounders PK -121, Under 3 -102

Best Sounders, Under Lines Offered: Bookmaker

>Seattle Sounders at Houston Dynamo SBROdds.com link

 

>Probably best to back the Sounders (8/1 to win MLS Cup, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) on the PK line (as opposed to the 3-way market where a draw might lose with a Tie) in this one, although the visitors may be in a perceived letdown spot after clinching a MLS Cup Playoff berth with their win at OCSC on Wednesday night in which RW Víctor Rodríguez had a great game, scoring a goal and nabbing Man of the Match honors.

 

  • SOUNDERS 13-2-2 L15 (33 GF-12 GA); W3 straight (10 GF-2 GA)

  • SOUNDERS have allowed just 13 goals in L15 matches (0.87 gpg)

  • SOUNDERS have allowed least goals in Western Conference (34)

 

The Sounders (WWLLWWW) will enter this Matchweek 35 fixture in 4th-place (53 points) with host Houston (LWDWLL) in 10th and out of the picture with 35 points, 11 points back of 6th-place RSL in the rugged Western Conference.

A handicapping look at the L5 matches between these two (SEA 4-1 HOU, SEA 3-0 HOU, HOU 0-2 SEA, SEA 1-0 HOU, HOU 2-1 SEA) shows the Home club to be 4-0-1 with the sounders W4 straight in the series by a combined 10-1 margin with the Dynamo being shut out 3 times by stellar GK Stefan Frei and scoring only in the last meeting earlier this month (Oct. 8) at CenturyLink Field.

 

  • DYNAMO have a 0 GD after 32 matches (53 GF-53 GA)

  • DYNAMO only lost once to SOUNDERS (last game) at Home (5-4-1, 15 GF-10 GA) but…

  • DYNAMO still trail series in MLS play (5-7-9, 18 GF-28 GA)

 

The word on the Web is that the , Will Bruin (7 goals), Raúl Ruidíaz (7 goals) and the red-hot Sounders will be getting Nicolás Lodeiro (8 goals) and Gustav Svensson both back after serving international duty for their native Uruguay and Sweden respectively, so, everything (Momentum, Series Trends, Roster, Playoff Positioning) points to backing Seattle in H-town, who is priced at +144 on the 3-way line (JustBet).

 

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Dynamo 0 Sounders 1


 

Real Salt Lake (13-7-12) at Portland Timbers (14-9-9)

Providence Park, Portland, Oregon

Sunday, October 21, 5 pm ET/2 pm PT

(ESPN+, MLS LIVE (Canada), ROOT Sports NW, KMYU)

Free MLS Pick: Timbers -163

Best Timbers Line Offered: JustBet

>Real Salt Lake at Portland Timbers SBROdds.com link

 

> With the Sounders clinching that aforementioned berth in the West on Wednesday, Diego Valeri (10 goals), Sebastián Blanco (9 goals) and Portland (WLWLDW) and Damir Kreilach (11 goals), Albert Rusnák (10 goals), Joao Plata (9 goals), Samuel Armenteros (8 goals) and RSL (WWDLDL) are both battling for 5th- and 6th-place and sit 6 points and 1 point respectively above the LA Galaxy (45 points) heading into MLS play on Sunday.

 

  • TIMBERS have just 2 Losses at Home (10-4-2—W-D-L)

  • TIMBERS-RSL: 5 of L6 meetings 4 goals or more (4-4-1-5-3-4)

  • TIMBERS last Home loss was on August 27 (PORT 0-1 SEA)

 

A look at the L5 meetings (RSL 1-4 PORT, RSL 2-1 PORT, PORT 1-4 RSL, PORT 1-0 RSL, RSL 2-2 PORT) shows the two sides deadlocked at 2-2-1 with each winning a match at the other’s Home pitch. This is the day, when things fall into place.

 

  • RSL have just 3 Wins on the Road (3-3-10)

  • RSL 3-5-2 lifetime @ TIMBERS in MLS play (13 GF-10 GA)

  • RSL 10-7-6 vs TIMBERS overall in all competitions (10-7-6)

 

So this one matters to both with the Site and Timber Joey being the biggest edge for Portland. With so much at stake, it’s hard to see a 4-goal affair in Rose City although the Pace should be nervy with RSL fearing the LA Galaxy catching them in the West.

 

Portland Timbers Social Media (Twitter) Insert Link

https://twitter.com/TimbersFC/status/1049713605908750336

 

The first goal will be huge here, especially if it takes more than 45 minutes to happen, but conventional wisdom says the Homepitch and the fans support in this big spot could be the difference in a close one in PDX.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Timbers 2 Real Salt Lake 1