France vs. Germany
The winner of the second Semifinal UEFA EURO 2016 between Germany (#4 FIFA ranking) and the tournament’s host nation France (FIFA ranking #17) will definitely be the distinct favorite in the EURO 2016 Final on July 10 (Sunday) in Saint-Denis with the winner of the first Semifinal between upstart Wales (#26 FIFA ranking) and Portugal (#9 FIFA ranking) destined to be a fair-sized Underdog in the Final with a France-Portugal (Name the Finalists +200 at BetVictor) matchup likely the Oddsmakers closest battle at the betting windows.
Heading into Wednesday’s (July 6, Lyon) and Thursday’s (July 7, Marseille) Semifinals, Germany and GK Manuel Neuer have only allowed 1 goal (on a PK to Italy in Quarterfinals on Saturday) in EURO 2016, while France and GK Hugo Lloris have allowed just two goals from Open Play, both to Iceland (#34 FIFA rankings) in the 2nd Half on Sunday in the Quarterfinals in their 5-2 win. Wales advanced to these Semifinals by beating Belgium, 3-1 on Thursday while Portugal needed a Penalty Kick Shootout (5-3) to eliminate Poland after the two sides played to a 1-1 tie after 90 minutes of regulation plus Extra Time in Marseille on Friday.
Here are the updated soccer odds after this weekend’s last two Quarterfinals matches heading into this coming EURO 2016 Semifinals round, the Name the Finalists odds for the four different possibilities still and previews with predictions for the two Semifinals of this EURO 2016. Remember, all Yellow Cards have washed away after the Quarterfinals.
Germany (+184 to win EURO 2016, 888Sport) and Head Coach Joachim Löw head in here with some serious liabilities, with Striker Mario Gómez (Fiorentina) out for the rest of this EURO 2016 with a torn Thigh muscle, CB Mats Hummels Suspended for Yellow Card accumulation and Midfielders Bastian Schweinsteiger (Manchester United) and Sami Khedira (Juventus) both currently listed as Doubtful. So Germany (WWDWWD) will look to to rally around its world class Goalkeeper and Sweeper Keeper extraordinaire Manuel Neuer (Fußball-Club Bayern München)—who has only allowed one goal from Open Play heading here—and their lockdown Defense to try to find a way by. If Schweinsteiger can’t go, Löw and DFB-Elf may have to call on Emre Can (Liverpool) or Julian Weigl (Borussia Dortmund) and healthy attacking players for Germany like Thomas Müller, Mesut Özil (8/1 Man of the Match, BetVictor), Toni Kroos, Julian Draxler and possibly even Mario Götze or André Schürrle will have to be at their best and stay healthy.
Stade Vélodrome in Marseille is the site of this second Semifinal between Olivier Giroud and host nation France and Mesut Özil and defending World Cup champions Germany on Thursday with the winner destined to be the solid chalks in the Final. Oddsmakers here have made both France and Germany +187 favorites to open with the Draw priced at very low +200 (at Bet365) with the Total (Goals) set at 2 with the Under juiced at -111 (at etBet). Some Props wagers: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ +114, ‘No’ -153 (T Bet365); Draw No Bet: France -120, Germany -120 (at Bet365); Correct Score: 0-0, +650 (at WilliamHill), France 1-0, +650 (at PaddyPower), Germany 1-0, +650 (at BetVictor), France 2-1, 11/1 (at Boylesports), Germany 2-1, 11/1 (at Boylesports); To Win To Nil: France +333, Germany +333 (at Bet365); and, To Qualify: France +100 (at Coral), Germany +100 (NetBet).
A Dead Even Semifinal on Thursday
As you can see, oddsmakers have opened both host France and Germany at +187 for this match with the draw at +200, meaning this one should go down to the wire and that Extra Time and a Penalty Kick shootout may be required, reading into the numbers. But is is that close? France (Current Form—WWWWWWW) played its best game of this EURO 2016 on Sunday, clicking in a 5-2 win over Iceland as Olivier Giroud (2 goals), Paul Pogba, Antoine Griezmann and Dimitri Payet all scored in the 1st Half to build an insurmountable 4-0 lead over Strákarnir okkar. Along with Wales’ Bale, Payet (14/1 France Winner/Payet Top Goalscorer at PaddyPower) has been the most impressive player in this tournament and French Manager Didier Deschamps has to be pleased with the way Les Bleus looked on the attack against Iceland, which played the same Starting XI yet again, resulting in some very tired legs.
With Payet, Pogba (14/1 France Winner/Pogba Top Goalscorer at Sky Bet), Griezmann (-275 France Winner/Griezmann Top Goalscorer at Sky Bet) and Giroud (+500 France Winner/Giroud Goalscorer at BetVictor) all feeling real good right now and the tournament on French soil, Germany—which got here by beating Gianluigi Buffon and Italy, 6-5 in a 9-round Penalty Kick Shootout after their Quarterfinal match ended 1-1 after 90 minutes and Extra Time—could simply be in the wrong place at the wrong time here, but luckily for them, they are battled-tested and very well-versed at winning tournaments on unfriendly soil. But they are beat-up pretty good.
Lifetime, Laurent Koscielny and France are 12-6-9 (43 GF-43 GA) in all competitions against Germany and Les Bleus and strangely enough these two haven’t met in EURO play with all matches between the two either coming in the World Cup (4 matches) or simple Friendlies (23). The last time France and Germany (WDWWD) met was in a Friendly was last November (Friday the 13th) in France at Stade de France in Paris with the French and Lloris registering a 2-0 Clean Sheet with Giroud (45’) and André-Pierre Gignac (86’) scoring for the hosts. The last time France and Germany met in a really meaningful match was in the Quarterfinals of the 2012 World Cup in Brazil where Germany won and advanced, 1-0, thanks to a Mats Hummel header at the 13-minute mark. Besides having the Home Site advantage here, France will also benefit from the fact all of their attackers are healthy while Head Coach Joachim Löw and DFB-Elf will be without the services of dangerous Striker Mario Gómez (Fiorentina) who is now out for the rest of EURO 2016 with a nasty tear in his Thigh muscle.
Along with the absence of Gómez, Germany also will be without CB Mats Hummels (Suspension) and the team also has some serious Injury problems in its Midfield with captain Bastian Schweinsteiger (Manchester United) and Sami Khedira (Juventus) both currently listed as Doubtful for Thursday’s Semifinal so Germany will look to rally around its GK and Sweeper Keeper extraordinaire Manuel Neuer (Fußball-Club Bayern München) and its lockdown Defense. And if Schweinsteiger can’t go, Löw may call on Emre Can (Liverpool) or Julian Weigl (Borussia Dortmund) and healthy attacking players like Toni Kroos, Julian Draxler and possibly even Mario Götze or André Schürrle. Here, Thomas Muller and Mesut Özil will have to come up huge for Germany to make the attack click with so many Injuries, but you couldn’t want two better guys to call on, especially with Philipp Lahm retired.
With Germany having advanced in seven straight major tournaments against host nations—including Brazil in the last World Cup, won by Germany—the Trend definitely supports Germany here but those were healthier German sides and less-talented French ones, at least on the attack. Because of the way Payet, Pogba, Griezmann and Giroud have been playing together as well as the Site, expecting both sides to score here seems logical in a match which could end up having a quicker pace and more scoring than most might anticipate despite the great GK’s (Lloris, Neuer) and their combined success in this EURO 2016 heading in here. The bottom line here is that neither of these sides has yet faced a team as good as themselves in this tournament and that this massive collision—which sort of seems like the EURO 2016 Final in a way because of the Bracket—finds France healthier, more Confident and at Home in Marseille were Les Bleus will definitely need some crowd support to help get by Germany. And with Gómez and Hummels definitely out and Khedira and Schweinsteiger big question marks, the edge (and lean) has to go to France here, especially in France, and especially at the same price (+187 at Bet365) as Germany. But this is one of those matches honestly probably best just watched and maybe left alone, with so much tradition and recent, relevant History telling us Germany never loses in this spot, anywhere and France finally playing up to its attacking potential with Payet pulling the magical strings. Providing a good, solid soccer pick here is a very complicated task.
Free Soccer Pick: France +200
Best Line Offered: at Bet365
Predicted Final Score: France 2 – Germany 1
Highest Odds to Win Euro 2016
Germany +184 (at 888Sport)
France +200 (at Coral)
Portugal +360 (at Bwin)
Wales +900 (at 10Red)
Name the Finalists
Germany-Portugal +200 (at Betway)
France-Portugal +200 (at Bwin)
Germany-Wales +400 (at Betway)
France-Wales +450 (at Coral)