Jazz (36-27 SU, 32-29-2 ATS) vs Pelicans (30-36 SU, 34-31-1 ATS)
Wednesday, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN
Free NBA Pick: +4.5 (-101) Pinnacle
Best Line Offered: Pelicans
Jazz (36-27 SU, 32-29-2 ATS)
The Utah Jazz are sat fourth in a highly competitive Northwest division with a solid 36-27 SU mark that includes a positive run of form in their last ten games. They are 6-4 SU. However, they are coming off a loss in their last game, a narrow 112-115 loss at home to New Orleans.
The Jazz get a second crack at the Pelicans, but this time on the road. Despite their defeat to the Pelicans the Jazz emerge as the solid favourites on the NBA odds board, trading anywhere from-3.5 to -4.5 points against the spread depending on your choice online sportsbook. Interestingly, they are taking in the lion’s share of the bets at 67% recorded ahead of game time.
Pelicans (30-36 SU, 34-31-1 ATS)
The New Orleans Pelicans boast a woeful 30-36 SU record on the season but they are a modest 5-5 SU in their last ten games. Curiously, they’ve picked up form of late behind a three-game winning streak on the road, which includes wins over Phoenix, Denver and Utah.
Overall, the Pelicans are sat outside of the playoff picture Third in the Northwest and 12th in the Western Conference, six wins behinds the sixth placed Utah Jazz. There is still a lot to play for as the season winds down and, crucially, the Pelicans showed they could wreak havoc on proceedings as they came back from behind to clinch the victory over the Jazz on Monday night.
NBA Betting Verdict:: Considering the current status quo, one wonders whether the Pelicans are the real deal or if this is just a desperate late push for a playoff spot that will prove too little too late in the end. Fans will argue that the Pelicans haven’t been atrocious. That they have been in their games but their closing came up just short. Naysayers will simply scoff at such an argument that attempts to justify losing. In the end, winning is all that matters. Just competing doesn’t cut it.
The Pelicans have their work cut out for them if they hope to defy the NFL odds as the home underdogs. Some notable trends to consider: while the Pelicans are 34-31-1 ATS with a 0.9 winning margin on average, they are just a modest 16-14-0 ATS at home with a 3.4 winning margin on average. Where fans might take some heart is the fact that the Pelicans are 8-3-0 ATS at home with a 0.1 winning margin on average. That’s a 72.7% covering ratio.
On the flipside of the coin, the Jazz are 15-16 SU and 16-14-1 ATS on the road with a 0.4 winning margin on average. They are an even 8-8-0 ATS as the road favourites with a -0.6 winning margin on average. They are 2-3 SU on the road in their last five away games but they are also 17-8-1 ATS after a loss with a hefty 8.1 winning margin.
Given all these stats there is an argument to be had for a bet on both sides of the coin. Add to that the playoff chase and well it’s a right tossup. Beating a team in back-to-back games is no mean trick and it will really test the Pelicans’ mettle to do so. Having home advantage could prove beneficial, if not deciding. Take the Pelicans on your NBA picks as the home underdogs.
NBA Picks: Pelicans +4.5 (-101) Pinnacle