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Jayson Tatum of the Boston Celtics reacts against the Miami Heat in Game One of the 2022 NBA Playoffs Eastern Conference Finals at FTX Arena on May 17, 2022 in Miami, Florida. Photo by Michael Reaves Getty Images via AFP.
Jayson Tatum of the Boston Celtics reacts against the Miami Heat in Game One of the 2022 NBA Playoffs Eastern Conference Finals at FTX Arena on May 17, 2022 in Miami, Florida. Photo by Michael Reaves Getty Images via AFP.

NBA stars Damian Lillard, Ja Morant, and Jayson Tatum have boosted odds at FanDuel Sportsbook on Wednesday. Sportsbook Review Sports Betting Analyst Neil Parker evaluates the boost and offers his analysis based on the best NBA odds.

Today's FanDuel odds boosts

Boosted BetOriginal OddsBoosted OddsPromo
Damian Lillard, Ja Morant, and Jayson Tatum to Each Score 25-plus Points-120+120Bet This Boost!

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Today's best FanDuel odds boosts

Damian Lillard, Ja Morant, and Jayson Tatum to each score 25-plus points (+120)

Three high-scoring stars to clear decreased points totals immediately caught my attention, and this is an easy boost to evaluate from a numbers perspective. 

Here are the prices for each leg of the boost from FanDuel and the combined odds according to our handy parlay calculator:

OutcomeOdds
Damian Lillard 25-plus points-800
Ja Morant 25-plus points-260
Jayson Tatum 25-plus points-550
Combined odds-119

For added context, here are the points totals for Lillard, Morant and Tatum through FanDuel, along with my personal points projections and odds for each player to score 25-plus points:

PlayerPoints totalPoints projection25-plus points odds
Damian LillardOver 32.5 (-110)29.8-250
Ja MorantOver 28.5 (-120)27.1-150
Jayson TatumOver 30.5 (-114)29.6-240

The combined odds based on my numbers are +231 for each of Lillard, Morant and Tatum to score 25-plus points. Obviously, there's a huge gap between my price and the boost. I'm going to chalk it up to both my projections being conservative, and the boosted odds being a little short. 

Why is this a so-so boost?

This is an alright boost based on the numbers available through FanDuel. When comparing the original -120 odds of the parlay to the boost price of +120, we’re landing a positive expected value of 20%.

However, it's definitely worth highlighting that the positive expected value based on the odds via FanDuel often lands in the 30% range.

Simply put, this boost just isn't nearly as enticing based on my numbers. The difference between +120 and +231 equals a negative expected value of 34%.

I assessed this boost with a two-star rating because it provides entertainment value, and I do have all three players projected to hit the required 25-point benchmark. The odds based on my projections are just far more friendly. 

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