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76’ers Nets NBA Picks


Philadelphia is a happy place forsports fans right now. Their beloved Flyers are coming off an improbabledomination of the state rival Penguins and are advancing to the conferencesemifinal in the NHL playoffs. The Philadelphia Phillies are struggling right now, but thereare other things more important with barely 8% of the season completed. Thefans know that the 76ers are the next of the four major franchises that willmake the playoffs tonight. Simple. Win and the 76ers are in.

Philadelphia 76ersHead Coach Doug Collins should beup for great consideration as coach of the year. Not only has he taken what wason paper a very weak team and molded them into a playoff team. He and the teamendured some very low points in 2012, but are now beginning to put all of ittogether and are coming off most impressive overtime win at Indiana.

Doug Collins has now created aculture in the template form of the one he played under and was so successfulas a 76ers player. It is a team culture that features always looking forward,learning from wins and losses, and looking to improve every time they step onthe court. The theme is not basking in what they have just accomplished, butrather what work still needs to be done.

The regular season work can becompleted tonight with a win against division rival New Jersey. The Nets are22-42 on the season, but have the added motivation knowing this is the lastgame being played at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ before they move thefranchise to Brooklyn starting next season.


Simulator Projections

I have decided to set a 10* graded free NBA pick on thePhiladelphia 76ers as they take on the New Jersey Nets set to start at 7:05 PMET.

My NBA betting simulator shows a high probability that Philadelphia will win thisgame by double digits. The simulator also shows the additional projections thatNew Jersey will attempt between 77 and 83 shots, will make between 39 and 42%of their total shot attempts, will make between 32 and 38% of their three pointshot attempts, and will score between 87 and 92 points.

In past games this heavily favorsthe 76ers. In past games New Jersey is 40-59 ATS losing 24.9 units per one unitwagered in games where they attempt 77 to 83 shots over the last threeseasons;  4-13 ATS losing 10.3 units perone unit wagered in home games when they make 39% to 42% of their shots in agame over the last two seasons; 4-12 ATS losing 9.2 units per one unit wageredwhen they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season;4-12 ATS losing 9.2 units per one unit wagered when they grab 48 to 52 reboundsin a game this season; 0-7 ATS losing 7.7 units per one unit wagered in homegames when they score 87 to 92 points in a game this season.

Supporting Systems

Supporting this graded play is asystem that has produced a record of 43-16 ATS for 73% winning NBA picks since 2006. Playon road favorites after going over the total by 30 or more points total intheir last five games and winning between 51% and 60% of their games on theseason. Of the 59 games played based on the criteria of this system, 29 of themor 46% covered the spread by seven or more points. This further underscores mybeleive that this will by a double digit win by the 76ers.

Game Situation

The Nets are not a good team bynearly all statistical measures in NBA basketball this year. The 76ers havetaken care of business when playing against inferior and struggling type teamslike the Nets. The 76ers are 16-5 ATS making 10.5 units per one unit wageredwhen facing poor teams that are being outscored by their opponents by three ormore points per game this season.

My Pick: Take thePhiladelphia 76ers as a 10* Titan graded play.