Our main favorite win the title, Andy Murray, is now just one win away from leaving Cincinnati with the trophy. After a very demanding week in Rio de Janeiro, it hasn’t been easy for Murray to present his best tennis throughout this event yet, the world no.2 found a way to get things done and reaches this stage of the competition without dropping a single set. Looking now to Andy’s numbers throughout this event, the highlight clearly goes to his serve, with Murray winning 94.6% of his service games and saving 77.8% of the break points faced so far.
Marin Cilic is for the first time in his career on a Masters 1000 final evet after an epic battle against Grigor Dimitrov, with the Croatian emerging victorious by 4 – 6 6 – 3 7 – 5. Despite his victory over Dimitrov, Cilic was far from the level presented on serve in previous rounds, with the 2014 US Open champion firing only 0.44 aces per service game while his average throughout the week was 1.11.
These two players will face each other for the 14th time on their careers with Murray leading on the h2h by 11 – 2.
After winning 39.58% of the points played on Milos Raonic’s serve, Murray shouldn’t experience many problems against Cilic’ serve, especially if Marin keeps placing only 44.19% first serve like he did in the previous round against Dimitrov. Having said that, our suggestion is for you to add Murray’s spread to your betting picks, in a match where Andy should achieve his 23rd consecutive victory.
Free Tennis Pick: Andy Murray -4 (-106)
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline
Angelique Kerber’s dream season continues with the German just one win away from becoming the new world no.1. Unlike we predicted in our semifinals analysis, Simona Halep couldn’t find a way to overcome Kerber, with the Romanian far from her best and her numbers support that – 21 winners / 50 unforced errors. Angelique is now looking to redeem herself after losing her previous final one week ago in Rio de Janeiro against Monica Puig.
The fast court conditions in Cincinnati clearly suit Karolina Pliskova’s powerful game, with the Czech reaching the final after a superb performance against Garbine Muguruza, dismissing the Spaniard by 6 – 1 6 – 3. Despite placing only 47.4% first serves throughout this event, Pliskova won 89.7% of the games played on her serve with an average of 1.03 aces per service game – while her career average on Hard Court is only 0.63.
This will be the 7th career meeting between these two players with Kerber leading on the h2h by 4 – 2.
These two players have featured some remarkable battles in the past and they’ll face each other for the third consecutive time on a WTA Final. After emerging victorious in Birmingham 2015 by 6 – 7 6 – 3 7 – 6 and in Stanford 2015 by 6 – 3 5 – 7 6 – 4, Kerber is looking for another triumph however, Pliskova is never an easy match-up for the German. Besides this, Kerber has the additional pressure of knowing that a victory today means that she’ll become the new world no.1. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of the value on Pliskova’s betting odds by placing a bet on her set handicap.
Free Tennis Pick: Karolina Pliskova +1.5 Set Handicap (-115)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle
Record: 34-16-2 +17.43