Murray played very poorly last week and lost to monaco. nalby loves this quick surface in paris. murray who he beat here last year also has london coming up and he probably isn't as focused giving nalbandian over a 50% chance imo. Importnat to note is that murray played unreal against nalby last time in paris, it was murray's second serve that was killing him.
I'd love to fade Murray here but after watching Dave play yesterday there's no way I can. This is a 1000 - I don't think Murray's going to be as complacent as he was last week.