1. 07-13-10 06:20 AM #1
    PetrGasparik
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    Small research on blind bets

    Just for curiosity, I tested profitability of blind bets:

    Yesterday 12th July : 22 plays

    blind beting of 1 unit on:
    underdog: -6,4u
    favorite: 2,45u
    1st player: 0,71u
    2nd player: -4,66u

    made just for curiosity and entendable to more days if I have more interest
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  2. 07-13-10 06:22 AM #2
    noober
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    thanks for the first two. the other are completely irrelevant as no two books have the same orderings.

    will be interesting to see how the first two will perform in the long run. if book are correct both should be slight in the red.
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  3. 07-13-10 06:47 AM #3
    jojo85
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    did you use opening/closing lines? Or just prices at a random time?
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  4. 07-13-10 07:04 AM #4
    PetrGasparik
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    Quote Originally Posted by jojo85 View Post
    did you use opening/closing lines? Or just prices at a random time?
    http://www.livescore.in/cz/tenis/ -> Kurzy
    I think these are best closing odds across a list of bookmakers

    I would like to make a stat if underdogs won when there was some line move etc, but I have no data for that
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  5. 07-14-10 04:51 AM #5
    PetrGasparik
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    13th July blind betting, in units:

    blind dog: -6,22 per match: -0,115185185
    blind fav: -0,11 per match: -0,002037037

    from all winning underdogs, there is one big not talked on forum yesterday:
    Niculescu M. (Rom) +315 over Bacsinszky T. (Sui) /WTA Prague)
    how do we missed it?

    biggest winning underdog yesterday: Zec Peskiric M.(Slo) +453 over Parra S. A. (Esp)
    +we assumed other underdogs
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  6. 07-19-10 01:27 AM #6
    PetrGasparik
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    Summary of last week:



    per day:


    Best day for dogs: Sunday, +0.22units per blind bet
    Best day for favs: Thursday, +0,21units per bet.

    Overall, blind betting on fav yielded in +6units with rolling 174 units in bets. It means earning 3.4%
    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 01-13-15 at 04:39 PM.
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  7. 07-19-10 03:30 AM #7
    jojo85
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    do you use a script to get the data or do you all put it in manually?
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  8. 07-19-10 04:31 AM #8
    PetrGasparik
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    1. grab from livescores.in
    2. paste into new sheet in excel
    3. paste formuli from previous sheet
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