[EaglesPhan36]

Just looked at some lines for tomorrow in the French Open.

Stosur -1610 after she was -470 or so in the 1st round and is playing a comparable if not better opponent than in Round 1. F-ing stupid.

[noober]

Halep>>> De Los Rios

[EaglesPhan36]

Maybe you can make a case for that, but four times the price? I don't buy that at all. The books have set a lot of players at supremely ridiculous chalk in some of these early matches.

[noober]

Agree on that.

[nulldah]

does these lines appear after most of today games finished? maybe it's because they consider today amazing stats. only 1 in 18 WTA matches so far is upset. maybe they r too afraid too many public will jump in favs.

[EaglesPhan36]

Most of them have been up for at least a day or more.

[bass7]

stosur is up to -2500 on the book im using lol

[EaglesPhan36]

I'm starting to think they're doing this to try and deny people who like high chalk parlays for Grand Slams. You have to string a lot of high chalk together at these insane prices to make the return worth a damn and the more plays you have in a parlay, the more likely it is to get boned.

[noober]

A play either has positive expected value or doesn't. Putting it in a parlay won't change anything, other than amplify the house edge.

[shari91]

The one positive is that this gives us a chance to make a run at a highly undervalued player or one against an insanely overvalued opponent. But I agree, a lot of these matches are just unplayable unless you string together a 10 leg parlay and that's just silly.

[Slider612]

Looked like you get most of the good value plays early in the tourney,is this kind of true,is there a trend early in tournys?

[JNic]

yea so much heavy chalk, who would ever back troicki against ball -550 and wow bellucci is -550 vs andujar, bellucci much better fav

[EaglesPhan36]

The problem this high chalk bullshit is causing too is that the medium to low chalk winds up getting POUNDED because no one wants to lay -1000 or worse, so someone like Bellucci gets bought quick from under -500 to probably -600 by match time. Gotta get those early I think.

[noober]

Looked like you get most of the good value plays early in the tourney,is this kind of true,is there a trend early in tournys?

Agree. The more inefficient tha market is, the better.

[Jrod124]

Troicki and Bellucci will only go up. For some reason Murray is over 1000 now. Thats crazy Chela won a clay court event this year. Anyone playing Murray should have his/her head checked

[EaglesPhan36]

Watch the numbers closely though, you might be able to pick out that big upset if one is going to happen. Yesterday, the only heavy chalk - I term this -400 or more - that didn't get slammed was Querrey. Not always an accurate predictor, but interesting to watch.

[necro]

Good luck

[sportscash]

The one positive is that this gives us a chance to make a run at a highly undervalued player or one against an insanely overvalued opponent. But I agree, a lot of these matches are just unplayable unless you string together a 10 leg parlay and that's just silly.

Yeah it is silly but i have actually done that the last couple of days because im having trouble finding a good price also.Luckily ive won them all so far but i better quit while i'm ahead with the multi's i reckon.