1. #1
    The Expert
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    The Expert 2021 tennis selections

    WTA Miami, 23/03/2021
    Nadia Podoroska vs. Mayar Sherif
    2 units on Nadia Podoroska (-2.5 games) @ 1.833 / -120 on PinnacleSports

  2. #2
    The Expert
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    Don't know if the thread is going to last more than 3 days but let's give it a try.
    I know something about tennis and I'm consistently winning with ca. 10% ROI.
    I see, you don't believe it - I wouldn't too.


  3. #3
    The Expert
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    ATP Miami (Q), 23/03/2021
    Mischa Zverev vs. Matteo Viola
    1 unit on Mischa Zverev (ML) @ 1.952 / -105 on PinnacleSports

  4. #4
    JamesBrown
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    Good luck. I'll tail the Podoroska play!
    Points Awarded:

    The Expert gave JamesBrown 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  5. #5
    The Expert
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Expert View Post
    WTA Miami, 23/03/2021
    Nadia Podoroska vs. Mayar Sherif
    2 units on Nadia Podoroska (-2.5 games) @ 1.833 / -120 on PinnacleSports
    WIN: Nadia Podoroska def. Mayar Sherif 6-3 6-1 (+1.666 units)

  6. #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Expert View Post
    ATP Miami (Q), 23/03/2021
    Mischa Zverev vs. Matteo Viola
    1 unit on Mischa Zverev (ML) @ 1.952 / -105 on PinnacleSports
    WIN: Mischa Zverev def. Matteo Viola 6-7 6-4 6-1 (+0.952 units)

  7. #7
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    YTD Record: 2-0 +2.618 units

  8. #8
    The Expert
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    ATP Challenger Lugano, 24/03/2021
    Daniel Masur vs. Illya Marchenko
    1 unit on Illya Marchenko (ML) @ 1.839 / -119 on PinnacleSports

  9. #9
    Igor_1965
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Expert View Post
    ATP Challenger Lugano, 24/03/2021
    Daniel Masur vs. Illya Marchenko
    1 unit on Illya Marchenko (ML) @ 1.839 / -119 on PinnacleSports

    1.72 now. Is one limit bet enough to change this line this much?
    Points Awarded:

    The Expert gave Igor_1965 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 04/08/2021


  10. #10
    The Expert
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    It might be, I haven't looked at liquidity, though in challengers it's not high.
    It's still available at several bookmakers:

    @1.86 on SBObet
    @1.85 on Unibet
    @1.83 on Bet365

  11. #11
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    ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
    Steve Johnson vs. Yannick Hanfmann
    1 unit on Yannick Hanfmann (ML) @ 1.833 / -120 on PinnacleSports

    *Would've been 2 units @ 2.05 / +105 odds but these are gone...

  12. #12
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    WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
    Camila Giorgi vs. Ludmilla Samsonova
    1 unit on Ludmilla Samsonova (-1.5 games) @ 1.908 / -110 on PinnacleSports

  13. #13
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    WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
    Heather Watson vs. Nina Stojanovic
    1 unit on Heather Watson (ML) @ 1.868 / -115 on PinnacleSports

  14. #14
    The Expert
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    WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
    Nao Hibino vs. Renata Zarazua
    1 unit on Nao Hibino (+3.5 games) @ 1.960 / -104 on PinnacleSports

  15. #15
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    WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
    Andrea Petkovic vs. Shuai Zhang
    1 unit on Andrea Petkovic (ML) @ 1.942 / -106 on PinnacleSports

  16. #16
    The Expert
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Expert View Post
    ATP Challenger Lugano, 24/03/2021
    Daniel Masur vs. Illya Marchenko
    1 unit on Illya Marchenko (ML) @ 1.839 / -119 on PinnacleSports
    LOSS: Daniel Masur def. Illya Marchenko 7-6 7-5 (-1 unit)

    Not a good bet at all. Even game, both had their chances, though no value at -119 after all.
    We move on, big card today.

    YTD Record: 2-1 +1.618 units

  17. #17
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    ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
    Alejandro Tabilo vs. Mikael Ymer
    1 unit on Mikael Ymer (-2.5 games) @ 1.951 / -105 on PinnacleSports

  18. #18
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    ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
    Vasek Pospisil vs. Mackenzie McDonald
    1 unit on Mackenzie McDonald (ML) @ 1.876 / -114 on PinnacleSports

  19. #19
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    WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
    Anna Kalinskaya vs. Irina-Camelia Begu
    1 unit on Anna Kalinskaya (+1.5 sets) @ 1.846 / -118 on PinnacleSports

  20. #20
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    WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
    Jelena Ostapenko vs. Xiyu Wang
    1 unit on
    Xiyu Wang (+4.5 games) @ 2.119 / +112 on PinnacleSports

  21. #21
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    ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
    Feliciano Lopez vs. Alexei Popyrin
    1 unit on Feliciano Lopez (+1.5 sets) @ 1.924/ -109 on PinnacleSports

  22. #22
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    ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
    James Duckworth vs. Mischa Zverev
    1 unit on
    Mischa Zverev (ML) @ 2.299/ +130 on PinnacleSports

  23. #23
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    ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
    Carlos Alcaraz vs. Emil Ruusuvuori
    1 unit on Carlos Alcaraz (ML) @ 2.428/ +143 on PinnacleSports

  24. #24
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    ATP Miami, 24/03/2021
    Marcos Giron vs. Tommy Paul
    1 unit on Marcos Giron (ML) @ 2.259/ +126 on PinnacleSports

  25. #25
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    WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
    Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs. Storm Sanders
    1 unit on Storm Sanders (+3.5 games) @ 1.861 / -116 on PinnacleSports

  26. #26
    JamesBrown
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    Wow lot's of action. Good luck today!
    Points Awarded:

    The Expert gave JamesBrown 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  27. #27
    PharaohUB
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    Good luck. I donít know crap about womenís tennis but if you do well Iíll tail. Would be cool to see your record split between atp and wta. Nice call on giron. Letís go mischa !
    175 pts

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    175 pts

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    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 04/08/2021

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  28. #28
    The Expert
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    Quote Originally Posted by PharaohUB View Post
    Good luck. I donít know crap about womenís tennis but if you do well Iíll tail. Would be cool to see your record split between atp and wta. Nice call on giron. Letís go mischa !
    Will do that.
    Now I'm fuming at Lopez and Wang. Both bets practically won, actually lost. Hibino might be next...

  29. #29
    The Expert
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    WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
    Sloane Stephens vs. Ocene Dodin
    1 unit on Sloane Stephens (ML) @ 2.468 / +147 on PinnacleSports

  30. #30
    The Expert
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Expert View Post
    WTA Miami, 24/03/2021
    Camila Giorgi vs. Ludmilla Samsonova
    1 unit on Ludmilla Samsonova (-1.5 games) @ 1.908 / -110 on PinnacleSports
    Adding 1 unit to make it 2 units total.

  31. #31
    prior22usaf
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Expert View Post
    Adding 1 unit to make it 2 units total.

    Thank you sir for this pick!
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    The Expert gave prior22usaf 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  32. #32
    leovegas
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    Winning day with that volume. Where have you been all this time, sir??? Good to have you on the forum
    175 pts

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    175 pts

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    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 04/05/2021


  33. #33
    The Expert
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    Quote Originally Posted by prior22usaf View Post
    Thank you sir for this pick!
    You're welcome!

  34. #34
    The Expert
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    Quote Originally Posted by leovegas View Post
    Winning day with that volume. Where have you been all this time, sir??? Good to have you on the forum
    Firstly, I've got more time now as I've changed my job.
    Secondly, I've tried to start threads with bets but was giving up after first bad day - that's my drawback. I hate sharing losing picks.
    As for today, I will recap it shortly but in fact it really should have been a lot better day. I'm not a complaining-type guy, though two losses had to be winners.
    We move on, good that there's at least a profit.
    As for volume, you won't see such a huge amount of plays more than few times a year. There were 37 matches yesterday, which is possible only in GS or Miami/IW plus I really loved a lot of match-ups. Volume is going to be lowered a lot (if thread is alive by Sunday )

  35. #35
    The Expert
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    I don't have energy to quote each post, therefore I will just post photo of my own spreadsheet.That was solid day but should have been a lot better. I'm not talking about Alcaraz/Hibino/Zverev losses in 3rd (that's normal) but about these two plays:

    • Lopez +1.5 sets being 4-6 *6-5 30-15 in 2nd set to lose 6-7
    • Xiyu Wang +4.5 games being 4-6 *5-3 30-30 in 2nd set. Handicap could be covered easily if she won 6-3 and even if she simply losses the set. Of course she wins in TB (worst scenario) and then wins one game in 3rd.

    Ok, complaining is over, we move on. Below there're the records.

    YTD Record: 11-7, +5.47 units (ROI 127%)
    YTD Record (ATP): 5-4, +0.871 units (ROI 110%)
    YTD Record (WTA): 6-3, +4.599 units (ROI 142%)
    YTD Record (1 units): 9-7, +1.988 units (ROI 112%).
    YTD Record (2 units): 2-0, +3,482 units (ROI 187%)


    YEAR MONTH DATE SPORT COUNTRY LEAGUE GAME PICK FAV / DOG ODDS (EUR) ODDS (US) STAKE SCORE RESULT UNITS
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami WTA Sloane Stephens Oceane Dodin Stephens ML Dog 2,468 +147 1 6-7 6-4 6-2 WIN 1,468
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami WTA Elisabetta Cocciaretto Storm Sanders Sanders +3.5 games Dog 1,861 -116 1 1-6 7-5 1-6 WIN 0,861
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami WTA Jelena Ostapenko Xiyu Wang Wang +4.5 games Dog 2,119 +112 1 6-4 6-7 6-1 LOSS -1
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami WTA Anna Kalinskaya Irina-Camelia Begu Kalinskaya +1.5 sets Dog 1,846 -118 1 6-4 7-6 WIN 0,846
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami WTA Andrea Petkovic Shuai Zheng Petkovic ML Fav 1,942 -106 1 7-5 6-1 WIN 0,942
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami WTA Nao Hibino Renata Zarazua Hibino +3.5 games Dog 1,960 -104 1 4-6 6-4 1-6 LOSS -1
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami WTA Heather Watson Nina Stojanovic Watson ML Fav 1,868 -115 1 4-6 1-6 LOSS -1
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami WTA Camila Giorgi Ludmilla Samsonova Samsonova -1.5 games Fav 1,908 -110 2 2-6 4-6 WIN 1,816
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami ATP Marcos Giron Tommy Paul Giron ML Dog 2,259 +126 1 7-6 6-4 WIN 1,259
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami ATP Carlos Alcaraz Emil Ruusuvuori Alcaraz ML Dog 2,428 +143 1 4-6 6-2 5-7 LOSS -1
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami ATP James Duckworth Mischa Zverev Zverev ML Dog 2,299 +130 1 6-2 4-6 6-4 LOSS -1
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami ATP Feliciano Lopez Alexei Popyrin Lopez +1.5 sets Dog 1,924 -109 1 4-6 6-7 LOSS -1
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami ATP Vasek Pospisil Mackenzie McDonald McDonald ML Fav 1,876 -114 1 3-6 6-4 3-6 WIN 0,876
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami ATP Alejandro Tabilo Mikael Ymer Ymer -2.5 games Fav 1,951 -105 1 3-6 1-6 WIN 0,951
    2021 FEB 24/02 Tennis Miami ATP Steve Johnson Yannick Hanfmann Hanfmann ML Fav 1,833 -120 1 5-7 2-6 WIN 0,833
    2021 FEB 23/02 Tennis Lugano ATP Challenger Daniel Masur Illya Marchenko Marchenko ML Fav 1,839 -119 1 6-7 5-7 LOSS -1
    2021 FEB 23/02 Tennis Miami ATP Mischa Zverev Matteo Viola Zverev ML Dog 1,952 -105 1 6-7 6-4 6-1 WIN 0,952
    2021 MAR 23/03 Tennis Miami WTA Nadia Podoroska Mayar Sherif Podoroska -2.5 games Fav 1,833 -120 2 6-3 6-1 WIN 1,666


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