1. #106
    Maizey
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    Quote Originally Posted by ibuystock View Post
    My bet on Jung was graded as a loss by my sportsbook. I guess many books have different rules about retiring during tennis match.
    The great majority of them grade after one completed set. All three of mine grade that way.

  2. #107
    Mr0ctober
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    Bookmaker the match must be completed in it’s entirety.

  3. #108
    Maizey
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    Well, that’s certainly a top notch book. #1 on the SBR list of books. My three accounts happen to be at SBR books #2, #3 and #4. I’m surprised Bookmaker grades that way. It actually can be beneficial to play against those rules when you are betting a player that may have a chance to aggravate an injury. That said, I personally prefer the 1 set grading rule. It seems more fair, kind of like a baseball game going 5 innings to be graded.

  4. #109
    Mr0ctober
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maizey View Post
    Well, that’s certainly a top notch book. #1 on the SBR list of books. My three accounts happen to be at SBR books #2, #3 and #4. I’m surprised Bookmaker grades that way. It actually can be beneficial to play against those rules when you are betting a player that may have a chance to aggravate an injury. That said, I personally prefer the 1 set grading rule. It seems more fair, kind of like a baseball game going 5 innings to be graded.
    yeah I think standard is after one set. It’s hurt me before just as it helped me yesterday. It all evens out in long run probably. Best of luck this year!

  5. #110
    Maizey
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    Same to you buddy!

  6. #111
    Mr0ctober
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    2/20
    atp parlay:
    johnson/Thiem/Sparty ML hoops -115 (0.92u to win 0.8u)

    also
    Sablenka/Sparty ml (-110) (0.88 to win 0.8u)

    Ironically we talked about this yesterday. Be sure to bet this one at a book that considers the match complete after one full set as we could see Halep pull out today.

    best of luck guys

  7. #112
    Mr0ctober
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    Year to date: 49-33 +23.593u

    2/21:
    Nishioka/Thiem -125 (1u to win 0.8u)

  8. #113
    Mr0ctober
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    Nishioka/Thiem -125 (1u to win 0.8u)❌

    Year to date: 49-34 +22.593u

  9. #114
    Mr0ctober
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    Couple plays:
    Kwon/Rafa over 19 +105 (risk 0.5u)
    Grigor/Stanimal Over 23 (-115) to win 0.5u

  10. #115
    Mr0ctober
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    Year to date: 49-36 +21.518u

    3/1:

    WTA Monterrey:
    Scmeidlova -168 (to win 1u)

    will start seeing more plays frequently again. Had to take a little break from capping. I spend a lot of time before making a pick and life got busy.

  11. #116
    SCI
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    BOL. Good to see you will be posting more picks.

    Totals are tough to predict. I try to avoid after not much success. Picking a winner seems like better odds than picking a scoreline.

  12. #117
    Mr0ctober
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    Thanks SCI. And yes I definitely play less totals! Best of luck!!

    WTA Monterrey:

    Scmeidlova -168 (to win 1u)✅

    Year to date: 50-36 +22.518u

  13. #118
    Mr0ctober
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    Triple play 3/2:

    WTA:
    Bara +5 games (-120) (risk 0.6 to win 0.5u)
    Bonaventure +135 (risk 0.5u)
    Money line parlay: Van Uytvanck/Watson (-170) (0.85u to win 0.5u)

  14. #119
    Mr0ctober
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    WTA:
    Bara +5 games (-120) (risk 0.6 to win 0.5u)✅
    Bonaventure +135 (risk 0.5u)✅ +0.675u

    Year to date: 52-36 +23.693u✅

    Pending the Watson portion of this.
    Money line parlay: Van Uytvanck/Watson (-170) (0.85u to win 0.5u)

  15. #120
    SCI
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr0ctober View Post
    WTA:
    Bara +5 games (-120) (risk 0.6 to win 0.5u)✅
    Bonaventure +135 (risk 0.5u)✅ +0.675u

    Year to date: 52-36 +23.693u✅

    Pending the Watson portion of this.
    Money line parlay: Van Uytvanck/Watson (-170) (0.85u to win 0.5u)
    Nice day

  16. #121
    Mr0ctober
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    Quote Originally Posted by SCI View Post
    Nice day
    had a little of that bara money line too!!

  17. #122
    Mr0ctober
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    Pending the Watson portion of this.
    Money line parlay: Van Uytvanck/Watson (-170) (0.85u to win 0.5u)

    3/3:

    money line parlay:
    WTA kasatkina/ATP Humbert/ncaa hoops Bama and Bucknell

    -106 ( risking 0.53u to win 0.5u)

  18. #123
    Mr0ctober
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    Can I win a tiebreaker. Goodness❌❌

    Year to date: 52-38 +22.313u✅

  19. #124
    Mr0ctober
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    Trying to pick my spots during these rather light tennis days

    3/6:

    Bouzkova -125 (to win 0.8u)
    Van Uytvanck -115 (to win 0.5u)

  20. #125
    Mr0ctober
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    3/6:

    Bouzkova -125 (to win 0.8u)✅
    Van Uytvanck -115 (to win 0.5u)✅

    Year to date: 54-38 +23.613u

  21. #126
    Mr0ctober
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    Well had plays lined up for Indian Wells. So much for that

  22. #127
    Vyasports
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr0ctober View Post
    Well had plays lined up for Indian Wells. So much for that
    how come?

  23. #128
    Mr0ctober
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vyasports View Post
    how come?
    Tournament cancelled due to corona virus.

  24. #129
    Mr0ctober
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    Year to date: 54-38 +23.613u


    Iím back guys been busy with mlb capping and golf and with tennis being so light been treading lightly.

    First play back

    WTA
    Mladenovic -121 (she playAlexandrova) (to win 0.5u)

    Best of luck guys

  25. #130
    Mr0ctober
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    First play back

    WTA
    Mladenovic -121 (she playAlexandrova) (to win 0.5u)❌

    Brick city ignored the fitness factor and shouldnít have (Mladenovic pulled out last match and I didnít factor it in as much as I should of.). I liked the price but should
    Have treaded more cautiously. Bad pick no excuse


    Year to date: 54-39 +23.008.

  26. #131
    Mr0ctober
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    Wonít count this if it wins or loses but suggest ferro live as she is down 2 games to 0 in WTA Palmero. Think she pulls it together and wins.

  27. #132
    Mr0ctober
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    Hope someone jumped on with me! 🍻

  28. #133
    Mr0ctober
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    WTA Lexington
    Kristie Ahn +143 (0.5u)
    Kristie Ahn +3 games -108 (0.5u)

  29. #134
    Mr0ctober
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    Never recalled these didnít need to it was push retired
    Kristie Ahn +143 (0.5u)
    Kristie Ahn +3 games -108 (0.5u)


    WTA Lexington
    Ons Jabeur +121 (0.5u)

    Year to date: 54-39 +23.008.

  30. #135
    SerG1230
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    long time follow, first time poster

    Good work here guys!

  31. #136
    Mr0ctober
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    Thanks!!

    WTA Lexington
    Ons Jabeur +121 (0.5u)❌ -0.5u

    Year to date: 54-40 +22.508.

  32. #137
    Mr0ctober
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    Yes Iím still watching tennis and yes Iím following it Iím just treading lightly to start as it is hard to cap with most of these players not being action for a long time.

  33. #138
    Mr0ctober
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    Still patiently waiting

  34. #139
    flabrah5
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    Mertens? She's playing like a beast. Osaka has been herself, yes, but Mertens is breaking folks left and right. So tempted to lay a $15k bet on that +136 ML.

    Thoughts?

  35. #140
    Mr0ctober
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    Quote Originally Posted by flabrah5 View Post
    Mertens? She's playing like a beast. Osaka has been herself, yes, but Mertens is breaking folks left and right. So tempted to lay a $15k bet on that +136 ML.

    Thoughts?
    I looked through this match. Mertens has been outstanding so far while Osaka is coming off a roller coaster match where she finally defeated Kontaviet.

    One thing to keep in mind is Mertens path has been much easier to this point in terms of opponents this tournament. Which could give us a false sense of confidence but could also help in terms of fatigue or freshness.

    Mertens is someone that always fights so I highly doubt she lays down but she hasnít faired well historically against top ranked players like Osaka in the past. And Osaka did handle her in their last match (rather easily).

    Not going to talk you off a near +140 dog that is going to fight for you but just pointing out some counter points. I have the line near correct so would be a no play for me but as I tell most people if you have conviction and a angle in your mind that you think is valid and the right side you play it. There are multiple ways to skin a cat in this business - numbers, analytics, gut, feel... etc. no one way is right and no one way is the only way to victory.

    If you like the side play it but never bet beyond your means. 15k is a lot of money but I donít know your standard bet size either way good luck if you play it!! Iíll be tuning in as much as I can during work ha!

    All that being said if you told me I had to take a side I would take Mertens!
    Last edited by Mr0ctober; 08-28-20 at 07:15 AM.

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