1. 04-08-19 12:31 AM #316
    Jeff_Black
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    This week I will be focusing on the tournament in Marrakech, it is an ATP 250 event. As much as I like the Houston field it's a fair flight to Monte Carlo for many of them if they win a few matches so rather take this one where I feel the field will be more motivated in their match practice to win matches.

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R1
    Albert Ramos Vinolas vs Guido Andreozzi
    Handicap: Albert Ramos Vinolas -2.5, 1.90 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R1
    Taro Daniel vs Mischa Zverev
    Set Handicap: Taro Daniel -1.5 Sets, 2.10 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R1
    Kyle Edmund vs Ugo Humbert
    Handicap: Ugo Humbert +4.5, 1.869 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
    Last edited by Jeff_Black; 04-08-19 at 01:05 AM. Reason: odds error quoted on Taro Daniel
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  2. 04-09-19 12:20 AM #317
    Jeff_Black
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    178 - 174 - 14 (+55.218u)

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R1
    Aljaz Bedene vs Benoit Paire
    Total Games: Over 22 Games, 1.877 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R1
    Thomas Fabbiano vs Pierre Hueges Herbert
    Moneyline: Thomas Fabbiano, 2.429 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R1
    Federico Debonis vs Pablo Andujar
    Moneyline: Pablo Andujar, 2.42 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play


    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R1
    Facundo Bagnis vs Jaume Munar
    Handicap: Facundo Bagnis +3.5 Games, 2.05 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
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  3. 04-09-19 11:52 AM #318
    Gaze73
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    Why was Delbo fav today? Won only 4/10, Andujar Won 10/10 and H2H goes from 0-5 to 0-6 today. Sometimes I wonder why the market doesn't go for the obvious choice. Another one that mystifies me today is Sharma, she's in peak form against some rank 500 trash but the market thinks she should be the dog.
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  4. 04-09-19 12:27 PM #319
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gaze73 View Post
    Why was Delbo fav today? Won only 4/10, Andujar Won 10/10 and H2H goes from 0-5 to 0-6 today. Sometimes I wonder why the market doesn't go for the obvious choice. Another one that mystifies me today is Sharma, she's in peak form against some rank 500 trash but the market thinks she should be the dog.
    The books needed a miracle to win... Delbonis had 4 or 5 set points to win. I had Andujar 1st set, lucky to win. Had he lost set 1 i doubt he would have had the energy to comeback
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  5. 04-09-19 02:14 PM #320
    Gaze73
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    Sharma wins without breaking a sweat, the market must be effin nuts to bet against her all day. Easiest money ever.
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  6. 04-09-19 02:36 PM #321
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gaze73 View Post
    Sharma wins without breaking a sweat, the market must be effin nuts to bet against her all day. Easiest money ever.
    Those are tough matches... Rogers is coming off a long term injury... shes miles better than Sharma when they are both 100%
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  7. 04-09-19 02:49 PM #322
    Gaze73
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    She just choked 6 out of 7 games after my post, are you kidding me.
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  8. 04-09-19 03:04 PM #323
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gaze73 View Post
    She just choked 6 out of 7 games after my post, are you kidding me.
    Sorry bruh. Just know Rogers is top 50 when healthy
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  9. 04-10-19 12:48 AM #324
    Jeff_Black
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    180 - 176 - 14 (+55.515u)

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R2
    Taro Daniel vs Adrian Menendez-Macerias
    Set Handicap: Taro Daniel -1.5 Sets, 2.10 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R2
    Kyle Edmund vs Jo Wilfried Tsonga
    Handicap: Jo Wilfried Tsonga +2.5, 2.02 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
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  10. 04-10-19 10:09 AM #325
    Conqueror
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    Did the son of Daniel fall asleep in the 2nd set?
    BOL with Tsonga.
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  11. 04-10-19 11:52 PM #326
    Jeff_Black
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    Quote Originally Posted by Conqueror View Post
    Did the son of Daniel fall asleep in the 2nd set?BOL with Tsonga.
    Was really surprised with the odds of that game actually, no way does Edmund ever deserve to be that heavily favoured. Kinda annoying because I figured Taro would cover the line anyway so went with the extra juice, didn't pay off this time...

    181 - 177 - 14 (+55.535u)

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R2
    Benoit Paire vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
    Handicap: Benoit Paire -1.5, 1.943 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R2
    Philipp Kohlscrieber vs Pablo Andujar
    Moneyline: Pablo Andujar, 2.139 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Marrakech 250, Mens Singles, R2
    Alexander Zverev vs Jaume Munar
    Handicap: Jaume Munar +4, 1.97 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
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  12. 04-11-19 03:39 AM #327
    Gaze73
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    I am on Munar also, he might even win if Zverev doesn't care.
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  13. 04-11-19 03:46 AM #328
    Jeff_Black
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    Yeah a few of the top seeds Fognini (2), Djere (5), Verdasco (6) and Edmund (3) in the 2R have already bombed out. A guy like Benoit Paire can go on a run for all we know lol. Tsonga I thought wasn't a bad one to take because he'll need the match practice in comparison to other guys as he sat out Indian Wells etc and will want to have a nice tilt on clay this year to get his ranking back up.

    Seems like the market is reacting too, Munar slightly shortening. Think there is a bit of value on Londero as well but would want better odds as Vesely is okay on clay.
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  14. 04-11-19 04:04 AM #329
    Jeff_Black
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    I was looking over the Houston draw and highlights from overnight and there was one matchup that caught my eye. And I will add it in as a play...win or lose i'll live with it. I was actually hoping the odds would be better for the player I want to back here but the odds at present will have to do. I think they should be much closer but they are a bit based off reputation at the moment...In fact I feel like the wrong player is favoured.

    ATP Houston 250, Mens Singles, R2
    Janko Tipsarevic vs Cameron Norrie
    Moneyline: Janko Tipsarevic, 2.33 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Guy was actually playing some good matches and was a bit unlucky he couldn't beat Bautista in Indian Wells, but for a guy who's been riddled with injuries I don't feel like they have a lot of confidence in Norrie to get the job done and that's not surprising as Norrie is far from a known clay courter and hasn't won a match to date in 2019 on clay, as well as playing on it the least in comparison to his preferred hard courts and grass. Tipsarevic plays (has played) plenty of matches on clay and his style suits clay, he can slide on it and I'm not too worried about the injuries slowing him down as he has the shot making to do it. Since he's been slowed down a bit he can be flaky on serve but I don't think anyone in their right mind who follows tennis/tennis players would trust Cameron Norrie to win with the odds offered at present.

    I actually remember one of the very first posts I made here was Tipsarevic to win his match at Houston (odds were closer) but I felt he could do it against a player he was clearly better then and similar circumstances he was coming back from an injury and in actual fact from memory it was his first match back from injury. He won a very ugly three set game and the last set was a tiebreaker but I think it was the relief and confidence to get that first win that got him there.

    Whilst he is no lock to win (Nothing ever is) Norrie is far from a lock either, so I can justify the extra juice on the h2h. I know this is a weirdly long write up for a game probably not many people will focus on, and I know it's weird for me to pick a game early on in another tournament but it's a rare occasion where it's something I've seen a many times so I feel confident in it.

    My Paire/Bedene overs pick is a similar story just without the unnecessarily long detail
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  15. 04-11-19 05:06 PM #330
    Jeff_Black
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    ATP Houston 250, Men’s Singles, R2
    Santiago Giraldo vs Jordan Thompson
    Moneyline: Santiago Giraldo, 2.47 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Thompson should never be so short on clay against anyone let alone a guy who loves playing on clay and in North/South America.
    Points Awarded:

    DavidGoliath5003 gave Jeff_Black 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  16. 04-12-19 04:58 AM #331
    Gaze73
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeff_Black View Post
    ATP Houston 250, Men’s Singles, R2
    Santiago Giraldo vs Jordan Thompson
    Moneyline: Santiago Giraldo, 2.47 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Thompson should never be so short on clay against anyone let alone a guy who loves playing on clay and in North/South America.
    Thompson is 73/37 on clay, certainly not the worst when there are people with sub 50% win rate like Tomic. Still, it was a bad beat, I was on him too @2.75.
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  17. 04-12-19 05:33 AM #332
    Jeff_Black
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    185 - 178 - 14 (+58.917u)

    ATP Marrakech 250, Men’s Singles, QF
    Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Pablo Andujar
    Handicap: Pablo Andujar -1, 1.917 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Marrakech 250, Men’s Singles, QF
    Benoit Paire vs Jaime Munar
    Moneyline: Benoit Paire, 2.44 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Marrakech 250, Men’s Singles, QF
    Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Lorenzo Sonego
    Handicap: Jo Wilfried Tsonga -3, 1.917 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
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  18. 04-12-19 05:39 AM #333
    Jeff_Black
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    ATP Houston 250, Men’s Singles, QF
    Sam Querrey vs Janko Tipsarevic
    Moneyline: Janko Tipsarevic, 2.91 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Houston 250, Men’s Singles, QF
    Jordan Thompson vs Daniel Elahi Galan
    Moneyline: Daniel Elahi Galan, 2.24 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
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  19. 04-12-19 05:47 AM #334
    Jeff_Black
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gaze73 View Post
    Thompson is 73/37 on clay, certainly not the worst when there are people with sub 50% win rate like Tomic. Still, it was a bad beat, I was on him too @2.75.
    3-5 on the main tour which is probably more of an accurate reflection of his record on clay with many being on challengers Futures events. Other then that playing like most of the Australians on clay who can’t slide on it or play drop/slice shots and handle the grind of a slower surface etc.
    But he tries on it which is different to Tomic who I’ve never really seen try on this surface which is also reflecting in his record there too.
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  20. 04-12-19 08:38 AM #335
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Go Tsonga
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  21. 04-12-19 11:55 AM #336
    Capybara
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    Jeff, you're crushing it.
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  22. 04-13-19 01:23 AM #337
    Jeff_Black
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    187 - 179 - 15 (+60.274u)

    ATP Marrakech 250, Men’s Singles, SF
    Benoit Paire vs Jo Wilfried Tsonga
    Moneyline: Benoit Paire, 3.25 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Marrakech 250, Men’s Singles, SF
    Pablo Andujar vs Gilles Simon
    Moneyline: Pablo Andujar, 2.20 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
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  23. 04-13-19 07:03 AM #338
    Gaze73
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    Why only 1u plays lately? I put 4 on Andujar, he's such a machine and the bookies still don't respect him.
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  24. 04-13-19 10:10 AM #339
    Capybara
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    Absolutely en fuego in here.

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  25. 04-13-19 05:33 PM #340
    Jeff_Black
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gaze73 View Post
    Why only 1u plays lately? I put 4 on Andujar, he's such a machine and the bookies still don't respect him.
    No really my intention to have a big week but it was nice spot to take advantage of the value in a minnow tournament and it seems like Houston was similar.
    Could have just as easily gotten things wrong and that hurts the $$$ more then anything.

    Anyway I am passing on both Finals and looking at the Monte Carlo matches today.

    190 - 179 - 15 (+64.964u)
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  26. 04-13-19 05:35 PM #341
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Jeff, you're crushing it.
    You remind me of Krit.
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  27. 04-13-19 07:57 PM #342
    Jeff_Black
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    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, Qualifiers
    Alexei Popyrin vs Elias Ymer
    Moneyline: Alexei Popyrin, 2.42 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, Qualifiers
    Aljaz Bedene vs Taro Daniel
    Moneyline: Taro Daniel, 2.33 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
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  28. 04-13-19 08:02 PM #343
    Jeff_Black
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    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R1
    Borna Coric vs Hubert Hurkacz
    Handicap: Borna Coric -3, 2.02 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R1
    Laslo Djere vs Guido Pella
    Moneyline: Laslo Djere, 2.29 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, R1
    Mattel Berreteni vs Grigor Dimitrov
    Moneyline: Mateo Berreteni, 2.20 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
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  29. 04-15-19 10:31 AM #344
    gorwin068
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    Jeff, any picks today?
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  30. 04-16-19 08:50 PM #345
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    You remind me of Krit.
    Leet, we're old school. You know me, son.
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  31. 04-18-19 04:36 PM #346
    Jeff_Black
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    191 - 183 -15 (+62.384u)

    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, QF
    Borna Coric vs Fabio Fognini
    Moneyline: Fabio Fognini, 2.18 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 2u play
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  32. 04-19-19 07:43 PM #347
    Grivas_Digeni
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeff_Black View Post
    191 - 183 -15 (+62.384u)

    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, QF
    Borna Coric vs Fabio Fognini
    Moneyline: Fabio Fognini, 2.18 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 2u play
    Fabio is the Anti-Zverev. Balls the size of Lombardia.
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  33. 04-20-19 06:01 AM #348
    Jeff_Black
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    192 - 183 - 15 (+64.744u)

    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, SF
    Daniil Medvedev vs Dusan Lajovic
    Handicap: Dusan Lajovic +3.5, 1.909 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 2u play

    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, SF
    Rafael Nadal vs Fabio Fognini
    Handicap: Fabio Fognini +6, 2.00 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 2u play
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  34. 04-20-19 10:36 AM #349
    gorwin068
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeff_Black View Post
    192 - 183 - 15 (+64.744u)

    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, SF
    Daniil Medvedev vs Dusan Lajovic
    Handicap: Dusan Lajovic +3.5, 1.909 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 2u play

    ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000, Men’s Singles, SF
    Rafael Nadal vs Fabio Fognini
    Handicap: Fabio Fognini +6, 2.00 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 2u play
    Well play
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  35. 04-20-19 06:18 PM #350
    Jeff_Black
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    Thanks. ATP 500 event Barcelona will be my main event of focus for next weeks tennis betting...

    194 - 183 - 15 (+69.562u)

    ATP Barcelona 500, Men’s Singles, Qualifiers
    Nicolas Jarry vs Marcel Granollers
    Moneyline: Nicolas Jarry, 1.90 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Barcelona 500, Men’s Singles, Qualifiers
    Albert Ramos Vinolas vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Moneyline: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 2.52 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Barcelona 500, Men’s Singles, Qualifiers
    Diego Sebastian Schwartzman vs Roberto Cabellas Baena
    Handicap: Diego Sebastian Schwartzman -2.5, 1.952 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
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