[danwinkler]

Ons Jabeur +120 vs Sloane Stephens. Very good source.

Not my write up: its from bettingresource.com's facebook page

Sloane Stephens accepted the wildcard entry and flew from Beijing, China to Moscow little over a week ago only because she wanted to secure a spot in the end of season Singapore Finals that features the top 8 players. However, with Svitolina not getting the wild card, Stephens spot in the Singapore finals that starts later this week is now clinched. Stephens will not care about this match and her goal is to fly as soon as possible to Singapore and get adjusted to the time zone before later this week. Ons Jabeur is in good form having won the 2 qualifier matches and round 1 match. It is still a great play at 1.91 or better odds. Jabaeur -1.5 sets also has good value. When you play the moneyline for the full match, make sure that you play at books where the bet counts if one set is complete because there is a possibility of Stephens retiring the match if she loses the 1st set.

[QuantumLeap]

Beat you to it in the tennis forum:

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...01-jabeur.html

[QuantumLeap]

It's also important to note that if a player retires most books will cancel spread bets (Asian Handicap) whether it's a spread bet on number of games or number of sets.

[jjgold]

Stephens been losing all year

[QuantumLeap]

Stephens been losing all year

Not to players ranked #101:

Last matches: STEPHENS S. (Usa)
03.10.18	BEI	Stephens S. (Usa)	Cibulkova D. (Svk)	1 : 2
01.10.18	BEI	Stephens S. (Usa)	Zheng S. (Chn)	2 : 0
30.09.18	BEI	Stephens S. (Usa)	Pavlyuchenkova A. (Rus)	2 : 1
23.09.18	WUH	Kontaveit A. (Est)	Stephens S. (Usa)	2 : 1
18.09.18	TOK	Stephens S. (Usa)	Vekic D. (Cro)	0 : 2
04.09.18	USO	Stephens S. (Usa)	Sevastova A. (Lat)	0 : 2
02.09.18	USO	Stephens S. (Usa)	Mertens E. (Bel)	2 : 0
31.08.18	USO	Stephens S. (Usa)	Azarenka V. (Blr)	2 : 0
29.08.18	USO	Stephens S. (Usa)	Kalinina A. (Ukr)	2 : 1
27.08.18	USO	Stephens S. (Usa)	Rodina E. (Rus)	2 : 0
16.08.18	CIN	Mertens E. (Bel)	Stephens S. (Usa)	2 : 0
15.08.18	CIN	Maria T. (Ger)	Stephens S. (Usa)	0 : 2
12.08.18	MON	Halep S. (Rou)	Stephens S. (Usa)	2 : 1
11.08.18	MON	Stephens S. (Usa)	Svitolina E. (Ukr)	2 : 0

[krk1030]

Seems like all that is priced in.

[QuantumLeap]

Seems like all that is priced in.

It is. Normally this would be a -300 or more play. Current line at Pinncacle is -136 for Stephens.

[jjgold]

pass

[bass7]

I like the play but not at the price price is way too short and Sloane can beat her even when she's not trying. She might play one match to get some practice in because she also hasn't played a tourney in a while. jabeur on the other hand is #101 and on the cusp of direct entry to the Aussie open next year she would probably want to pad some points so she wouldn't have to go through qualies. Looks like a 50/50 in terms of player motivation so the price looks reasonable to me

[ApricotSinner32]

Ons Jabeur is a fat fuk and I don't trust her. Stephens is way better than that fat ass I don't understand the odds.

[MiDNiTe]

Yeah don't think sloane Will be 100% on her game but jabeur has a pea brain has lost matches up 5-0 5-1 before hate betting on idiots like that

[sunshineSpecial]

I don't like her either. She's too fat for tennis.

[jjgold]

Yeah don't think sloane Will be 100% on her game but jabeur has a pea brain has lost matches up 5-0 5-1 before hate betting on idiots like that

I repeat Sloan has been terrible almost every tourney

A loss here would not even be shocking, she seems to have quit

[JaimeMiro]

Why even play the tourney to just tank? Same with Pliskova tanking so hard 1st serve was 45% and 2nd 11%.

[jjgold]

nobody tanks

They are injured or do not try 100%

[Clutchut12]

Nice call

[jjgold]

nice work

by the line was not even remotely an upset either

Oddsmakers know Stephens quit on tennis

[danwinkler]

Apparently Stephens had evening outbound flight from Moscow already booked before this match started. I wonder if those guys involved in the airlines are betting guys...probably not, because I thought the odds would move to the point where Jabeur became big favorite but never moved that much. Books already estimated the motivation of sloanes when the opened the odds because it Ons was around +140 when it opened...usually she would be +250. Bettors still bet the +140 down but not as much as i thought it would move.

[jjgold]

Sloan will lose very early in the next tourney too

She quit on tennis

People don’t realize she’s had a terrible career

[nuxx??]

Sloan will lose very early in the next tourney too

She quit on tennis

People don’t realize she’s had a terrible career

Slam winner, won miami and reached finals of French this year. God how fukking clueless you actually are.

[jjgold]

Hey loser she has terrible year
Horrific

USA open last year loser

She even said terrible year other day

Massive favorite losing weekly early rounds

It’s why I drive caddy and your poor kid

Her coach thinking of dropping her also

[QuantumLeap]

Slam winner, won miami and reached finals of French this year. God how fukking clueless you actually are.

He's a troll just trying to drum up replies. I posted her recent results above and he won't even address them.

[Mucak77]

Haha was thinking the same years ago.. if i could hack into the system and see who has a flight booked at what time
Would make me very rich lol

Stephens obviously wasnt interested in making a result here, came to pick up the $$ and left for Singapore..

[jjgold]

She was a -120 Against a terrible player are you guys dumb

The line says it all she’s Terrible

I’m getting a tremendous laugh here because people don’t watch tennis


You guys are talking about last year’s U.S. Open you dumb Fuks

Serena would’ve been -500 in the same match and his rarely played in over year

Stop betting tennis until you follow the game

Stephens is on record as saying she rather sleep and sit down than practice

[trytrytry]

super pick and thanks for sharing. nice work danwinkler

[tokio]

Stephens and Keys cannot be trusted when betting women's tennis.

[odog11]

Nice call, love waking up to more money.

[Seto]

Slam winner, won miami and reached finals of French this year. God how fukking clueless you actually are.

You're just figuring this out now?

[DavidGoliath5003]

Stephens and Keys cannot be trusted when betting women's tennis.

You got that right.. both water heads

[DavidGoliath5003]

Good pick by the way

[nuxx??]

You're just figuring this out now?

Nah he actually tilts me everytime he posts in this sub because it's usually garbage, just look at that Joker thread from a while back. I'm just baffled someone of his intelligence is an actual mod on this forum. Hilarious.

[rgrant2214]

.......

[jtoler]

Yeah don't think sloane Will be 100% on her game but jabeur has a pea brain has lost matches up 5-0 5-1 before hate betting on idiots like that

do u remember what matches those were or do you have data to backtrack?

[MiDNiTe]

do u remember what matches those were or do you have data to backtrack?

Didn't even bet this match a unmotivated player vs a known player known for losing it with big LEADS u have a computer if u want the info that bad do a search history on her matches or make a thread in tennis forum, posted 18 tennis winners in a row, let's see u get 10 in a row

[jtoler]

Didn't even bet this match a unmotivated player vs a known player known for losing it with big LEADS u have a computer if u want the info that bad do a search history on her matches or make a thread in tennis forum, posted 18 tennis winners in a row, let's see u get 10 in a row

whats with the tude lol I asked which matches because you named specific scores as if there is a program out there to put in names and blown leads or something like there are for looking up how many times a team has lost past the 8th inning up 2 runs. if there is something out there like that for tennis I was asking