1. #1
    Kiddpokerr
    Kiddpokerr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-01-17
    Posts: 1,362
    Betpoints: 1042

    Tuesday Tennis breakdown

    No Max Bets tonight but im playing a bunch of singles, hundo each:

    ATP:

    1. Sousa +111
    2. Lacko +109
    3. Lorenzi +130
    4. Mayer +108
    5. Donaldson +103

    Tampoons:

    1. Flipkens +150
    2. Lepchenko +138
    3. Stosur +122


    Cheers boys!!!

  2. #2
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2260

    get em

  3. #3
    Kiddpokerr
    Kiddpokerr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-01-17
    Posts: 1,362
    Betpoints: 1042

    Flipkens didnt show up, scratch that oyster.

  4. #4
    BChrisB
    BChrisB's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-10
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 31

    Is there some sort of strategy with this Tennis betting. Here is all I know:

    First of all: I know absolutely NOTHING
    Secondly: I don't know one player from another

    What I do know late out of pure boredom I bet tennis in live play and it is nothing more than a video game to me. Tennis however seems to be the ONLY thing I win on as of late. My football and basketball handicapping is purely nothing as joke lately. So I'm just wondering, if I can win at tennis knowing ABSOLUTELY NOTHING, then with some kind of strategy I should be able to master this, RIGHT??? I just don't see how you can handicap nothing more than two people hitting the ball back and forth. Sure I know some players are better than others, therefor have better odds to win the overall game. However, in live play it's really nothing more than one person on one end trying to get a point off the other. There has to be more to this. I just don't know what it is.

  5. #5
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Still a lot of matches going to wait till later in the week best of luck poker

  6. #6
    jtoler
    jtoler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-17-13
    Posts: 30,967
    Betpoints: 6325

    Niculescu will win.

  7. #7
    Honeybadger44
    Update your status
    Honeybadger44's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-03-14
    Posts: 1,675
    Betpoints: 467

    Quote Originally Posted by BChrisB View Post
    Is there some sort of strategy with this Tennis betting. Here is all I know:

    First of all: I know absolutely NOTHING
    Secondly: I don't know one player from another

    What I do know late out of pure boredom I bet tennis in live play and it is nothing more than a video game to me. Tennis however seems to be the ONLY thing I win on as of late. My football and basketball handicapping is purely nothing as joke lately. So I'm just wondering, if I can win at tennis knowing ABSOLUTELY NOTHING, then with some kind of strategy I should be able to master this, RIGHT??? I just don't see how you can handicap nothing more than two people hitting the ball back and forth. Sure I know some players are better than others, therefor have better odds to win the overall game. However, in live play it's really nothing more than one person on one end trying to get a point off the other. There has to be more to this. I just don't know what it is.
    yeah there's definitely more to this then two players hitting the ball back and forth. I'd say that if you know what you're doing, handicapping tennis the right way can give you significant edge against the bookmakers lines.
    There are just so many different things that you can factor into your final decision. Like form, playing style of the players and how they match up against each other, surface, playing conditions and influence of the weather on them, market perception on those players and determining weather it is correct or incorrect...

    For example, I placed a Wager on Sabalenka to win today vs Tsurenko at +106. If I'd have a traditional power ranking for all the players, like the ones that bettors have for other sports like NBA or others. I'd probably have Tsurenko ranked higher, as I think overall, she is a better player then Sabalenka at the moment. But when I took into consideration some of the other factors, I concluded that fair line for Sabalenka is somewhere between -115 and -120. And that is because I think she has a favorable match up here. She is a first strike player. And when those type of tennis players are in form like she is now, they can put opponent under a lot of pressure from the first shot in the point.
    What Tsurenko does well is playing close to the baseline, and hitting precise groundstrokes from both wings. Basically controlling the rally, forcing her opponent to move a lot and match her baseline play, which they usually find difficult to do. But against Sabalenka, she should struggle maintaining her usual, close to the baseline position. That is because Aryna will probably push her back with her power, and once she is playing from there, he game will lose its usual efficiency.
    Her second serve is vulnerable as well. Putintseva couldn't do anything about it, because she simply doesn't have the power to punish it, but with Sabalenka it will be different story. It will consequently put pressure on her first serve as well, knowing that she has no chance with 2nd.

    Anyway, I might be completely wrong on this one, just so you know. Only wanted to show with example how in depth a tennis handicapping can be if you are willing to put the work in. Good luck!

  8. #8
    EyesWideShut
    EyesWideShut's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-18
    Posts: 159
    Betpoints: 2966

    Kid...ill be tailing your picks.


    However i don't have access to live tennis bets. Once it's in, it's in

  9. #9
    Wesley
    ...
    Wesley's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-09
    Posts: 1,734
    Betpoints: 6293

    GL

  10. #10
    Kiddpokerr
    Kiddpokerr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-01-17
    Posts: 1,362
    Betpoints: 1042

    Quote Originally Posted by EyesWideShut View Post
    Kid...ill be tailing your picks.


    However i don't have access to live tennis bets. Once it's in, it's in
    Look for Max Tampoon bets usually very early in the morning or my daily threads for each individual tournament, cheers bud.

  11. #11
    BChrisB
    BChrisB's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-10
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 31

    Quote Originally Posted by Honeybadger44 View Post
    yeah there's definitely more to this then two players hitting the ball back and forth.!
    Great insight, thanks

  12. #12
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Kid has a clue tennis
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Kiddpokerr

  13. #13
    PharaohUB
    PharaohUB's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-23-07
    Posts: 4,864
    Betpoints: 11464

    Quote Originally Posted by BChrisB View Post
    Is there some sort of strategy with this Tennis betting. Here is all I know:

    First of all: I know absolutely NOTHING
    Secondly: I don't know one player from another

    What I do know late out of pure boredom I bet tennis in live play and it is nothing more than a video game to me. Tennis however seems to be the ONLY thing I win on as of late. My football and basketball handicapping is purely nothing as joke lately. So I'm just wondering, if I can win at tennis knowing ABSOLUTELY NOTHING, then with some kind of strategy I should be able to master this, RIGHT??? I just don't see how you can handicap nothing more than two people hitting the ball back and forth. Sure I know some players are better than others, therefor have better odds to win the overall game. However, in live play it's really nothing more than one person on one end trying to get a point off the other. There has to be more to this. I just don't know what it is.
    Tennis is probably the best sport to bet live if you can get a feel on people. It sounds like you might just have a skill for reading body language, momentum, and game situation. Honestly I would stick with what is working for you. Do not cloud what's working with other information, until you start losing. That's what I would do. Good luck!

  14. #14
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Just so many injuries now in tennis making it very hard to handicap, the woman’s game is an absolute suckers game now

  15. #15
    ikid2groove415
    ikid2groove415's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-18
    Posts: 11,981
    Betpoints: 1184

    I gave up betting live tennis on Bookmaker - got buried lol

  16. #16
    jtoler
    jtoler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-17-13
    Posts: 30,967
    Betpoints: 6325

    Quote Originally Posted by ikid2groove415 View Post
    I gave up betting live tennis on Bookmaker - got buried lol
    They made it into a casino pretty much.

  17. #17
    BChrisB
    BChrisB's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-10
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 31

    Quote Originally Posted by PharaohUB View Post
    Tennis is probably the best sport to bet live if you can get a feel on people. It sounds like you might just have a skill for reading body language, momentum, and game situation. Honestly I would stick with what is working for you. Do not cloud what's working with other information, until you start losing. That's what I would do. Good luck!
    Good advice, so far it's working so I'll just stick with knowing nothing. As stated, its like a video game to me where it just seems so easy to predict the outcome on any giving serve, I can't explain it but I just see where momentum is going as it's happening.

Top