[gambleForLife]

Why is Baghdatis an underdog here? He's +104 at Pinnacle, Vesely is -115.

Baggy owns a 4-0 H2H record against Vesely. 3 of these matches happened at 2014-15, which doesn't mean much, but the last one was this year, 6-2 6-4 at Auckland. Baghdatis was a favorite by the bookies in all of these matches.

Vesely is more of a clay court player. Baghdatis' game is more suited to fast courts.

Vesely is 6-8 at hard courts this year and only beat really low ranked players, other clay court specialists (Ramos, Olivo, Zeballos) or grandpa Tommy Haas. 4 out of 6 wins came in 3 sets. He last played in Cinci, where he lost in 3 sets to Karlovic. He has a bye in the first round of Winston-Salem.

Baghdatis is 7-6 at hard courts this year and it's coming of a impressive win over Ryan Harrison and a really tight loss against Raonic at Washington. He beat Berankis 7-5 7-5 on the first round at Winston-Salem.

Even if we consider Baghdatis inconsistency and tendency to get injured, shouldn't he be the favorite?

[QuantumLeap]

Did you see Big Daddy play today? He played much better than the 7-5, 7-5 score would indicate.

The only reason I can think of that Vesely is favored here is because he has beaten some Top 100 players but then again so has Baghdatis.

The head-to-head should also be a good indicator but I'm staying away from this one.

[Conqueror]

Baghdatis or pass.

[gambleForLife]

Thanks guys, line already moved and Baggy is now the favorite. I think I will pass though

[QuantumLeap]

Good eye on this one though. Baggy had no problem winning.

[gambleForLife]

Yeah, too much overthinking, I should just have bet Baggy lol.

[QuantumLeap]

Yeah, too much overthinking, I should just have bet Baggy lol.

I thought exactly the same thing. Too much overthinking.