1. 04-16-17 07:07 AM #1
    ProDane
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    Houston final 2017

    Steve Johnson - Thomaz Bellucci
    Line: 1.56 - 2.43

    Final on the dirt in Houston. To me, the only advantage Johnson has here is that he is playing on home soil. He is a hardcourt/grass-guy, and I don't even know how he managed to get past the likes of Sock and especially Verdasco.
    On the other side Brazilian Bellucci loves the clay. He has played 4 3-set matches, and he might have heavy legs tody. Although I believe that the claycourter will beat the hardcouter. They are very similar in terms of body type, and they both have a good serve (slight advantage to Johnson) and a decent forehand.
    They met in Australian Open last year (hardcourt) where Johnson won 3-0, but this is going to be a complete different match since it is on the dirt.

    Value is clearly on Bellucci at a great odds of 2.43.
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  2. 04-16-17 07:09 AM #2
    ProDane
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    Furthermore I also believe that Marketa Vondrousova will win the final in Biel at odds 1.75.

    Good luck to anyone who trails. Feel free to discuss my picks.
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  3. 04-16-17 07:57 AM #3
    sunshineSpecial
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    Agree on Vondrousova - 2 sets. Disagree on Bellucci. Johnson frequently bails in the early rounds, but he's actually pretty talented. Right now he's steaming. Bellucci struggled with Escobedo (who is also given'er at the moment); Johnson is going to plough through him.
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  4. 04-16-17 08:01 AM #4
    gambleForLife
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    I like the over. Bellucci is too inconsistent for me to back him, but I can see him taking a set.
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  5. 04-16-17 08:21 AM #5
    gorwin068
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    Regarding Johnson, I guess it is because this clay court surface is a really fast one, that's why he performed better...But Bellucci is not reliable for me, so I would just skip this kind of match.
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  6. 04-16-17 09:55 AM #6
    gorwin068
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    Vondrousova won in straight sets, good call. She saved 13 out of 14 break points lol
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  7. 04-16-17 04:40 PM #7
    ProDane
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    I can't quite believe what I just saw.
    Bellucci was up 4-3 with a break in the final set. Okay. Johnson breaks him, and at 5-5 and 40-30 Johnson gets a massive cramp in his leg and cant walk. Still wins game with a useless second serve at about 50 mph. Bellucci then loses the tiebreak 7-5. wtf. massive brazilian clown... sorry for rage.
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  8. 04-16-17 05:08 PM #8
    beefcake
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    Watched it...Tons of heart and grit by Johnson. I think Bellucci was gassed as well from playing5 3 setters. I was hoping for a Michael Chang underhanded serve
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