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WTA Stats
just typing as I cap guys.. so if it seems random... its cause it is... (all stats are MAIN WTA DRAW ONLY)
Van Uytvanck ML 2-8 R1, 1-5 ML as FAV
Puig 13-2 ML R1, 17-12 ML all wind <21, 9-7-1 ATS DOG, 11-4-1 ATS R1, 7-3 ATS Grass
Hercog 4-8 ML DOG, 1-9 ML DOG
Bencic 15-9 ML FAV, 4-2 ML R1, but Pironkova 7-3 ML R1, Pironkova 5-5 ML as DOG
Bertens 4-6 ML as DOG
more tomorrow...
sorry guys, I'm penetrating tired... will post more stats tomorrow
Hercog 4-8 R1 ML Dog, 1-9 Dog overall, I need sleep
Im half asleep, will post more tomorrow
Siegemund 6-5-0 ATS DOG, 5-3-0 Wind >11MPH... Siegemund 8-3-0 O/U Round 1
Keys 13-9-0 ATS FAV, 5-4-0 Wind >11MPH... Keys 12-9-1 O/U as FAV
Robson has not covered a spread YTD (0-6-2 ATS)
Kerber 16-14-0 ATS as FAV, 2-4-0 ATS Round 1, 9-7-0 ATS Wind >11MPH, 1-2-0 ATS Grass
Beau 6-6-0 Round 1, 6-9-1 FAV
Witthoeft 6-6-0 Round 1, 6-6-1 DOG
Mattek-Sands 0-4-1 DOG, 1-7-0 Round 1
Safarova 5-10-0 FAV, 4-2-0 Round 1
Falconi 7-5-0 O/U when total is 19.5 thru 20.5, 5-6-0 O/U Round 1, 4-7-0 O/U DOG
Erakovic 2-1-0 when total is 19.5 thru 20.5, 2-1-0 O/U Round 1
Cornet 5-7 ML Round 1, 5-2 ML Wind >11MPH
this is only the second time all year where Goerges is playing and opponent with the exact same height as her (both Goerges & Shvedova are 5'11") Goerges is 1-0 ML & 1-0-0 ATS vs players of equal height, Shvedova is 1-2 ML & 1-2-0 ATS vs players of equal height)
not a real relevant stat, just wanted to give anyone reading a little glimpse of how extensive this database will be when I release it in 2017
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Tuesday is a 90% chance of rain and projected 74% humidity...
Puig is 7-2-1 ATS when Humidity is between 66% & 79%
only bad is 8-10-1 ATS VS opposition taller in height
I have these sorted by elevation and all sorts of other shit also.... if anyone has a request please ask
anyone that posts a request gets a discount when I launch in 2017
Kozlova 4-1-0 ATS elevation <500 for example
even barometric pressure... you name it
coukd u explain your data i dont get it
ATS are posted Win/Loss/Push
Totals are posted Over/Under/Push
Money line/Straight up (aka ML/SU) are posted Win/Loss
the stats are for WTA main draw only, hope that alliviates any confusion, please let me know if further explanation is needed, I'm here to help
ATS means Against the Spread
O/U means Over / Under
> means Greater than
< means less than
should i bet then Bencis or Bertens- u find some value?
I lean Bencic and Ostapenko based on my stats, have not bet either so I cannot call it an official play however...
Kerber –6.5 (-115) (2*)
Siegemund +5.5 (-115) (1*)
Siegemund/Keys OVER 19 (-135) (1*)
Begu –4 (-105) (2*)
Safarova –3.5 (-128) (2*)
Govortsova –3.5 (-115) (2*)
Duque-Marino +105 ML (1*)
Kania –3.5 (-133) (1*)
Falconi/Erakovic OVER 19.5 (-125) (1*)
Cornet –135 ML (2*)
Shvedova +135 ML (1*)
Ka. Pliskova –4.5 (-118) (1*)
thats what I played if you really wanted to know... I don't post plays, I post stats... the internet is filled with people that post plays, and thats not my style, I'm no tout... I only intend to provide tennis bettors with the best betting database known to man... make your own decisions with the data I have
Blake... r those ur picks for Wimbledon
well I had an ass kicking this morning... it happens to the best of us... will post stats while I cap tonight...
4 winners, 8 losers for -6.62
To be fair I have gotten better lines on everything I decided to selectively tail. Better luck to us tomorrow!
Hantuchova 2-6-0 ATS DOG, 1-6-0 DAYTIME, 0-2-0 Grounds Courts, 2-4-0 ATS Round 1
McHale 16-14-2 ATS overall, 15-11-2 DAYTIME, 5-9-0 ATS FAV, 6-4-0 ATS Grounds Courts, 9-6-0 ATS Round 7-5-1 ATS Humidity 51%-79%
Bencic 5-2 ML Wind >11MPH, 4-2 ML R1
Pironkova 7-3 ML R1, 3-5 ML Wind >11MPH
Paszek 3-1 ML Humidity 51%-79%, 4-4 ML DOG, 3-4 ML R1, 3-5-0 ATS DOG, 3-4-0 ATS R1, 3-1-0 ATS Humidity 51%-79%
Vesnina 11-2 ML FAV, 7-1 ML R1, 7-3 ML Humidity 51%-79%, 9-4-0 ATS FAV, 7-1-0 ATS R1, 6-4-0 ATS Humidity 51%-79%
pabonaparte, thanks for not killing me bud, my worst day on grass season this year
Konta 7-8-0 ATS as a Seeded Favorite 1-1 ML & 1-1-0 ATS VS shorter Opposition
Puig 3-2-0 ATS vs a Seeded Favorite, 10-8 ML & 5-6-1 ATS VS taller Opposition
Bacsinszky 10-3 ML & 6-7-0 ATS VS shorter opposition, 1-0-0 ATS VS qualifiers, 19-6 ML as Seeded FAV 15-10-0 ATS as Seeded FAV
Kumkhum 0-2 ML but 2-0 ATS VS Taller opposition, 0-2 ML & 0-2-0 ATS as Qualifier, 0-1 ML VS Seeded FAV & 0-1-0 ATS VS Seeded FAV
Kumkhum also 0-2-0 to under VS Taller opposition
Bacsinszky 8-17-1 O/U as FAV, 2-5-0 O/U totals =<20 (has not played a total of exactly 19 YTD) 4-3-1 O/U R1
Puig 7-3-0 ATS Grass (2-1-0 ATS Grass DOG)
Strycova 4-4-0 ATS Round 1 as FAV
Kontaveit 4-1-0 ATS Round 1 as DOG
((that being said I'm not using money against Strycova, who is 22-16-1 ATS overall & 9-4-0 ATS Round 1)
Kozlova 7-3-1 ATS DOG, 2-1-1 ATS Stadium Court, 3-1-0 ATS R1, 2-0-0 ATS Wind >11MPH, 2-0-0 ATS Humidity 51%-79%, 1-1-0 ATS VS Taller Opposition as DOG
Radwanska 15-18-3 ATS FAV, 1-4-0 ATS R1, 4-3-0 ATS Stadium Court, 3-5-1 ATS Wind >11MPH, 16-6 ML & 10-12-1 ATS VS Shorter Opposition as FAV, 14-16-1 ATS as FAV
Cibulkova –4 (-113) (2*) I Might 3* this personally, but will grade as 2*
Puig +2.5 (-113-) (4*)
Puig +130 ML (1*)
<strange match to cap is why I’m only 1U on the ML, as all forms of capping I use (basic cap/trends cap/statistical cap) completely point Puig to Cover but not win a tight match… but gotta sprinkle the ML as Puig in much better current form>
Moore +2.5 (-120) (1*)
Lots of Trends against Van Uytvanck here
Moore +130 ML (1/2*)
This chick is just hot on grass right now & have to take a small shot with her at plus money
Bouchard –4.5 (-120) (1*)
Pavlyuchenkova –135 ML (1*)
Pavly was a 2* but had do downgrade it a bit on trends capping… so don’t be afraid to put a few extra bucks there, maybe 1.5U if you bet it, but grading only 1U
McHale –3.5 (-125) (4*)
Only match on the board other than Puig ATS that made all forms of capping I use (basic cap/trends cap/statistical cap)
Tatisvili ML –130 (1*)
bad player VS another bad player, but I honestly think Tatisvili gets it done in a smoke show… but I can’t bet horrible VS horrible for more than 1U (passed enough capping categories that I’ll make it a 1* play)
Rodina +135 ML (1*)
Rodina/Tsurenko OVER 21 (-120) (1*)
Bencic –105 ML (2*)
This would have been a 4* play at this price but I cannot do that after the slip & fall Bencic had at WTA Birmingham, though she appears to have recovered from what appears to be a very light right upper thigh strain, she has been comfortable enough to practice and even compete at WTA Eastbourne… but like stated, I think the oddsmakers think like I am thus the reason this line is what it is… with out that slip and fall and small right thigh strain 2 weeks ago, this would easily be a 4* play, but we also wouldn’t see her at –105 either….
Vandeweghe –4 (-110) (2*) Bondarenko owns the H2H at 1-0 SU, but Coco smokes her cause I said so… especially with this moist grass, the ball won’t rise into Bondarenko’s strike zone
Bacsinszky –5.5 (-130) (2*) a lot of lumber to lay in a match with no previous H2H and few common opposition and surface diffs, but if you want to bet against the best backhand in all of womens tennis, be my guest… Bacsinszky 10-3 ML & 6-7-0 ATS VS shorter opposition, 1-0-0 ATS VS qualifiers, 19-6 ML as Seeded FAV 15-10-0 ATS as Seeded FAV —— Kumkhum 0-2 ML but 2-0 ATS VS Taller opposition, 0-2 ML & 0-2-0 ATS as Qualifier, 0-1 ML VS Seeded FAV & 0-1-0 ATS VS Seeded FAV
Bacsinszky/KumKhum UNDER 19 (-118) (2*)
Timea Bacs Smoke Show…. Bacsinszky 8-17-1 O/U as FAV, 2-5-0 O/U totals =<20 (has not played a total of exactly 19 YTD) 4-3-1 O/U R1 & Kumkhum also 0-2-0 to under VS Taller opposition
Paszek +4.5 (1*) would have been a 2* but did not pass the trends part of my 3 part cap, I might put lunch money on the ML, FWIW
Strycova –4 (1*) I like this enough to bet it, but did not pass all criteria
Kozlova +7 (1*) I might play another unit on this as it hits so many statistical categories… but only a 1U play for now… but I could easily double down on this…
Kozlova 7-3-1 ATS DOG, 2-1-1 ATS Stadium Court, 3-1-0 ATS R1, 2-0-0 ATS Wind >11MPH, 2-0-0 ATS Humidity 51%-79%, 1-1-0 ATS VS Taller Opposition as DOG
Radwanska 15-18-3 ATS FAV, 1-4-0 ATS R1, 4-3-0 ATS Stadium Court, 3-5-1 ATS Wind >11MPH, 16-6 ML & 10-12-1 ATS VS Shorter Opposition as FAV, 14-16-1 ATS as FAV
I just happened to bet far too much on McHale and Cibulkova and I am loving life right now.
Impressive, Mr. BlakeMile01!
Ka. Pliskova 17-14-0 ATS FAV, 4-8-0 ATS R1, 5-4-0 ATS Temp <70° FAH, 4-1-0 ATS Humidity 66%-79%, 6-3-0 ATS Wind <11 MPH, 2-2-0 when Favored by EXACTLY -4.5, 10-7-0 ATS when favored by all lines -4 & greater, 8-4-0 ATS Grass
Ka. Pliskova also 20-15-0 ATS vs all Shorter Opposition
Adding Ka. Pliskova -4.5 (2*) to tomorrow's card in addition to all thats pending from todays rain delay
Lean Cepelova +6 Allertova +4.5 & ML +285 Arruabarrena +5
How much of a factor could this be really? And are we even certain humiditiy will be anywhere near this range?Originally Posted by BlakeMile01
humidity is a big part of my cap, some chicks can sweat and some can't
Is there a stat that tells you how much a player is affected by weather delays?
Lol of course not, one is hard pressed to fine UE stats in non majors.
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