I don't understand the price for Donaldson. Hasn't played a match on clay in almost a year and he's a large favorite against the specialist? That's a bad loss for loss for Kicker.
He's a specialist because outside of Slams he ONLY plays on dirt. That's why he's able to stay in the pros. The guys he's lost to recently, are other South American dirtballers. Kicker is about .500 player on the tour, but he plays all of his matches against other specialists. Donaldson is fine, but I'd make Kicker at least Even money.