1. #1
    Gargo
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    Aussie Open Day 7

    I am going to go ahead and lock these plays in for tomorrow. I absolutely love this card.

    WTA.......

    BELINDA BENCIC +250

    D GAVRILOVA Even

  2. #2
    DR225
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    I've been on Bencic every single match of the tourney and I was a bit worried in her last match. She had a lot of trouble during her service games and was bullied by Bondarenko's power. Pova is 100x the player Bondarenko is, so I'll probably stick with +1.5 sets or over. If Lauren Davis can win a set, then Bencic should at least keep it close.

    Also I think Bencic came into the tourney with an injury, which was reflected in the odds for her first couple matches. It probably isn't anything major as she looked great in the first two matches, I'll try googling for it later. Anyway, there's no doubt Bencic is going to be ranked #1 overall someday, so there's definitely value in this play.

    Nigel Sears just fell down the stairs or something...Hope the guy is gonna be ok.
    Last edited by DR225; 01-23-16 at 03:09 AM.

  3. #3
    DR225
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    No idea how Ivanovic is gonna play when she doesn't know how badly her coach is injured...

  4. #4
    kenz
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    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: frugalgambler

  5. #5
    DR225
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    lol, I'm watching the Andy match and his mom and camp are watching the match like normal. It's not like they can help Andy at all anyway, go check on your family member!

  6. #6
    DR225
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    holy fuk there was blood where he fell and they used a defibrillator to revive him!!!

  7. #7
    DR225
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    murray is playing like shit too, maybe he heard about it somehow?

  8. #8
    Gargo
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    Quote Originally Posted by DR225 View Post
    I've been on Bencic every single match of the tourney and I was a bit worried in her last match. She had a lot of trouble during her service games and was bullied by Bondarenko's power. Pova is 100x the player Bondarenko is, so I'll probably stick with +1.5 sets or over. If Lauren Davis can win a set, then Bencic should at least keep it close.

    Also I think Bencic came into the tourney with an injury, which was reflected in the odds for her first couple matches. It probably isn't anything major as she looked great in the first two matches, I'll try googling for it later. Anyway, there's no doubt Bencic is going to be ranked #1 overall someday, so there's definitely value in this play.

    Nigel Sears just fell down the stairs or something...Hope the guy is gonna be ok.
    No reason to be scared and overlook things hope on board....

  9. #9
    KingHawkins
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    I took Bencic +4.5 for a pretty healthy amount. Should be a fun match to watch.

  10. #10
    Gargo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingHawkins View Post
    I took Bencic +4.5 for a pretty healthy amount. Should be a fun match to watch.
    Safer play than what I did, that should be a winnna......Good luck Hawk

    Don't sleep on Gav. she has been ballin

  11. #11
    Ontnr
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    I definitely like Gavrilova. I'm afraid Sharapova will eat Bencic's second serve for breakfast, lunch and dinner so you can expect her to be broken a lot. On the other hand, I like Bencic to win more than I like Bencic +games, and the play I'm closest to taking is Sharapova -games. No play for me, but perhaps something live.

  12. #12
    Gargo
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    Bencic can not handle Sharapova's power at all. Thank goodness Sharapova makes a pile of mistakes.

  13. #13
    Ontnr
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    Took something live on Bencic @8 european odds

  14. #14
    Gargo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ontnr View Post
    Took something live on Bencic @8 european odds
    I don't see us winning this match.....I really thought Bencic would not be controlled like this....41 winners and counting for Sharapova

  15. #15
    Gargo
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    BELINDA BENCIC +250.......Loss

    Never had a shot at winning this match, pretty disappointed I played this play. I knew better....Vegas baited me with the +250 as I am sure it dii for others.

    Need Gav to take care of business and wipe out the day.

  16. #16
    Gargo
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    Is anybody as excited as I am about the Gavrilova match????? Match starts in 3 HOURSSSS

  17. #17
    DR225
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    I'm more into the Birdy/Agut match, hopefully another upset isn't on the cards. Also no idea how you can pick that Gavrilova match, it's going to be break after break after break like most of the wta lol.

  18. #18
    Gargo
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    Quote Originally Posted by DR225 View Post
    I'm more into the Birdy/Agut match, hopefully another upset isn't on the cards. Also no idea how you can pick that Gavrilova match, it's going to be break after break after break like most of the wta lol.
    I have been riding her all week why stop now. You said that last go around too......Lol

    So you are on the Bird??? I was thinking about tossing a little on Agut....How much do you like the Bird???

  19. #19
    NYRin09
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gargo View Post
    Is anybody as excited as I am about the Gavrilova match????? Match starts in 3 HOURSSSS

    stumbled across this blunted on xannys lookin for a play gonna drop 2.5 units on this lets do it

  20. #20
    Gargo
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    Quote Originally Posted by NYRin09 View Post
    stumbled across this blunted on xannys lookin for a play gonna drop 2.5 units on this lets do it

    Yes sirrrrrrrrrrr....No play on Agut way tooo riskyyy

  21. #21
    DR225
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    Man I'm starting to get tired of the wta, it seems like the margins between the winner and loser are getting way too tight. Like in the Gavrilova match yesterday, it was so close that if a couple points went in Mlads favor, she would've won. Excluding Serena, Pova and Aza, the talent disparity is so small that it just isn't worth betting it.

    Also we have a very different betting style, I barely ever bet underdogs because most of my plays are big parlays (8 to 12 games in multiple sports). And I just want Birdy to win as it'll make me $200-$300 more, I'm already covered if Agut wins, so play Agut if you see value.

  22. #22
    Gargo
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    Quote Originally Posted by DR225 View Post
    Man I'm starting to get tired of the wta, it seems like the margins between the winner and loser are getting way too tight. Like in the Gavrilova match yesterday, it was so close that if a couple points went in Mlads favor, she would've won. Excluding Serena, Pova and Aza, the talent disparity is so small that it just isn't worth betting it.

    Also we have a very different betting style, I barely ever bet underdogs because most of my plays are big parlays (8 to 12 games in multiple sports). And I just want Birdy to win as it'll make me $200-$300 more, I'm already covered if Agut wins, so play Agut if you see value.
    Yes I always look for dogs first. Like in the NBA I played Bulls....It was a no brainer after Lebron saying he didn't get coach fired etc etc...what a load of bs.....

  23. #23
    Gargo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gargo View Post
    Yes I always look for dogs first. Like in the NBA I played Bulls....It was a no brainer after Lebron saying he didn't get coach fired etc etc...what a load of bs.....
    However I did play a favorite tonight played Stanford -135....

  24. #24
    Gargo
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    Anyways back to tennis.....The match that has me scratching my head tomorrow is Beck/ Kerber....No way should Beck be +750, I am looking at that match in great depth to see why the line is that big.

  25. #25
    DR225
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    Man this court is playing so slow that I've been having a lot of success live betting when breaks happen. You ever try that? And I'm envious if you had bulls ml, that was a good play. No idea bout Beck, Kerber was almost knocked out two matches ago but she looked solid in her last match.

  26. #26
    Gargo
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    Quote Originally Posted by DR225 View Post
    Man this court is playing so slow that I've been having a lot of success live betting when breaks happen. You ever try that? And I'm envious if you had bulls ml, that was a good play. No idea bout Beck, Kerber was almost knocked out two matches ago but she looked solid in her last match.
    I wish I played money line...I played +11

  27. #27
    Gargo
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    Are you watching this Simon match??? Very interesting.....I know a lot of people do live bets, I rarely do it

  28. #28
    DR225
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    yeah it has been surprisingly close. I just missed out on another break bet on the game just now. Simon was so lucky!!

  29. #29
    KingHawkins
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gargo View Post
    Is anybody as excited as I am about the Gavrilova match????? Match starts in 3 HOURSSSS
    I AM, I AM!!! But sadly, I will probably be fast asleep for it, and also, I am on the other side as you, as I think CSN is gonna take this. I just envision the boyish Carla is gonna take out some sexual frustration, and wipe the court with this very pretty, yet potentially immature Russian-turned-Australian, in front of her newly adopted home crowd.

  30. #30
    Gargo
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    Agut with the early breakkkkk....this is going to be a great matchhhh

  31. #31
    Gargo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingHawkins View Post
    I AM, I AM!!! But sadly, I will probably be fast asleep for it, and also, I am on the other side as you, as I think CSN is gonna take this. I just envision the boyish Carla is gonna take out some sexual frustration, and wipe the court with this very pretty, yet potentially immature Russian-turned-Australian, in front of her newly adopted home crowd.
    BOOOOO HAWK.....Navarro is one of the ugliest on tour

  32. #32
    frugalgambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingHawkins View Post
    I AM, I AM!!! But sadly, I will probably be fast asleep for it, and also, I am on the other side as you, as I think CSN is gonna take this. I just envision the boyish Carla is gonna take out some sexual frustration, and wipe the court with this very pretty, yet potentially immature Russian-turned-Australian, in front of her newly adopted home crowd.
    The first time I see somebody capping based on a sexual frustration angle. Wow.

    CSN is anything but boyish, she is just a bit ugly, but it's OK. By Spanish standards she is not that bad looking. Gavrilova is anything but pretty. But I agree with you for other reasons, I think Gavrilova will not be able to win another 3-setter.

    Meanwhile, Djoker just blows today. I think Nishi is licking his chops.

  33. #33
    Gargo
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    Quote Originally Posted by frugalgambler View Post
    The first time I see somebody capping based on a sexual frustration angle. Wow.

    CSN is anything but boyish, she is just a bit ugly, but it's OK. By Spanish standards she is not that bad looking. Gavrilova is anything but pretty. But I agree with you for other reasons, I think Gavrilova will not be able to win another 3-setter.

    Meanwhile, Djoker just blows today. I think Nishi is licking his chops.
    O definitely am not betting on looks...Gav continues her run.....I cant wait for this match

  34. #34
    Gargo
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    Late money on Navarro......-125 and +105 in my book

  35. #35
    DR225
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    Quote Originally Posted by frugalgambler View Post
    The first time I see somebody capping based on a sexual frustration angle. Wow.

    CSN is anything but boyish, she is just a bit ugly, but it's OK. By Spanish standards she is not that bad looking. Gavrilova is anything but pretty. But I agree with you for other reasons, I think Gavrilova will not be able to win another 3-setter.

    Meanwhile, Djoker just blows today. I think Nishi is licking his chops.
    Come on man, Navarro looks like a stereotypical masculine lesbian.

    https://www.google.com/search?q=nava...UIBygC&dpr=2.5

    I like her though. And agree on Gav but her personality is amazing!

    And I'm kind of shocked at how the joker match is going. The court seems so slow that he can't hit through simon.

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