1. #1
    beefcake
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    Most Aces bet for 2016.

    Be still available at Intertops...

    I took ivo last year at +300..but now he is +150..i think the value is gone this year after last.He still may have the most again but at that price not worth it.

    I am still not sold on Ivo staying that healthy for that long again.

    Raonic at +250 has better value..even though coming off Injury he can put em up.

    So 1 unit at +250 on Milos.

    Also going to put a smidge on Anderson at +1300...He has improved big time every year and now is going deep in majors which will mean more matches. Lot will have to happen for him to win the aces battle. But considering what I mentioned above at this price I think its well worth a small bet.

    Andersons aces count per match last 5 years..
    2015 15.34
    2014 11.66
    2013 10.85
    2012 11.39
    2011 10.89

    So if he can get to 16.50 and play 5-10 more matches and Ivo or Raonic misses just a little time you can win this bet. Obviously a healthy IVO makes this bet moot. But its well worth it.

    0.5 unit to win 5.5 units

  2. #2
    MGTennisTipster
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    That bet is not on the guy who can serve better, but mainly on the big server who will get more often to the later stages of the events. In 2015 Karlovic did some very good runs, mainly on Wimbledon where he played 17 sets. I agree that there is no value on Karlovic, especially because last season was extremely demanding and it will be very hard for him to keep the same level of results while Raonic should reach more later stages.


    It's also important to have in consideration the first serve %:


    Ivo Karlovic - 66.6% in 2015; 65.9% last three years
    Milos Raonic - 63.5% in 2015; 62.4% last three years
    John Isner - 70.4% in 2015; 68.8% last three years
    Kevin Anderson - 63.4% in 2015; 64.6% last three years.


    John has great % on serve and he usually does some good runs on tournaments at USA.


    Raonic seems to be playing some good tennis, but if he reaches top 10 again he might play only less tournaments because he'll only compete at the highest events.

    Anderson has a good serve, but he uses very often the kick serve. That kind of serve can create many problems to his opponents, but doesn't get a lot of aces.

    What is Isner's odd to be best server?

  3. #3
    beefcake
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    Isner is +200..

    I was torn between him and milos. When healthy I think Milos can go deeper in tourneys and has the better chance to make semis in GS compared to big John

  4. #4
    beefcake
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    There also is odds for Womens server..

    Outright 1/8/16 WTA Tour 2016: Most Aces
    Option Odds
    Serena Williams -154
    Karolina Pliskova +175
    Madison Keys +800
    Any Other +1000
    Samantha Stosur +2500
    Lucie Safarova +2500
    Sabine Lisicki +3300




    thoughts?

  5. #5
    MGTennisTipster
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    Quote Originally Posted by beefcake View Post
    Isner is +200..

    I was torn between him and milos. When healthy I think Milos can go deeper in tourneys and has the better chance to make semis in GS compared to big John
    Indeed Milos might be able to go deeper on slams, especially at Wimbledon.

    The two big questions are: 1) Can Milos stay healthy during the whole season? 2) Will Milos play on ATP 250 like Isner does?

    If both played the same number of points on serve during the season, I would bet that Isner would get more aces than Raonic. Not only because Isner serve is harder to read, but also because he has much higher first serve %.

  6. #6
    MGTennisTipster
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    Quote Originally Posted by beefcake View Post
    There also is odds for Womens server..

    Outright 1/8/16 WTA Tour 2016: Most Aces
    Option Odds
    Serena Williams -154
    Karolina Pliskova +175
    Madison Keys +800
    Any Other +1000
    Samantha Stosur +2500
    Lucie Safarova +2500
    Sabine Lisicki +3300




    thoughts?
    Pliskova seems quite good, she did a great 2015 and she always plays a large number of tournaments while Serena might only focus on Slams.

    Madison has also a massive serve, but her inconsistency doesn't allow her to reach later stages very often.

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